Posted By Stephen M. Walt Share

Ever since 9/11, Islamophobia has been a recurrent problem in a number of Western societies, including the United States. It's been fueled by opportunistic politicians, hate-mongering bloggers, and any number of the other usual suspects. The lingering fear of Islam undergirds the present concerns that the turmoil in Egypt might give groups like the Muslim Brotherhood greater political influence there.

Trying to inject reason and evidence into this sort of debate is usually futile, but I do wish to report some good news. Remember the avalanche of Muslim-based terrorism that was about to descend upon the West? Well, according to the EU's 2010 Terrorism Situation and Trend Report, the total number of terrorist incidents in Europe declined in 2009. Even more important, the overwhelming majority of these incidents had nothing whatsoever to do with Islam.

The report is produced by Europol, which is the criminal intelligence agency of the European Union. In 2009, there were fewer than 300 terrorist incidents in Europe, a 33 percent decline from the previous year. The vast majority of these incidents (237 out of 294) were conducted by indigenous European separatist groups, with another forty or so attributed to leftists and/or anarchists. According to the report, a grand total of one (1) attack was conducted by Islamists. Put differently, Islamist groups were responsible for a whopping 0.34 percent of all terrorist incidents in Europe in 2009. In addition, the report notes, "the number of arrests relating to Islamist terrorism (110) decreased by 41 percent compared to 2008, which continues the trend of a steady decrease since 2006."

I know there are lot of people getting rich fueling Islamophobia, but we'd really all be better off if they would focus their attention to anarchists, or maybe separatist groups like ETA. The report isn't naive or Panglossian about Islamic radicalism, and it emphasizes that there are still extremist groups with worrisome ambitions. But their sifting of the data does put the actual danger in perspective and serves as a valuable corrective to the careless threat inflation that has become all too common over the past decade.

Getty Images.

 
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SCOTTINDALLAS

4:57 PM ET

February 9, 2011

Once again,

Steven Walt displays his Jew hate and can't resist Israel bashing. Rabble, rabble, rabble. ANTI-SEMITE!

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SICULO ARABI

6:07 PM ET

February 9, 2011

Jew Hate, Israel Bashing, Anti-Semitism

Where in his blog entry did Walt mention Israel, Zionism, or Jews?

That question posed, given the funding of Islamophobic incitement by hyper-wealthy Zionists as well as the mobilization of anti-Muslim hatred by Zionist intelligentsia, no one can seriously dispute that Islamophobia is the Zionism of fools.

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DRLAKE777

6:36 PM ET

February 9, 2011

Good lord, Scott. Don't you

Good lord, Scott. Don't you have anything better to do than post this garbage to Walt's blog? If you put half as much effort into thinking about the world as you do in your attempted character assassination, you'd quickly realize that you've been a fool.

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JOHN MILTON XIV

2:46 AM ET

February 10, 2011

Sigh, come on guys. Danial

Sigh, come on guys.

Danial Pipes is one of the most rabid anti-Islamic anti-Palestian commentators there is! He supports the hate-speech of Geert Wilders. 'Nuff said in my book.

These little high-school exercises in "is being anti-"x" equate to being anti "XYZ"?" are terrifyingly simple and mundane "exercises in basic reasoning". But for your sakes 'cos you seem to need it - is the woman holding the "Stop Wilders" sign anti-Dutch?? etc etc etc.

Is Horowitz anti-semitic 'cos he hates Chomsky??

Dear, oh dear.

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JOHN MILTON XIV

2:49 AM ET

February 10, 2011

Daniel

Daniel

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TONYMA

3:51 AM ET

February 10, 2011

Jews hate:

I don't think this article is about Jews issues. No one have rights to speak against Israel or Jews because it is Ant-Semite. Basically freedom of speech is only against Muslims and Christians or against any non-Jewish.
Last wk, terrorist arrested in Michigan with explosives in his car but since he was going to attack on mosque he will be diagnosed with psychiatrist illness. When terrorist students to shootings in school no religion mentioned because they not Muslims so they get psych diagnosis. what a hypocrisy of media. All these Jews writer and anti Muslims dont like to read facts written by Steven Walt. have a courage to see facts.

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ARVAY

10:40 AM ET

February 10, 2011

LOL SCOTTINDALLAS

the increasingly obvious thing about this kind of crapola is how widely it is being ignored and mocked.

