District | % Turnout | Change in | % vote 1999 | Swing | Change in % vote | Swing | Change in % vote | |||||||
1999 | % turnout | Con | Lab | LDem | Oth | since | since 1995 | since | since 1998 | |||||
since 1995 | 1995 | Con | Lab | LDem | 1998 | Con | Lab | LDem | ||||||
Barrow++ | 29.4 | * | 42.6 | 39.7 | 1.7 | 16.0 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Blackburn | 30.0 | * | 37.6 | 46.9 | 15.2 | 0.3 | * | * | * | * | + | + | + | + |
Blyth Valley++ | 30.3 | -6.2 | 13.8 | 52.2 | 26.4 | 7.6 | * | * | * | * | + | + | + | + |
Bradford | 30.7 | -6.7 | 39.7 | 38.3 | 16.8 | 5.2 | +15.7 | +11.3 | -15.3 | +4.1 | +1.8 | +1.1 | -2.1 | +0.7 |
Congleton++ | 34.5 | +1.1 | 32.9 | 15.7 | 51.3 | 0.1 | * | * | * | * | +3.2 | -5.5 | -4.8 | +10.3 |
Darlington | 32.7 | -6.6 | 37.7 | 51.8 | 6.1 | 4.4 | +5.3 | +6.8 | -4.0 | -2.9 | + | + | + | + |
Doncaster | 26.9 | -3.7 | 20.0 | 46.0 | 23.8 | 10.2 | +7.0 | +3.8 | -19.2 | +15.9 | -11.8 | -5.9 | +12.4 | -4.2 |
Halton | 22.2 | * | 11.0 | 68.2 | 19.8 | 1.0 | * | * | * | * | + | + | + | + |
Harrogate^ | 33.0 | -2.5 | 39.5 | 9.5 | 51.0 | - | +18.2 | +9.4 | -10.1 | +0.8 | +3.3 | +4.0 | -0.9 | -3.1 |
Hartlepool | 26.1 | -10.2 | 18.1 | 43.8 | 33.5 | 4.7 | +5.6 | +1.8 | -10.6 | +7.1 | -2.5 | -3.2 | -1.4 | +4.6 |
Hull | 19.4 | -7.0 | 14.8 | 56.8 | 20.0 | 8.4 | +7.8 | +5.3 | -7.7 | +0.0 | -1.3 | -0.6 | +5.5 | -6.6 |
Kirkless | 30.9 | -9.1 | 24.3 | 39.1 | 29.1 | 7.5 | +7.1 | +2.6 | -10.0 | +5.4 | -1.1 | -2.2 | -1.0 | +2.8 |
Leeds | 27.2 | -5.3 | 27.7 | 46.1 | 22.1 | 4.1 | +10.1 | +7.8 | -12.1 | +3.9 | +1.5 | +0.8 | -3.2 | +2.0 |
Liverpool | 23.6 | -6.7 | 3.9 | 28.1 | 55.8 | 12.1 | +3.5 | -2.0 | -19.6 | +19.6 | -2.6 | -1.2 | -0.2 | +0.9 |
Manchester | 21.9 | -7.3 | 11.7 | 53.5 | 30.3 | 4.5 | +2.3 | +0.4 | -9.2 | +9.5 | -1.7 | -1.3 | +0.3 | +1.2 |
Newcastle | 25.7 | -7.3 | 14.1 | 49.9 | 32.5 | 3.5 | +6.1 | +3.1 | -11.2 | +8.2 | -0.1 | -0.6 | -2.2 | +2.5 |
North East Lincs. | 29.3 | -7.8 | 25.7 | 40.9 | 22.3 | 11.1 | +6.3 | +6.8 | -9.3 | +2.5 | + | + | + | + |
Preston | 30.3 | -5.5 | 35.8 | 31.5 | 28.5 | 4.2 | +8.8 | +6.5 | -8.1 | +1.6 | -0.3 | +0.2 | +0.0 | -0.2 |
Salford | 21.9 | -6.0 | 18.7 | 59.1 | 22.1 | 0.2 | +7.9 | +5.0 | -10.5 | +5.4 | +1.2 | +1.1 | -1.6 | +0.3 |
Sheffield | 31.2 | -0.4 | 9.2 | 37.9 | 50.6 | 2.2 | -0.1 | -2.5 | -8.8 | +10.7 | -4.2 | -2.3 | +1.1 | +1.1 |
Stockport | 30.6 | -8.7 | 27.1 | 27.6 | 38.5 | 6.8 | +9.7 | +3.0 | -7.5 | +3.6 | +0.5 | +0.7 | -0.4 | -0.5 |
Sunderland | 19.2 | -7.3 | 30.1 | 59.3 | 8.2 | 2.4 | +15.5 | * | * | * | +5.0 | * | * | * |
Wigan | 18.3 | -7.9 | 12.7 | 67.7 | 9.0 | 10.7 | +5.5 | +0.7 | -10.8 | +6.3 | -0.6 | * | * | * |
Wirral | 27.8 | -11.2 | 34.4 | 37.5 | 25.3 | 2.8 | +9.7 | +5.6 | -13.6 | +5.4 | +2.8 | +0.9 | -4.3 | +3.8 |
NORTH | 26.7 | -6.4 | 23.1 | 42.3 | 29.2 | 5.4 | +7.7 | +3.9 | -11.4 | +6.9 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.5 | +0.8 |
