Posted By Joshua Keating

Eurocasualty Portugal may get a helping hand from an unexpected source, it's oil-rich former colony Angola:

Angola is prepared to help its former colonial power Portugal cope with its financial crisis, the oil-rich nation's President Jose Eduardo Dos Santos said. After meeting visiting Portuguese Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho, he said solutions needed to be found. They should be "advantageous for both countries" and "in a spirit of solidarity and mutual help", he said.

Analysts say Portugal's economy is expected to contract by 2.8% next year and Angola's to grow by 12%.

The IMF has agreed to give Portugal a $107bn bailout on condition that it introduces a wide range of economic reforms - including privatisation.

Analysts say Angola could buy stakes in some of the privatised companies.

Angola's investments in Portugal have risen sharply in recent years. The figure in 2009 stood at $156m (£99m), compared to $2.1m in 2002, according to the Portuguese Institute of International Relations and Security (IPRIS), a Lisbon-based think-tank.

Angolan companies own the equivalent of 3.8% of companies listed on Portugal's stock exchange, from banks to telecoms and energy, it says.

This may ultimately turn out to be a good deal for the Angolan government. Though given that 40 percent of the country lives in poverty and it has the world's highest infant mortality rate, Angolans might reasonably wonder where all that oil and investment wealth is going.

On the Portuguese side, despite a dark and bloody colonial history, the country now seems relatively lucky to have some of the fastest growing economies in the developing world -- Brazil, Angola, Mozambique -- connected to it by history and language. (Passos Coelho actually grew up in Angola.)

Italy's former colonial empire -- comprised of the territories that are now Libya, Somalia, Ethiopia, and Eritrea -- is likely to be in a far less generous mood.   

Posted By Joshua Keating

Top news: Hillary Clinton will visit Burma next month, the first visit by a U.S.  Secretary of State in more than 50 years. The announcement by President Barack Obama followed democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi announcement that she would run for parliament in this year's elections. 

”After years of darkness, we’ve seen flickers of progress in these last several weeks,” Obama said at a meeting of ASEAN leaders in Bali, referring to the recent release of some Burmese political prisoners and political reforms that could open the country's political system up to opposition groups. ASEAN has agreed to let Burma chair the regional group in 2014.

Aung San Suu Kyi, who has been under intermittent house arrest since her party's victory in 1990 elections was ignored by the military government, has welcomed the recent moves but says more progress is still needed. Her party boycotted the 2010 elections because of an election law that prevented her from running.  

Syria: A civil war now appears more likely in Syria, after an increasing number of attacks against security forces. The foreign ministers of France and Turkey are calling for harsher sanctions against the regime. The Syrian government has reportedly agreed to alow an Arab League monitoring mission in the country. 


Asia

  • A memo, allegedly sent to Adm. Mike Mullen from Pakistan's senior military leaders offering to reshape the country's military leadership in the wake of the Osama bin Laden raid, has been revealed
  • The U.N. is estimating that up to three million Afghans are facing hunger this winter. 
  • Former Philippine President Gloria Arroyo was arrested on fraud charges

Europe

  • Italy's new prime minister won a vote of confidence after presenting his new economic plan. 
  • A planned Greek debt swap could reduce the country's deficit by 5.4 percent of GDP. 
  • David Cameron and Angela Merkel are holding talks in an effort to defuse tensions over the euro crisis. 

Middle East

Americas

  • Hundreds were arrested at "occupy" protests throughout the United States on Thursday. 
  • Opposition activists in Nicaragua are disputing President Daniel Ortega's reelection. 
  • Mexican President Felipe Calderon has named a new interior minister, following the death of Francisco Blake Mora in a helicopter crash last week. 

Africa




Soe Than WIN/AFP/Getty Images
EXPLORE:MORNING BRIEF

This week, Foreign Policy launched its new Election 2012 channel, devoted to following the race for the White House and the politics of foreign policy. It's an exclusive, comprehensive look at how the candidates view the world -- and how the world factors into the U.S. political conversation. With foreign-policy profiles of all the candidates, weekly columns from the Washington Post's Behind the Numbers team and Michael A. Cohen, the latest from our lineup of bloggers, and this weekly newsletter -- featuring the latest highlights (and lowlights) from the campaign trail -- it's one-stop shopping for a global look at the U.S. election. Sign up here to have it delivered straight to your inbox every Friday morning.

South Carolina showdown

After a long series of debates focused on the economy in which international issues factored only peripherally, the candidates finally met for their first event devoted solely to foreign policy and national security in Spartanburg, South Carolina, on Saturday, Nov. 12. At the debate, co-sponsored by CBS News and the National Journal, candidates squared off on Iran, Israel, China, and the war in Afghanistan.