A decade ago, this was an unanswerable charge, a conversation-stopper. Now it's ever more seen as a rant by people trying to defend the indefensible. Walt is especially hated because he very effectively started to pull the plug on this intellectual sewage tank.

Glug, glug, glug, Zionist fanatics!

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SCOTTINDALLAS

4:17 PM ET

February 10, 2011

Irony anyone?

seriously, must have triggered the Hasbara alarms when I posted. I'd just noticed the last two articles had nothing to do with Israel, and few comments.

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CEOUNICOM

9:41 AM ET

February 11, 2011

I seem to be the only one who laughed...

...because Walt could post about food prices in Congo, and someone would still call him a Jew Basher.

FP readers dont have much of a sense of humor.

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MAX SITTING

9:55 PM ET

February 9, 2011

I'd like to swing on a star

Since when were opportunistic politicans and hate-mongering bloggers interested in the facts?

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JACOB BLUES

9:59 PM ET

February 9, 2011

Where's an editor when you need one

"pan-Glossian"?!?

if you're referring to the character from Candide Prof, you would likely spell it Panglossian.

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P.J. AROON

10:12 PM ET

February 9, 2011

Corrected!

--FP copy chief

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PKOULIEV

11:01 PM ET

February 9, 2011

Islamic terrorism threats

Islamic terrorism threats were widely used with regimes like Mubarak's to 'legitimize' their staying in power and bringing 'peace' and 'stability' to the whole world. These dictators try to act like martyrs in the face of global threat from 'Islamic militants'. Many of prisons in these authoritarian regimes are used to torture political opponents under name of 'anti-terrorism' due to lack of transparency. If there were real elections held in these countries, these so-called 'Islamic militants' would be having seats in the parliament and use their energy to express voices of their electorate. Maybe, we would never have 9/11 Tragic events taken place and many innocent people would be with their families.

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TOIVOS

12:00 AM ET

February 10, 2011

So true

"Trying to inject reason and evidence into this sort of debate is usually futile,"

I have a couple of Republican acquaintances that seem to genuinely believe that some imagined islamic caliphate has the power to conquer the US, either by direct military means or political subversion. It seems so insane but those beliefs are impervious to argument. At least they acknowledge that Obama was born in Hawaii and is not a Moslem beliefs shared by about a third of all Republicans.

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NICOLAS19

12:31 PM ET

February 10, 2011

fear is the greatest catalyst of hatred...

...and ignorance is the best soil for fear to grow in. The less you know about an enemy the more you fear it.

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SCOTTINDALLAS

4:34 PM ET

February 10, 2011

try thought exercise with them

Run through the scenarios with them. I mean at some point, they're talking about an invasion, right? So, where are they gonna mass these forces? Think the Canadians would allow them? After all, an invasion from Mexico could run in 600 miles and still not take Northern California. Think Camp Pendelton in San Diego, not to mention the city it's self, LA and the line of cities that work their way up the coast. Perhaps the precious AZ desert land could be overrun, there's a few cities. In New Mexico, and TX it's a different matter. Kirtland Air Force base out side of Albuquerque (a base that if it were to secede, would be the third largest nuclear power in the world 15 yrs ago) Not to mention White Sands/Ft Bliss and Kelly AFB in San Antonio. And, of course the cites of El Paso and a host of Border cities, that really cherish their American citizenship, and a literal army of border agents. I know I've left off a host of other military bases and installations, but even after they conquered all of this, they still wouldn't have Interstate 70 nor most of 40. The idea is ludicrous, and having them actually work that out helps.

Of course it's not like the armaments they'd use would be easy to disguise, or are they suggesting a bunch of turban wearing, scimitar wielding maniacs are gonna, what exactly? Run through the shopping mall? Decapitate Congressmen? We'd all cringe. I for one support the 2nd amendment, as do most who subscribe to this wacko notion. So, do they really think all the gun nuts are just gonna cower, after these maniacs, disable our military, national guard and police forces? Do they believe Rambo is a documentary? I mean seriously. Few can endure that exercise and remain so on edge.

