Analysis & Projections

Analysis & Projections

Models & Documentation

EIA projects record winter household heating oil prices in the Northeast ›

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Today in Energy , October 12, 2011.
China and India account for half of global energy growth through 2035 ›

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Today in Energy , September 19, 2011.
New EIA analysis: What drives crude oil prices? ›

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy & Financial Markets: What Drives Crude Oil Prices? .
Price projections from Short-Term Energy Outlook ›

Note: Crude oil price is refiner average acquisition cost. Retail prices include State and Federal taxes.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook.
EIA projects declines in U.S. average energy use per person and per dollar of GDP ›

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2011, April 26, 2011

Energy In Brief

What is a cap-and-trade program and how does it work?

A cap-and-trade program is designed to reduce emissions of a pollutant by placing a limit (or cap) on the total amount of emissions. The cap is implemented through a system of allowances that can be traded to minimize costs to affected sources. Cap-and-trade programs for greenhouse gas emissions would increase the costs of using fossil fuels.

What are renewable portfolio standards (RPS) and how do they affect generation of electricity from renewable sources?

Renewable portfolio standards are policies designed to increase electricity generation from renewable resources, including wind, solar, geothermal, and biomass. Many States have their own renewable portfolio standards, although currently there is no program at the National level. States with renewable portfolio programs have seen an increase in the amount of electricity generated from renewable fuels.

Read All Energy in Brief Articles ›

Features

Short-Term Energy and Winter Fuels Outlook

Released October 12, 2011

EIA projects average household heating expenditures for natural gas, propane, and heating oil will increase by 3 percent, 7 percent, and 8 percent, respectively, this winter (October 1 to March 31) compared with last winter, while electricity heating expenditures fall by less than 1 percent.Â Average expenditures for households that heat with oil are forecast to be higher than in any previous winter.

Review of Emerging Resources: U.S. Shale Gas and Shale Oil Plays

Released July 8, 2011

To gain a better understanding of the potential U.S. domestic shale gas and shale oil resources, EIA commissioned INTEK, Inc. to develop an assessment of onshore Lower 48 States technically recoverable shale gas and shale oil resources. This paper briefly describes the scope, methodology, and key results of the report and discusses the key assumptions that underlie the results.

Annual Energy Outlook 2011

Released April 26, 2011 | Next Release: April 2012

The full version of Annual Energy Outlook 2011 includes 57 sensitivity cases that show how different assumptions regarding market, policy, and technology drivers affect the Reference case projections of energy production, consumption, technology, and market trends and the direction they may take in the future.

Updated Capital Cost Estimates for Electricity Generation Plants

Annual Energy Outlook 2011 Early Release
Released November 18, 2010

This paper provides information on the cost of building new electricity power plants. These cost estimates are critical inputs in the development of energy projections and analyses.