The sharpest difference between the candidates came over the question of foreign aid -- particularly to "difficult" countries like Pakistan. Rick Perry said the foreign aid budget under his administration would "start at zero" and countries would then be judged on their policies. Newt Gingrich agreed, asking why the United States would aid a country that "hid bin Laden for at least six years."

Rick Santorum and Michele Bachmann disagreed, noting Pakistan's nuclear capabilities and the importance of maintaining a basic level of cooperation with the country's government. Santorum later accused his opponents of "pandering to an anti-foreign aid element out there."  

In the end, pundits generally scored the debate as a victory for Mitt Romney, who managed the task of "not making any gaffes and otherwise looking presidential," as one GOP insider put it.

At FP, Cohen summed up the not-so-great debate and Daniel Drezner gave grades.

The Cain Train(wreck)

Following the Nov. 12 debate, during which Herman Cain managed to exceed very low expectations by appearing somewhat in command of the issues, the former pizza tycoon had a rough week on the campaign trail. First there was a torturous interview with the editorial board of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel during which Cain appeared not only unsure of his position on the Obama administration's policies in Libya, but unsure of what actually happened there. In the same interview, he suggested that an attack on Iran wouldn't be practical because "It's very mountainous." When asked by a reporter later if his Libya response demonstrated a lack of knowledge of foreign policy, he simply replied "9-9-9"? (Maybe he meant "nein, nein, nein"?) He also told one of the Journal Sentinel's reporters, "I'm not supposed to know anything about foreign policy. Just thought I'd throw that out.… I want to talk to commanders on the ground."

Cain followed up this performance with an appearance at Miami's famed Café Versailles, an important gathering place for Cuban exiles in the city, during which he asked, "How do you say 'delicious' in Cuban?" and also made it clear that he had never heard of the "wet foot, dry foot" policy, which has been in place to handle Cuban immigration for more than a decade.

Not surprisingly, Cain's campaign canceled an interview with the New Hampshire Union Leader after the paper insisted on videotaping the conversation.  

Read FP's exclusive profile of Cain's foreign policy here.

The Gingrich surge

After weeks on the margins of the race, Gingrich seems to be riding something of a surge, climbing above 20 percent for the first time in two polls released this week. Republican voters still seem to be searching for a conservative alternative to Romney, and with Cain floundering, the former speaker of the House appears to be taking advantage. The boom may be driven by Gingrich's perceived strength on national security. Gingrich got strong marks for his performance in Saturday's debate: Democratic voters polled by National Journal actually judged him the winner, and in a Fox News poll, Republican voters said Gingrich was the candidate they trusted most with nuclear weapons.

Read FP's exclusive profile of Gingrich's foreign policy here.

Will Jon Huntsman have his moment?

Huntsman is still polling in the single digits, but the former Utah governor and ambassador has launched a major media blitz in New Hampshire, hoping that his brand of competent realism will sooner or later catch on. And when it comes to foreign policy, Huntsman is in his element: He has attacked his rivals, accusing Romney of "total pandering" for his hawkish rhetoric on China. Huntsman is somewhat more aggressive when it comes to Iran, telling CNN's Piers Morgan this week that "sanctions aren't going to have much of an impact" on the country and that "it's likely we're going to have a conversation with Israel at some point" about other ways to stop Tehran's nuclear program.

Read FP's exclusive profile of Huntsman's foreign policy here.

Obama in Asia

The president is touring the Pacific this week, with stops in Hawaii, Australia, and Indonesia. On his trip, Obama is promoting a new base for U.S. Marines in Australia and a new Pacific Rim free trade agreement, both initiatives likely aimed at responding to an emergent Chinese military and economic threat. The president's comments abroad have made their way into the campaign as well. The president noted in an interview in Hawaii that the U.S. government had been "a little bit lazy … over the last couple of decades" in promoting the United States as a destination for international investment.

A Perry ad released on Nov. 16 inferred that the president had been referring to the American people as lazy. "That's what our president thinks is wrong with America? That Americans are lazy? That's pathetic," Perry says in the commercial aired in New Hampshire.

Read FP's exclusive profile of Obama's foreign policy here.

Looking ahead

On Tuesday, Nov. 22, the candidates will meet for another foreign-policy debate, this one in Washington, D.C. With Gingrich beginning to surge in the polls, other candidates -- particularly Perry and Cain -- who have seen their campaigns hobbled by recent gaffes may be on the attack. FP's crack Election 2012 reporters will be in attendance, covering the debate from all angles.