Amber Valley^ | 33.5 | -7.2 | 46.4 | 48.0 | 5.6 | - | +12.7 | +11.7 | -7.4 | -3.2 | -1.5 | -1.0 | +0.6 | +0.5 |
Bassetlaw^ | 26.1 | -7.5 | 34.9 | 50.3 | 8.4 | 6.4 | +8.6 | * | * | * | +1.7 | -3.8 | +0.4 | +3.4 |
Birmingham | 27.8 | -5.5 | 31.4 | 41.8 | 18.7 | 8.2 | +9.5 | +7.4 | -9.6 | +2.2 | +1.7 | +0.7 | -2.0 | +0.7 |
Cambridge | 29.7 | -8.3 | 21.0 | 38.1 | 37.7 | 3.3 | +8.6 | +3.5 | -7.2 | +3.3 | -1.2 | -1.7 | +2.0 | -0.3 |
Cannock Chase | 23.5 | -8.0 | 30.2 | 48.4 | 14.4 | 6.9 | +22.7 | +18.8 | -21.4 | +0.3 | +9.3 | +9.3 | -0.3 | -8.0 |
Coventry | 26.9 | -5.3 | 35.5 | 46.7 | 9.2 | 8.5 | +15.2 | +13.4 | -15.9 | +2.0 | +3.5 | +3.2 | -1.6 | +0.5 |
Derby^ | 29.0 | -7.5 | 30.8 | 47.8 | 20.2 | 1.2 | +9.6 | +6.3 | -13.1 | +6.3 | +0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.9 |
Dudley | 26.5 | -8.4 | 35.0 | 46.5 | 17.6 | 0.8 | +12.7 | +11.8 | -9.4 | -1.1 | +0.8 | +0.3 | +0.2 | -0.2 |
Ipswich | 26.2 | -7.6 | 35.8 | 49.3 | 13.2 | 1.7 | +14.4 | +11.8 | -14.0 | +1.3 | +2.3 | +1.0 | -+0.9 | +0.2 |
Leicester | 32.3 | -3.8 | 22.0 | 47.5 | 27.1 | 3.4 | +7.5 | +4.0 | -10.9 | +8.1 | + | + | + | + |
Lincoln++ | 34.6 | * | 25.8 | 46.6 | 4.0 | 23.7 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Northampton++ | 28.3 | * | 28.8 | 43.0 | 23.3 | 5.0 | * | * | * | * | + | + | + | + |
Norwich | 29.1 | -12.9 | 18.8 | 38.6 | 38.5 | 4.1 | +7.4 | +1.6 | -16.2 | +12.8 | +3.0 | +0.3 | -6.5 | +3.9 |
Nuneaton & Bedworth | 26.3 | -9.6 | 32.6 | 60.9 | 6.1 | 0.4 | +7.2 | * | * | * | -1.5 | * | * | * |
Sandwell | 23.6 | -7.2 | 25.2 | 54.8 | 15.7 | 4.3 | +6.9 | +3.9 | -6.4 | +2.5 | +0.0 | +0.9 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
Shrewsbury & Atcham | 35.6 | -6.7 | 36.6 | 34.1 | 27.2 | 2.1 | +14.6 | +8.1 | -7.5 | -0.6 | +4.3 | +1.8 | -0.7 | -1.0 |
Stoke | 22.2 | -4.4 | 16.8 | 46.4 | 20.9 | 16.0 | +7.1 | +3.0 | -19.0 | +16.0 | +0.1 | +1.5 | +5.4 | -5.3 |
Worcester | 29.8 | -6.8 | 39.2 | 37.9 | 14.7 | 8.2 | +15.0 | +13.8 | -10.0 | -3.8 | +2.2 | +4.0 | -0.6 | -2.2 |
MIDLANDS | 27.7 | -6.9 | 29.8 | 45.4 | 18.7 | 6.1 | +10.5 | +7.3 | -11.7 | +4.3 | +1.5 | +1.0 | -0.8 | -0.2 |
Basildon | 24.3 | -13.9 | 37.4 | 40.0 | 22.0 | 0.6 | +9.1 | +9.0 | -6.8 | -2.7 | +0.6 | +2.0 | +0.5 | -3.0 |
Bath & NE Somerset++ | 35.6 | -11.4 | 30.8 | 27.5 | 38.5 | 3.2 | +9.0 | +3.6 | -7.7 | +4.1 | + | + | + | + |
Bedford** | 32.6 | -5.6 | 29.2 | 42.5 | 28.3 | - | +8.9 | +7.6 | -7.1 | -0.2 | +0.3 | +1.4 | -1.8 | +0.4 |
Bristol++ | 34.5 | -8.0 | 26.9 | 37.6 | 27.6 | 7.9 | +6.3 | +3.9 | -8.7 | +2.9 | -2.2 | -3.5 | +0.0 | +1.2 |
Broxbourne++ | 24.2 | * | 56.5 | 30.4 | 12.2 | 0.9 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Eastbourne | 32.0 | -7.6 | 46.0 | 10.4 | 42.4 | 1.2 | +12.0 | +11.1 | -4.5 | -7.0 | +4.8 | +3.7 | -1.7 | -2.1 |
Exeter^ | 36.4 | -10.3 | 20.7 | 43.1 | 25.8 | 10.3 | +5.8 | +5.5 | -4.6 | +0.9 | +2.2 | +2.8 | -1.1 | +1.4 |
Gloucester | 27.5 | -10.9 | 35.6 | 42.6 | 21.8 | - | +14.7 | +11.2 | -11.8 | +0.6 | -0.3 | -1.6 | -0.7 | +2.7 |