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MAX SITTING

12:01 AM ET

February 10, 2011

Jacob Blues' equalizing mirror

Ms. Geller is a polemicist and Mr. Pipes is an academic polemicist. Then you hold Walt and Pipes in front of an equalizing mirror, and Walt turns out to be bigot.

So in front of Jacob Blues' equalizing mirror, are Geller and Pipes bigots too or are they still just polemicists?

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GAHGEER

12:46 AM ET

February 10, 2011

haters are always going to hate

And the banality to which "anti-semite" and "jew hater" has so far reached because of its misuse by the some dual-loyalty American Jews is really baffling.

This is the best analogy for this low use of terminologies (it doesn't even qualify to be called character assassination):

Child 1: Hey you! give me this popsicle!

Child 2 (crying): eeehheeeee you're an anti-semite you're a jew hater ehehehe .
(This what actually happened with the Spanish FM during her visit to Hebron yesterday).

To get back to the article, it's been known worldwide that Europe has suffered from terrorism in the late 1960s and 1970s like no other place. The Europeans, however, did not declare "jihad on terror" from the pulpit of a church or marched their armies to occupy a country that had NOTHING to do wit Al-Qaedah.

Their recipe was simple: coordination among each other, lots of preventive counter-terrorism action and waves of awareness.

I hope this provides an answer to Jacob Blues.

On the other hand, it's a sad fact of history that some stupid Christians always blamed the Jews for their economic miseries, leading in many cases to pogroms, then eventually to the Shoah. However, after this recession, this did not happen b/c the world was busy with the non-existent Islamic conspiracy to conquer America.

Even though I descend from a Muslim family, I am actually glad that the backlash from the current economic recession did not touch the Jews, and it was rather vented off against Muslim labourers in Europe and parts of America.

This is also another fact of history: Muslims always sheltered the Jews from the inequities of those who believed their god was killed by the sons of Moses: In Palestina (from eastern Europe and Russia 1882-1947),Morocco(from Inquisition Spain) and even Yemen.

Professor Walt, keep up the good work and always remember this Iraqi proverb: "The Euphrates will not stop only because a dog swam in its water."

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DAV305Z

5:47 AM ET

February 10, 2011

Mostly true...

I'd fully agree with your assertion that antisemitism is basically a Western/Christain phenomenon. I'd also say that antisemitism is still largely irrelevant when speaking about Muslims attitudes toward Israel, which has more to do with nationalism, culture wars, economics, and, admittedly, some major f**** ups by Israel. Also agreed that the settlers in Hebron don't offer much in the way of reasonable dialog (if it's any consolation, they seem to hate most of their fellow Jews as much as they despise everyone else).

Would have to disagree though, with the notion that Muslims in Palestine were gracious hosts to those Jewish refugees from Eastern Europe. They actually made life pretty miserable for those Jews and fought tooth and nail to keep Jews out. Again, that's not because they were anti-Semites -- they were acting out of ethnic self interest just like everyone else does. Still, no need to candycoat history.

Anyway, on the topic of the article (which had nothing to do with Israel or Jews though there is the usual mudslinging at pundits who happen to be Jewish), Walt's point vis a vis Islamaphobia is well taken. Fear of homegrown Islamic terrorism is clearly overblown and often little more than thinly vieled racism.

That said, Walt's analysis is a bit simplistic. I think both European and American governments would tell you they've been doing precisely what Gahgeer suggests -- coordinating their efforts and stepping up counterterrorism operations. And then there is that ole' War on Terror thing. As much as all the fighting has sapped American/NATO strength it also has to be having some impact on the terror groups or drawing their focus away from attacks abroad. At the very least, the wars haven't brought on the waves of new terrorists that some have claimed are being created by the GWoT. And lastly, the protests all over the Muslim world, from Tehran last year to Tunisia, Egypt and Yemen seem to point to a bit of a breakdown in the pan Islam movement, inasmuch as the Muslim world was ever monolithic in its views and agendas.

In other words, it's all pretty complicated.

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SIN NOMBRE

3:38 PM ET

February 10, 2011

Yes

DAV305Z wrote:

"In other words, it's all pretty complicated."

While I don't agree with all of what DAV305Z wrote, and don't know enough about some to either agree or disagree, what an exemplary post for the most part: Balanced, cooly stated, sober, gently prods you to double-check your own opinions....

Nice to see. Thanks.