Wednesday, Nov. 23, is the deadline for the congressional "supercommittee" to find $1.2 trillion dollars in deficit reductions. If the committee fails, it could trigger massive cuts to defense spending. Conservative groups -- including this week's debate hosts, the American Enterprise Institute and the Heritage Foundation -- have issued a statement on the potential cuts, saying, "The future of America's national security hangs in the balance." Defense spending is sure to be a major topic in Tuesday's discussion.

The latest from FP's Election 2012 channel:

Cohen argues that, surprisingly, Democrats have become the party of national security. But with a lousy economy, is it enough to propel Obama to victory?

David Rothkopf thinks so. After watching Saturday's debate, he listed 10 reasons why Obama will get a second term.

James Traub wonders just who Republicans think America's friends are.

Drezner said conservatives shouldn't despair about the GOP field's weakness on foreign- policy issues. A non-despairing Peter Feaver responded.

Following Cain's tortured Libya answer, Drezner declared a Herman Cain Mercy Rule in effect, vowing to stop writing about the candidate. [We'll see how long that lasts. -Ed.]

From Shadow Government's loyal opposition, Michael Magan urges the GOP candidates to reconsider their blanket opposition to foreign aid.

Sen. Lindsey Graham told The Cable's Josh Rogin that the candidates need to "step up their game" on foreign policy.

Alex Wong/Getty Images

Posted By Joshua Keating

For last Friday's "Decline Watch" post, I highlighted a New York Times op-ed which made what I thought was a pretty bizarre argument calling for the U.S. to strike a grand bargain with Beijing under which it would end its military support for Taiwan in exchange for debt relief. A number of other blogs -- not to mention the Taiwanese media, seemed baffled by the piece as well. 

The author of the op-ed, Paul V. Kane, a Marine veteran of Iraq and a former fellow with the International Security Program at Harvard’s Kennedy School, has written in to clarify his point, which he says was intended in the spirit of Swiftian satire. 

Here's Kane's response:

Was the piece intended to stir the pot and provoke debate? Absolutely.  If a piece is not provocative, it doesn't get published, it doesn't get read, and it has no impact.

The primary point though of the piece is that our "economic security" is more important than our traditional view that military might trumps all.  You can't pay for military might without adequate economic security and a healthy economy. You can't support allies without a purse full of coins and a treasury filled with gold. Is it not true that senior U.S. military leaders have said and fretted aloud that the single greatest threat to the existence of the American Republic is our national debt and spend-like-a-drunken-sailor-on-leave ways? No offense to sailors intended.

As Leslie Gelb presciently said, "GDP matters more than force."

It was my intent to mix serious issues and facts with irony and Swiftian satire to engage readers and make my points. No apologies on that count. 

Isn't it ironic that nearly 40 years after Nixon went to Communist China, they own 8-9 percent of casino capitalist America's government debt? Isn't it ironic that we the American people fund the U.S. Navy, the chief instrument ensuring the global sea lanes are free and open for Chinese goods to flood the world?  Isn't it ironic that while we spend from our finite treasury to move military chess pieces around the Pacific, China is out buying all the bauxite rights in the Congo, and is acquiring energy and water assets that will feed their economy for a generation?

Could we do a deal with China for debt and resolution of Taiwan's status. Absolutely.  Should we?  If you put a gun to my head and asked me if I truly thought we should, I have small children, so I would have to answer you honestly.

No, that was a "modest proposal" along the lines of the master of satire Jonathan Swift's solution for poverty in Ireland. Satire is not a joke, it is an extremely useful way to provoke new, original thought and debate.  What is hilarious is that some academics in Taiwan and elsewhere stayed up late at night reading the piece literally and trying to build cases to refute its content, and castigating my logic and morals, and cooking-up deep financial analysis of how a deal would impact the U.S. Treasury Bill markets...   Take your wife out to dinner! Professor or Joe Blogger, it was time miss spent.

The New York Times is kind enough to host my writings every few years.  In 2009, I had a Times piece, "Up, Up and Out" about U.S. military reform that, again, included serious points and facts, humorous and ironic ones, and suggested "First, we should eliminate the Air Force..."  It was a month before the sonic boom F-18 overflights of our family home stopped...

Did I think that the Air Force should go away, literally? No.  But I did believe, as did many other military service members then, that the then Air Force was insufficiently martial, too corporate, and not pulling its weight in the wars."  Point made.  Did the Secretary of Defense read and get a chuckle out of that piece.  You bet. Impact.