Havant | 26.9 | -8.9 | 42.2 | 21.4 | 27.2 | 9.3 | +10.7 | +11.3 | -7.8 | -4.6 | -1.4 | +3.1 | +2.9 | -6.7 |
Maidstone** | 23.4 | -11.6 | 27.7 | 28.4 | 42.5 | 1.4 | +13.2 | +3.4 | -12.3 | +8.3 | +5.9 | +3.9 | -2.3 | -1.1 |
Milton Keynes | 29.1 | * | 29.4 | 36.8 | 28.9 | 4.9 | * | * | * | * | +1.3 | -2.0 | -3.5 | +6.3 |
Oxford | 28.6 | -9.4 | 16.8 | 36.3 | 27.6 | 19.3 | +2.9 | -5.8 | -20.5 | +25.0 | +3.0 | -0.1 | -7.2 | +6.5 |
Penwith^ | 33.6 | -8.7 | 31.5 | 12.3 | 19.7 | 36.5 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Portsmouth | 25.8 | -10.9 | 35.9 | 37.3 | 25.6 | 1.2 | +8.7 | +6.9 | -5.3 | -1.9 | +1.6 | +1.4 | -1.1 | +0.4 |
Reading | 26.5 | -9.3 | 27.7 | 47.8 | 23.1 | 1.4 | +5.6 | +3.8 | -7.1 | +2.3 | + | + | + | + |
Reigate & Banstead | 28.4 | -6.2 | 46.6 | 22.1 | 21.9 | 9.4 | +13.9 | +12.6 | -8.6 | -3.9 | +2.4 | +2.7 | -1.1 | -1.4 |
Runnymede | 26.7 | -8.8 | 52.3 | 17.8 | 20.2 | 9.7 | +6.7 | +6.1 | -4.1 | -1.9 | -0.8 | -1.0 | +1.6 | -0.6 |
Southampton | 26.4 | -9.1 | 23.6 | 40.2 | 29.2 | 7.0 | +7.5 | +4.9 | -7.3 | +1.2 | +3.2 | +2.1 | -3.2 | -0.3 |
Southend | 26.5 | -8.5 | 46.3 | 28.2 | 24.7 | 0.7 | +10.9 | +13.2 | -5.4 | -8.4 | + | + | + | + |
South Somerset++ | 35.9 | * | 34.9 | 6.9 | 46.8 | 11.4 | * | * | * | * | + | + | + | + |
Swale^ | 29.2 | -10.7 | 32.5 | 32.7 | 33.2 | 1.7 | +13.1 | +8.9 | -8.3 | -1.7 | +1.8 | +1.1 | -2.6 | +1.7 |
Swindon | 25.6 | -6.9 | 27.4 | 47.6 | 23.8 | 1.3 | +8.2 | +5.3 | -8.1 | +3.0 | -2.4 | -3.5 | -0.4 | +4.0 |
Thurrock | 20.0 | -9.8 | 33.7 | 63.0 | 2.9 | 0.5 | +15.8 | * | * | * | + | + | + | + |
Watford++ | 33.6 | -2.9 | 30.8 | 37.9 | 31.3 | - | +12.2 | +4.2 | -11.5 | +7.3 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | +1.8 |
Weymouth & Portland | 36.6 | -4.7 | 22.4 | 38.0 | 25.3 | 14.3 | +13.9 | * | * | * | +2.2 | * | * | * |
Worthing | 34.8 | -4.2 | 54.4 | 9.9 | 33.5 | 2.1 | +8.7 | +16.9 | -0.4 | -17.6 | +1.7 | +3.0 | -0.6 | -3.6 |
SOUTH | 29.1 | -8.8 | 33.4 | 32.5 | 28.4 | 5.7 | +9.8 | +7.9 | -7.6 | -0.6 | +1.1 | +1.0 | -1.2 | +0.0 |
PROVINCIAL ENGLAND | 27.6 | -7.2 | 27.7 | 40.6 | 26.0 | 5.7 | +9.1 | +6.0 | -10.3 | +3.9 | +0.6 | +0.3 | -0.8 | +0.3 |
District | % Turnout | Change in | % vote 1999 | Change in % vote | ||||||||||
1999 | % turnout | Con | Lab | LDem | Nat | Oth | since 1995 | |||||||
since 1995 | Con | Lab | LDem | Nat | ||||||||||
Aberdeen++ | 52.5 | +14.4 | 18.7 | 32.6 | 23.6 | 25.0 | 0.2 | +4.3 | -9.4 | -0.3 | +6.9 | |||
Dundee++ | 52.7 | +9.0 | 18.2 | 36.0 | 5.6 | 36.4 | 3.7 | +4.4 | -17.7 | +3.1 | +11.2 | |||
Edinburgh++ | 60.6 | +16.1 | 22.5 | 32.5 | 24.4 | 20.5 | 0.1 | -0.8 | -8.2 | +6.3 | +3.2 | |||
Glasgow++ | 47.0 | +8.8 | 7.4 | 49.6 | 5.7 | 29.7 | 7.6 | +0.8 | -11.9 | +2.3 | +6.9 | |||
SCOTTISH CITIES | 52.7 | +12.0 | 15.7 | 39.4 | 15.2 | 26.2 | 3.4 | +1.4 | -11.2 | +3.9 | +5.7 | |||
Cardiff++ | 43.1 | -1.5 | 20.5 | 40.8 | 26.8 | 4.5 | 7.3 | +4.9 | -10.8 | +8.8 | -2.9 | |||