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JACOB BLUES

4:14 PM ET

February 10, 2011

Well Gahgeer, you provided somewhat of an answer

Gahgeer: "And the banality to which "anti-semite" and "jew hater" has so far reached because of its misuse by the some dual-loyalty American Jews is really baffling."

It's so amusing to see people like yourself try to argue against the issue of bigotry by making bigoted comments of your own.

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SCOTTINDALLAS

4:47 PM ET

February 10, 2011

DAV

Then explain the rejection of Israel by South African countries, Eastern Asian countries? I'll remind you, South African countries have vociferously joined the chorus as well as Canada, the EU. Your literally without a friend in the world. This crosses all cultural, religious and legal systems. Why, irrational hatin'? Man, that's some disturbed thinking. I'm American, I know we're transgressing in a similar way. I know our history, I know how we're all propagandized from childhood. You point your finger at the Palestinians' schools, yet don't consider your own? What were the borders on the maps at your school? Cause Israel doesn't like maps, not current political maps--they like historic maps 3000 yrs old.

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DAV305Z

3:03 AM ET

February 11, 2011

Scott, good question

Yes, why do so many African and East Asian nations rush to criticize Israel? Last I checked, most of those places are hardly bastions of human rights, though they seem to have no trouble getting on the lovely UN Human Rights Council. I'd argue it has a lot to do with the banality of international politics. I'd also argue Israel catches a lot of heat simply because it's an easy target. Try slamming the United States, China, or any of the NATO countries and see how far it gets you. As I've said many times in the past, none of this means Israel is beyond reproach: clearly it is not. But the whole "Everybody says you're wrong" argument is pretty simplistic given how hypocritical and frankly off kilter the international conversation is.

As far as what's taught in Israeli schools, I can't tell you. Like you, I grew up in American public schools singing "This land is your land this land is my land, from California to the NY Island." But, yes, you could be right. Most Israelis definitely consider Judea and Samaria as well as the Golan part of Israel. They'd say they won it fair and square, in wars that grew out of Arabs' rejectionist stance. That said, most Israelis consistently support exchanging territory for peace. That support will likely grow stronger if the Egyptian peace holds.

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SCOTTINDALLAS

1:35 PM ET

February 11, 2011

Think you found the easier answer here

"They'd say they won it fair and square, in wars that grew out of Arabs' rejectionist stance. That said, most Israelis consistently support exchanging territory for peace."

The whole world rejects this principle. In fact, Israel itself signed UN Res 242 which renounced this right. Why does Israeli policy contradict international law and their own treaties? You might look at this hypocrisy when trying to explain universal derision. And, the US, China, and Russia all get heaps of invective directed at them. But, not the universal rejection Israel faces from all but the US.

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THE TURKEU BLOG

10:27 AM ET

February 10, 2011

Good post

Thanks for the helpful corrective and for the link. I have posted a link to your post on my blog, along with some more excerpts from the report.

Paul T. Levin

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DON BACON

3:41 PM ET

February 10, 2011

Be afraid, very afraid of UDT's

news report:
Terrorist threat may be at most 'heightened state' since 9/11, Napolitano says.

May be. But don't let the facts lessen the threat of 'Islamic terror.'

"There are a variety of domestic extremist groups more prevalent in the United States than Islamic extremists, including neo-Nazis, environmental extremists, anti-tax groups, and others," Rep. Bennie G. Thompson (D-Miss.), the ranking minority member on the committee, wrote last week in a letter to King in which he called for the scope of the hearings to be expanded.

[House Committee on Homeland Security chairman] King rejected that idea, saying in a written reply that threats from "Islamic jihad were uniquely diabolical."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/09/AR2011020904896.html?hpid=topnews

Gotta love it: UDT's = uniquely diabolical threats

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SABABA03

6:28 PM ET

February 10, 2011

The Reduction is due to vigilance

Either this professor is naive, outright an idiot, or thinks, he is the only one who closely follows events in Europe.

The truth is, the reductions in (terror) attacks in Europe is result of the diligence by which the EU security services, and their massive effort of surveillance and preventive measures against the Muslim thugs, id responsible for the reduction - NOT necessarily because the Islamist have decided to change their view of the infidels, and play nice in EU countries.