Anyone who has served in combat will tell you that in that environment you see first-hand that life is brief and intense and filled with irony, terror, deadly seriousness and the deadly boring mundane, risk and joy, and yes, humor.  Combat makes you much more of an out-of-the-box thinker when facing issues in policy or in life.  You are able to freely ask, "Why are we doing this? What are we trying to accomplish here? Is there a better way to do this for the greater good?"

Many thanks to you, Josh, and your readers for taking time to read and consider my Op-Ed's points. 

Update: Kane seems to have sent the same letter to James Fallows at the Atlantic.  As Fallows notes, we were not aware that the same letter had been sent to multiple sources. 

Posted By Uri Friedman

You know that classic trick of telling your only daughter that she's your favorite daughter? The U.S. appears to be employing similar linguistic cunning with its allies. America, you see, is rather promiscuous when it comes to professing best friendship.

On Wednesday, for example, as President Obama and Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard (pictured above) finalized a deal to deploy American Marines to Australia's north coast, Obama declared that "the United States has no stronger ally" than Australia. Obama expressed similar sentiments in March after tossing an Australian football around with Gillard in the Oval Office, and prior to that in November 2010 after sitting down with Gillard for the first time (the Australian prime minister, for her part, said the two countries were "great mates").

But, alas, Gillard isn't America's only BFF. During a meeting with French President Nicolas Sarkozy at the White House in January, President Obama enraged some Britons by proclaiming, "We don't have a stronger friend and stronger ally than Nicolas Sarkozy, and the French people." The statement "is by far the strongest indication yet that the current White House has little regard for the Special Relationship" with Britain," fumed Nile Gardiner, whose U.S.-based Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom seeks to advance that very relationship. "Quite what the French have done to merit this kind of high praise from the U.S. president is difficult to fathom." The Daily Mail‘s Tim Shipman warned that Obama "risked offending British troops in Afghanistan" and even speculated that Obama's attitude toward the British may "stem from his Kenyan family's history during colonial rule."

Yet Gardiner and Shipman would have found solace had they only cast their gaze back to the spring of 2010, when Obama declared on two separate occasions that the United States had "no closer friend and ally than the United Kingdom" and "no closer ally and no stronger partner than Great Britain." Or they could have traveled back to 2009, when Obama informed India that it had "no better friend and partner than the people of the United States" and told Canada that "we could not have a better friend and ally."

These diplomatic turns of phrase, of course, didn't start with Obama. President George W. Bush used similar language to describe countries such as Japan, Canada, Great Britain, and, yes, France. In 2006, the New York Times noted that then-Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice had used the ''no better friend'' refrain with no less than Australia, Britain (and the United Kingdom as a whole), Greece, Italy, Japan, Jordan, and Singapore. 

While the "no stronger/closer/greater/better ally/friend" formulation has bred cynicism ("our strongest ally is the world leader visiting that day," National Review's Jim Geraghty scoffed in March), it's also a stroke of semantic genius. By avoiding superlatives like "strongest" or "greatest," U.S. leaders appear to shower their most-valued allies with favoritism without actually picking favorites. Or, as the Independent put it in the wake of the Sarkozy/Special Relationship flap, "President Obama merely put France into the Premier League -- or rather the National Basketball Association -- of America's friends. You the French, he said, are part of an ‘A-list' of America's pals, alongside -- but not necessarily ahead of -- Canada, Japan, Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg and Britain." In other words, it's a seven-way tie for first place.

If "no stronger" denotes the top echelon of American friends, one wonders whether the "one of" designation (as in "one of our best friends") is interchangeable or a kind of subtle diplomatic downgrade. Obama has bestowed the "one of our strongest allies" on a number of countries including Israel, Italy, Japan, Poland, and South Korea, but other government officials have used the "no stronger" language to describe some of these countries. When President Obama visited Germany in June, he praised Germany as "one of our strongest allies" and German Chancellor Angela Merkel as "one of my closest global partners." But Merkel went the more effusive route:

Mr. President, dear Barack, in Berlin in 2008, you spoke to more than 200,000 people. And in your address, you said America has no better partner than Europe. And now it's my turn to say Europe and Germany have no better partner than America.

Will America return the favor? If Germany saves Europe from its debt crisis, the U.S. very well might.

Rick Rycroft/Getty Images

EXPLORE:FLASH POINTS

Top story: President Barack Obama visited the northern Australian town of Darwin, a remote location that he called "the perfect place" from which to expand U.S. and Australian military cooperation. Earlier, in the capital of Canberra, Obama and Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard had announced plans to base 2,500 U.S. Marines in the country.