Newport | 41.0 | -1.7 | 26.6 | 46.5 | 16.6 | 1.2 | 9.0 | +5.9 | -17.8 | +6.3 | +1.2 | |||
Swansea++ | 45.4 | +7.0 | 13.4 | 38.1 | 24.0 | 6.5 | 18.0 | +3.1 | -11.8 | +3.4 | +3.3 | |||
Wrexham++ | 39.1 | -7.7 | 7.3 | 38.7 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 37.5 | -0.4 | -9.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | |||
WELSH CITIES | 42.9 | +0.3 | 17.9 | 40.7 | 22.6 | 4.5 | 14.3 | +3.3 | -11.9 | +5.4 | +0.4 |
Prepared for The Economist. Source: John Curtice, CREST. Computing: Martin Range, Oxford University.
Notes to Table
This table shows the votes cast in the 68 districts in The Economists sample of 70 provincial English districts in which elections were held this year together with the outcome in its sample of 4 Scottish and Welsh cities. For England, the first two columns show (i) the overall percentage of the registered electorate in the district casting a valid vote and (ii) the change in that percentage since 1995. The final eight columns compare the distribution of votes cast in 1999 with the distribution in local election elections held in May 1995 and May 1998. Swing is the net change in the Conservative share of the vote cast for Conservative and Labour combined; a plus sign indicates a swing to Conservative, a minus sign to Labour. For swing since 1995, the figure shown is the average in all wards fought by Conservative and Labour in both 1999 and 1995 (excluding wards where there was a significant vote for Independent or other minor party candidates. For swing since 1998 the figure shown is the average based on all wards fought by Conservative and Labour in 1998 and 1999 (and where there was no significant vote for Independent or minor party candidates). In addition, for 1995 the table shows the average change in the share of the total vote won by Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat candidates in wards fought by all three parties on both occasions (and where there was no significant vote for Independent or other minor party candidates). For 1998 it shows the change in the average share of the total vote won by Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat candidates in wards fought by all three parties on both occasions (and where there was no significant vote for Independent or minority party candidates). Note however that in Scotland and Wales the figures for change in turnout and change in each of the party's share of the vote are based on the overall total of votes cast across the district; they are thus potentially subject to fluctuations in the number of wards fought by each party. There were no elections in Scotland or Wales in 1998.
- No candidates * Statistic can only be quoted for less than three wards. + No elections in 1998. ++ Ward boundary changes introduced this year. ** Bedford is the area of the parliamentary constituency; Maidstone is the area of the former borough. ^ Elections held in only two-thirds or so of the wards.