It is the barbaric mind set, and the ideology of any religion which prompts the targeting of innocent people with young suicide bomber, who's was promised 72 virgins as incentive to commit these heinous crimes.

Even a single homicide bombing there, is one too many.

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DAVID IN DC

8:53 PM ET

February 10, 2011

A double edged sword for Walt

From Steve's Kennedy school paper:

...rather, the United States has a terrorism problem in good part because it is so closely allied with Israel, not the other way around.  U.S. support for Israel is not the only source of anti-American terrorism, but it is an important one, and it makes winning the war on terror more difficult.

I'm going to infer that the "terrorism problem" to which Steve refers, allegedly because of our relationship with Israel, isn't coming from separatist groups or anarchists.

So I guess this raises a number of questions:

1) Is this "terrorism problem" still extant, or is it over?

2) If the "terrorism problem" is over, then wouldn't it point to the fact that Israel wasn't really the cause, since our relationship with them remains the same as it was when Steve wrote that.?

3) If the "terrorism problem" has not abated (or even if it has), why is it somehow OK for Steve to point out this alleged phenomenom, but not others? Isn't it only the Islamophobic hate-mongers who raise the specter of terrorism of this provenance?

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JACOB BLUES

10:06 PM ET

February 10, 2011

Well done David

Interesting arguments that you raise.

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NEOLEFT

1:11 AM ET

February 11, 2011

Double Edged swords cut both ways Dave

"1)Is this "terrorism problem" still extant, or is it over?"

Is our close relationship with Israel extant, or is it over?

"2)If the "terrorism problem" is over, then wouldn't it point to the fact that Israel wasn't really the cause, since our relationship with them remains the same as it was when Steve wrote that.?"

True, but it's not over. How many suicide attacks have taken place in Iraq and Afghanistan this past week alone?

"3)If the "terrorism problem" has not abated (or even if it has), why is it somehow OK for Steve to point out this alleged phenomenom, but not others?"

Who made that argument?

BTW Dave, don't forget to take your straw man with you when you leave.

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DAVID IN DC

1:17 PM ET

February 11, 2011

Thank you, Jacob

And as for your replies/non-replies, Neoleft:

Is our close relationship with Israel extant, or is it over?

This is both nonresponsive, and something I clearly answered in the post to which you replied.

True, but it's not over. How many suicide attacks have taken place in Iraq and Afghanistan this past week alone?

This is an interesting reply. You agree with my point ["If the "terrorism problem" is over, then wouldn't it point to the fact that Israel wasn't really the cause..."], but point out that the "terrorism problem" isn't over.

I think you are mistaken on a number of levels. First, when Steve refers to so-called 'Islamic terror' or our 'terrorism problem', I don't think he is referring to Iraqis blowing up other Iraqis or Afghanis blowing up other Afghanis. Second, even if Steve was including foreign nationals murdering their fellow countrymen in far away places when he invoked 'Islamic terror' or our 'terrorism problem', it is a very far leap to conclude that Israel has anything to do with it.

Who made that argument?

Steve did. For instance, this quote:

I know there are lot of people getting rich fueling Islamophobia, but we'd really all be better off if they would focus their attention to anarchists, or maybe separatist groups like ETA.

Steve here is calling out those who focus on so-called 'Islamic terror' as bigots. Yet he did the same when he wrote of our 'terrorism problem'. He didn't focus his attention on anarchists or separatist groups either. So, to reiterate - is there a 'terrorism problem', as Steve wrote, and if there is why is it not OK for people not named 'Steve Walt' to talk about it?

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ALANIA

6:43 AM ET

February 12, 2011

@David in D.C.

Well made point.

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SCOTTINDALLAS

12:16 AM ET

February 11, 2011

economic realities, what do we do?

I know this is tangential, but I’ve been big on how this is all a reflection of the collapse of the American Empire. Here’s what the Dallas school district is looking at:

below is the complete PowerPoint presentation given to the board of trustees. In it, you’ll find what the super likes to call “the new reality,” which could very well include more than 3,100 campus workers let go, student-teacher ratios of 35:1 in middle and high schools, and millions more lost for supplies, bilingual education programs … well, hell, you name it
http://blogs.dallasobserver.com/unfairpark/

It amounts to a 260 million dollar budget cut, fully 20%. This is just education, both state and local are cutting cops programs (yea!) but many, many jobs are gonna be cut. So, Dallas may see fully a 1/2 trillion dollar hole in its economy. And, this is Dallas, one of the best performing cities and regions in the country. So, are we gonna continue to support over 750 military bases abroad while these cuts happen? This is a “worst case scenario” as the TX legislature hasn’t decided, once these domestic austerity measures are more than speculation, maybe people will wake up.