Obama referred to Darwin as "where our alliance was born," noting that it was devastated by Japanese bombing during World War II, shortly after the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. Before his speech, Obama and Gillard laid wreaths at a memorial for the U.S.S. Peary, which was sunk during the Japanese attack.

The expanded military ties between the United States and Australia drew a concerned response from China. "It may not be quite appropriate to intensify and expand military alliances and may not be in the interest of countries within this region," said a Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman.

Meanwhile, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton traveled to the Philippines to reaffirm U.S. military there. Speaking from a U.S. warship in Manila Bay, she said that the two countries are examining their defense ties to ensure that they are capable of "deterring provocations" from any threats they may face.

Introducing Foreign Policy's Election Channel: With the 2012 presidential election heating up, we're unveiling the Election 2012 Channel - a new feature devoted solely to how the world is factoring into the U.S. political conversation. Sign up here for our new weekly newsletter on the race to the White House.


Middle East

  • Kuwaiti protesters stormed Parliament on Wednesday night to demand the prime minister's resignation.
  • Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that the situation in Syria is "similar to real civil war."
  • The International Atomic Energy Agency reported "no progress" in clarifying the purpose of a site suspected of being a covert Syrian nuclear reactor.

Europe

  • Spain's borrowing costs jumped to just shy of 7 percent in its latest bond auction.
  • As Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti unveiled his plan to cut Italy's debt, the country braced for protests over the austerity measures.
  • The French government and the Socialist opposition clashed over the future of nuclear power in the country.

Asia

  • ASEAN leaders agreed to allow Burma to chair the regional organization in 2014.
  • An Indian minister said that funds meant to help the rural poor have been siphoned off by corrupt officials.
  • Two rockets were fired toward the location of Afghanistan's loyal Jirga being held in Kabul, but nobody was hurt.

Africa

  • Kenya offered to bolster the African Union peacekeeping force in Somalia.
  • Portugal's prime minister arrived in Angola to discuss the euro zone debt crisis and the countries' expanding bilateral trade.
  • Swaziland refused to pay over $10 million in grants to orphaned children whose parents have died from AIDS due to a financial crisis.

Americas

  • U.S. officials said that the man who fired two shots at the White House last week was mentally unstable and obsessed with President Obama.
  • Brazil's new census shows that non-white people make up the majority in the country for the first time.
  • U.S. police discovered a large drug-smuggling tunnel connecting Mexico with the United States, and seized 14 tons of marijuana there.



SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images
EXPLORE:MORNING BRIEF

Posted By Joshua Keating

With the 2012 presidential campaign heating up, and foreign policy taking a more central role in the debate, we're unveiling the Election 2012 Channel, our new page devoted solely to how the world is factoring into the U.S. political conversation.

Features of the channel include profiles of every candidate and their views on foreign policy and national security, a new weekly column on the campaign by Michael Cohen, and a weekly e-mail newsletter with the latest updates on the campaign. The page will also feature election coverage from Passport as well as all of FP's blogs. You can also follow our new twitter feed, @FPElection2012

Stay tuned!

Posted By Russell Tepper

Italian fashion house United Colours of Benetton has launched a shock and awe advertising campaign called Unhate to boost its lagging brand recognition. Not a huge deal, just a bunch of unauthorized doctored photos of world leaders kissing each other on the lips. Obama smooching Hugo Chávez, for example.

In another photo he kisses Hu Jintao. Last year, the White House called foul when Weatherproof featured their jacket-clad Commander in Chief without permission in one of the company's New York billboards. But I'm sure they'll be fine with this.

Another photo shows presidents Kim Jong-Il and Lee Myung-bak kissing. In Benetton's world, the fact that they preside over one of the most contentious borders on the planet just adds to their latent steaming affection for one other.

Here's the mission statement for the Unhate campaign from the Benetton website: 

Object: the aim of contrasting the culture of hatred and promoting closeness between peoples, faiths, cultures, and the peaceful understanding of each other's motivations... The central theme is the kiss, the most universal symbol of love, between world political and religious leaders  

Someone over there must have picked up on our Merkozy story, too, as France and Germany's leading man and lady lock lips in another Unhate photograph. Also of note is the Prime Minister of Israel rounding first base with the President of the Palestinian Authority.

Will it sell more scarfs and clutches? Maybe. But it most definitely will incite a response from the catholic church whose pope is shown cozying up to the mustache of the sheikh of the al-Alzhar mosque.

(Update: prediction confirmed. But we've still got the Pope photo below... for now.)

Here are more:

http://unhate.benetton.com/campaign/usa_venezuela/

EXPLORE:EUROPE, PHOTOGRAPHS

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