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Another Iowa Poll Confirms Surprising Late Surge

Another Iowa Poll Confirms Surprising Late Surge

Mark Blumenthal  12.30.2011
WASHINGTON -- A new Iowa poll from NBC and Marist College confirms the findings of this week's other polls. Mitt Romney and Ron Paul continue...
Who's On First? Iowa Polls Disagree

Who's On First? Iowa Polls Disagree

Mark Blumenthal  12.29.2011
WASHINGTON -- At first glance, two new polls of likely Republican caucus-goers released on Wednesday appear to tell very different stories:...
New Iowa Poll Shows Paul Holding Lead

New Iowa Poll Shows Paul Holding Lead

Mark Blumenthal  12.28.2011
WASHINGTON -- The first new poll of likely Republican caucusgoers in Iowa since the Christmas holiday shows little change. Rep. Ron Paul...
Surprises Likely Coming In Iowa Polls

Surprises Likely Coming In Iowa Polls

Mark Blumenthal  12.27.2011
WASHINGTON -- With the Iowa caucuses just seven days away, attention now turns to polls of Iowa's likely caucus-goers, the most important...
Santa Claus 'Outliers'

Santa Claus 'Outliers'

Emily Swanson  12.23.2011
Roger Simon questions the "magic" of polling; Seth Masket, Lawrence Jacobs, Alex Lundry, and George Gallup (via John Sides) respond. Jonathan...
Can Game Theory Tell Us Something About the GOP Primary?

Can Game Theory Tell Us Something About the GOP Primary?

Matt Dabrowski  12.22.2011
Can game theory predict the outcome of the Republican presidential primary? The answer is yes.
One Candidate Gains Among Local GOP Insiders

One Candidate Gains Among Local GOP Insiders

Mark Blumenthal  12.21.2011
WASHINGTON -- While not as dramatic as the change in some polls of the wider electorate, support for Mitt Romney among local Republican...
Romney Builds Support Among This Elite Group

Romney Builds Support Among This Elite Group

Mark Blumenthal  12.20.2011
WASHINGTON -- The recent endorsement of presidential candidate Mitt Romney by South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and the Des Moines Register...
Holiday Gift 'Outliers'

Holiday Gift 'Outliers'

Emily Swanson  12.16.2011
Jon Bernstein wants more polls in Iowa, urges we ignore the rest. Ann Selzer conducts an Iowa focus group of likely GOP caucus goers for...
Iowa Polls Have Bad News For Newt

Iowa Polls Have Bad News For Newt

Mark Blumenthal  12.15.2011
WASHINGTON -- Two new automated polls show sharp declines in support for Newt Gingrich in Iowa, and the national Gallup Daily tracking...
Frustration With Congress Turns On GOP

Frustration With Congress Turns On GOP

Mark Blumenthal  12.15.2011
Results from a new national survey from the Pew Research Center should strike fear into the hearts of incumbents in Congress, especially...
Local GOP Insiders: Have They Chosen A Candidate?

Local GOP Insiders: Have They Chosen A Candidate?

Mark Blumenthal  12.13.2011
With less than three weeks remaining before the Iowa caucuses, local Republican activists in the early primary and caucus states are still...
Does Organization Still Matter In Iowa?

Does Organization Still Matter In Iowa?

Mark Blumenthal  12.13.2011
WASHINGTON -- For decades, conventional wisdom has held that winning the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses requires a strong, grassroots...
Could We See An Historic Triple Flip In 2012?

Could We See An Historic Triple Flip In 2012?

Sheri and Allan Rivlin  12.12.2011
With the election just about one year away, no one knows what will happen. We can make the case for at least four scenarios for 2012 that...