Or, maybe we’re so full of Tea that we’ll go with it, it’ll be “good for the economy” say the GOP. Well, unlike what we faced in 1933, we’re already in one hell of a debt hole. Much of what the Federal Reserve has done has exacerbated the recession for most of us. The free money they are throwing out (at literally 1/2% or less) has been turned to inflate commodities and stocks. Gasoline should cost $1.50 now based on supply and demand, the premium is for the financiers.

And this is squeezing Egypt. We, due to the language barrier and legacies rely on the EU to monitor North Africa. Their austerity measures have whithered NATO along with Afghanistan, Iraq and our adventurism. So, much sooner than we might imagine, this whole Empire could collapse. We are Egyptian, we are facing the same source of funding and control, all our shackles could rust away. We’re left with the T.S. Eliot question, will we go out “with a bang, or a whimper?”

And, whither Israel in such a world?

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SCOTTINDALLAS

12:16 AM ET

February 11, 2011

economic realities, what do we do?

I know this is tangential, but I’ve been big on how this is all a reflection of the collapse of the American Empire. Here’s what the Dallas school district is looking at:

below is the complete PowerPoint presentation given to the board of trustees. In it, you’ll find what the super likes to call “the new reality,” which could very well include more than 3,100 campus workers let go, student-teacher ratios of 35:1 in middle and high schools, and millions more lost for supplies, bilingual education programs … well, hell, you name it
http://blogs.dallasobserver.com/unfairpark/

It amounts to a 260 million dollar budget cut, fully 20%. This is just education, both state and local are cutting cops programs (yea!) but many, many jobs are gonna be cut. So, Dallas may see fully a 1/2 trillion dollar hole in its economy. And, this is Dallas, one of the best performing cities and regions in the country. So, are we gonna continue to support over 750 military bases abroad while these cuts happen? This is a “worst case scenario” as the TX legislature hasn’t decided, once these domestic austerity measures are more than speculation, maybe people will wake up.

Or, maybe we’re so full of Tea that we’ll go with it, it’ll be “good for the economy” say the GOP. Well, unlike what we faced in 1933, we’re already in one hell of a debt hole. Much of what the Federal Reserve has done has exacerbated the recession for most of us. The free money they are throwing out (at literally 1/2% or less) has been turned to inflate commodities and stocks. Gasoline should cost $1.50 now based on supply and demand, the premium is for the financiers.

And this is squeezing Egypt. We, due to the language barrier and legacies rely on the EU to monitor North Africa. Their austerity measures have whithered NATO along with Afghanistan, Iraq and our adventurism. So, much sooner than we might imagine, this whole Empire could collapse. We are Egyptian, we are facing the same source of funding and control, all our shackles could rust away. We’re left with the T.S. Eliot question, will we go out “with a bang, or a whimper?”

And, whither Israel in such a world?

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CEOUNICOM

10:10 AM ET

February 11, 2011

Scott...

...not to interrupt your exercise in bedwetting and randomized 'connect-the-dots' reasoning, but we could never have waged a single war since 1990, and you'd still be broke in Dallas, as they are in Cali and most everywhere else. And your problems with your public service workers in TX have nothing to do with Empire/the fed/gas prices/foreign military bases/Egypt.

Also = America is not an Empire (study actual empires first, then compare/contrast) and 'financiers' are not robbing drivers with a gas surcharge.

The #1 problem you fail to identify is the profligacy of US state and federal spending. Thats why you're in a hole, not because of Iraq or the joos. See, there's this thing called 'economic cycles' which Keynes proposed could be ameliorated by government spending... which in fact, has done nothing but make a hole deeper, longer, wider.

