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Circulation
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TABLE 2-3. Remaining Lifetime Risks for CVD and Other Diseases Among Men and Women Free of Disease at 40 and 70 Years of Age
Diseases
Remaining Lifetime Risk at Age 40
Remaining Lifetime Risk at Age 70
Men
Women
Men
Women
Any CVD* 2 in 3 >1 in 2 >1 in 2 1 in 2
CHD37 1 in 2 1 in 3 1 in 3 1 in 4
AF38 1 in 4 1 in 4 1 in 4 1 in 4
CHF39 1 in 5 1 in 5 1 in 5 1 in 5
Stroke40 1 in 6{dagger} 1 in 5{dagger} 1 in 6 1 in 5
Dementia40 ... ... 1 in 7 1 in 5
Hip fracture41 1 in 20 1 in 6 ... ...
Breast cancer42,43 1 in 1000 1 in 8 ... 1 in 14
Prostate cancer42 1 in 6 ... ... ...
Lung cancer42 1 in 12 1 in 17 ... ...
Colon cancer42 1 in 16 1 in 17 ... ...
Diabetes44 1 in 3 1 in 3 1 in 9 1 in 7
Hypertension45 9 in 10{dagger} 9 in 10{dagger} 9 in 10{ddagger} 9 in 10{ddagger}
Obesity46 1 in 3 1 in 3 ... ...

Ellipses (...) indicate not estimated; AF, atrial fibrillation.
*Personal communication from D. Lloyd-Jones, based on FHS data.
{dagger}Age 55.
{ddagger}Age 65.





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