Read the vanity fair story by Michael Lewis (when irish eyes are crying); it provides a nice microcosm of how cheap money+ government ineptitude/encouragement of unsound investment+natural cyclical processes destroyed the 'celtic tiger'; all without any help from the Evil American Empire, strangely. What happened to them happened to us, but in a simpler form that is easier for the non-economically literate to grasp.

cheap money+federally mandated subprime lending+illusions of proper risk management = Bust

'Extraordinary Delusions and The Madness of Crowds' needs a new edition, with a couple chapters on 1999-2009

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SCOTTINDALLAS

1:53 PM ET

February 11, 2011

CEO

You've offered nothing new, and missed the principle of opportunity costs. Furthermore, the examples I provided are indeed typical examples of our profligacy--which you correctly identified. You're missing the larger picture. Furthermore, you are wrong on speculation--that is indeed part and parcel of our Fed's attempts to restart some inflation in our soft economy. You've failed to connect the dots and do the due diligence on commodities speculation. When we've had supplies as great as they are today, gas sold for less than a $1/gal. What fundamentals have changed that justifies stock prices? Again, here we likely agree on the nature of ill-advised legislation--ethanol from food has created real demand pressures on corn, but most are due to QE2 and corporate cash that's sloshing around with no demand to fulfill.

Further, you argue about business cycles but ignore that is my very point, we are presumably coming out of a recession that is driven by lack of demand. There is no way that laying off all those workers will boost demand. I admit that borrowing money to keep those salaries isn't a great solution, but it may be the best we have available.

Anyway, these layoffs will have real repercussions not just economically but politically. This will no doubt put pressure on military spending. Finally, your assertion that we are not an empire is asinine. YOU might want to study history and empires. We've basically established leaders in every country that makes up the former Ottoman Empire--and that is on the other side of the world. We don't have our puppets in all of those countries, but those exceptions are ringed with our troops. No, our empire isn't totally connected like was necessary in the days before air travel, nuclear powered navies and the like. But, 750 military bases abroad makes a pretty good case.

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CEOUNICOM

9:54 AM ET

February 11, 2011

Something worth mentioning

...is that 'islamic' terrorism in the islamic world (against other muslims) is - while not ascendant - certainly far more common than it used to be.

I refer you to recent news on the AfPak channel looking at Pakistan's current situation.

http://afpak.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/02/10/analysing_pakistans_internal_security_situation

Is this indicative of a rising or decreasing 'threat' to the west? Who knows. The fact that these killers are persistent and pervasive is not encouraging.

Also not encouraging =

And yet the government continues to rely almost exclusively on military solutions to armed opposition in the northwest, particularly FATA. Failure to address the growing ethno-political and sectarian intolerance in Pakistan's cities, the influence of militants in Karachi as well as the continuing alienation and radicalization of a largely young and poor population in South Punjab have compounded the problem. The military is mainly relying on a ‘hit, clear, hold, and build' strategy. The holding and rebuilding parts of this strategy cannot succeed without public support and partnership, better coordination among federal and provincial governments and availability of adequate resources.

This sounds strangely familiar. Where have I heard this, "clear, hold, build" idea.... hmmm. also this idea of failure of coordination.... Something seems to be ringing a bell here...

9+ years of war, and things are probably no better than they were on 9/12

You know things are bad when people start copycatting your failed ideas.

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SCOTTINDALLAS

2:03 PM ET

February 11, 2011

can't recognize your own reflection

They aren't copying our ideas, they are our proxy forces, this is more waste of our money. If we stopped the MILITARY Aid, these states would be forced to deal with these people. Of course those insurgents are often situated in some critical valley/pass, or on some mineral rich land. Rather than demand they get compensation for their land, which would reduce terrorism threats, we snatch and grab and let the chips fall where they may. Well, many of those chips land on shoulders, and we should care about this. This, CEO is what democracy means. The rights of individuals are protected. We do a fair job of that here, and deal with the worst of the worst abroad. Have you missed our support of Mubarak and Suleiman? Have you forgotten the Declaration of Independence? Those living under tyranny have a right and duty to alter or abolish that tyranny. Further, the colonial master tyranny is the real tyranny. Why are we painting targets on our country? Why are we flying pilotless drones over defenseless people?

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MAKESSENSE

11:49 AM ET

February 11, 2011

Define Islamism and "Islamist"

U.S. foreign policy cannot be rationally-based, strategic or intelligent if the political actors in the U.S. do not have a clear definition of events, movements and people with whom they need to interact and influence.

Would one politician in the U.S. be able to define the word "Islamist" that is forever bandied about in public discourse.

The term, used so liberally in the NYT and with such concern in the WSJ, Fox and CNN, it is never defined - and it is used to describe political parties so diverse that it cannot be anything other than totally confusing. You can't make intelligent policy to advance America's interests if you don't even know what it is you are dealing with.

If it is OK every single day in America to put the Turkish ruling Development & Justice Party, the Egyptian Brotherhood, HAMAS, Hizbullah, al-qaeda and the Iran as "Islamist" then, hello, that betrays utter confusion at the highest level in American policy making. That would be the equivalent of having a single term in the political language to describe as diverse a range of parties in Europe as to encompass everything from the Christian Democrats through to Conservatives through to fascists - that would be considered utterly absurd to bunch parties of that rang under one banner in the case of Europe, so it is that the description of issues in the Middle East in America is less than meaningless - it is mind boggling reflection of decadence and decay in critical faculties.

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DAVID IN DC

1:44 PM ET

February 11, 2011

Reason and evidence

Walt: Trying to inject reason and evidence into this sort of debate is usually futile...

http://www2.fbi.gov/ucr/hc2009/data/table_01.html

Nine times as many anti-Jewish hate crimes as anti-Muslim. I thought perhaps Steve "words matter' Walt would be interested.

The core of the Lobby is comprised of American Jews who make a significant effort in their daily lives to bend U.S. foreign policy so that it advances Israel’s interests.,

--Steve Walt and John Measheimer, Kennedy School working paper

There follows the usual caveats -- not all Jews, not monolithic in opinion, etc. -- but I am not certain the guy spray painting swastikas on a synagogue is really internalizing them.

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SCOTTINDALLAS

2:09 PM ET

February 11, 2011

Not sure these are equivalent

You should get the CAIR updates and balance those with ADL. The Muslims don't even note the repeated slurs that would have Abe Foxman taking notes, wailing, and tearing at his clothes. Plus, the official bigotry toward Muslims versus Jews--our intelligence services aren't balanced here.

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THE TURKEU BLOG

8:46 PM ET

February 11, 2011

David

I don't understand what this comment has to do with Walt's post. Pointing out that we have a problem with Islamophobia in North America and Europe doesn't equate to denying the existence of antisemitism.

This (unlike power/security...) is not a zero-sum game. There is enough hate to go around for everyone.

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ALANIA

6:56 AM ET

February 12, 2011

I think what David has to say is important and relavent

First let me say to the poster who decides to attack the validity of the information: if you want to go and find clear evidence that there is a different definiton of anti-semetism and Islamophobia in the government reports then please by all means post it.

Now let me go on to say that yes, both Islamophobia and Anti-semetism are problems. Yet what bothers me is this. In his "Kudos to Clemens" Walt says:

"Second, using the charge of anti-Semitism as an all-purpose weapon designed to silence any and all criticisms of Israeli policy makes it harder to deal with the dwindling number of genuine anti-Semites who still exist. Like all forms of ethnic or religious bigotry, anti-Semitism is a despicable phenomenon with a long and sordid history, and we should all remain vigilant against its resurgence and condemn it when it arises."

Take special note of "the dwindling number of genuine anti-Semites who still exist" and "we should all remain vigilant against its resurgence and condemn it when it arises".

There is not a dwindling number of anti-semetic cases, and addressing such a significantly smaller (but no less terrible) problem while brushing off anti-semetism is absurd.

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NICHOLAS WIBBERLEY

11:03 AM ET

February 12, 2011

Injecting reason and evidence.

We need to keep in mind that the intellect is not some sort of dowsing rod to locate truths, it is a capacity we need for chopping God’s homogenous creation into bite size bits that are easier to deal with. What people feel intuitively is just as true as anything they conclude through the employment of reason.

Islamophobia is not necessarily related to terrorist attacks any more than antisemitism or any other prejudice. It generally accepted that periods of economic stress tend to engender phobias. Looking from a different angle, there is an ideological divide between Islam and the West in the matter of usury, a practice that is, in its domestic sense, antipathetic to Islam but the life-blood of Western capitalism, and Western Islamophobia could well reflect a defiantly over optimistic response to the niggling feeling that they may have a point.

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Stephen M. Walt is the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.

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