The current view of the 2012 presidential election, based on HuffPost Pollster charts and analysis.
Updated: Monday, June 25 1:01 pm ET
Obama
253
Electoral Votes
Romney
191
Electoral Votes
270 electoral votes needed to win
221 Strong Obama
32 Leans Obama
94 Tossup
21 Leans Romney
170 Strong Romney
Cartogram
Traditional map
Each state is sized in proportion to its number of electoral votes.
Democrat
Republican
| Pollster outlook | Past results | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Electoral votes | Obama | Romney | Margin | '08 | '04 | '00 |
| Alabama | 9 | R | R | R | |||
| Alaska | 3 | R | R | R | |||
| Arizona | 11 | 45% | 50% | Romney +5 | R | R | R |
| Arkansas | 6 | R | R | R | |||
| California | 55 | 52% | 36% | Obama +16 | D | D | D |
| Colorado | 9 | 49% | 42% | Obama +7 | D | R | R |
| Connecticut | 7 | D | D | D | |||
| Delaware | 3 | D | D | D | |||
| District of Columbia | 3 | D | D | D | |||
| Florida | 29 | 46% | 46% | Tossup | D | R | R |
| Georgia | 16 | 40% | 52% | Romney +12 | R | R | R |
| Hawaii | 4 | D | D | D | |||
| Idaho | 4 | R | R | R | |||
| Illinois | 20 | D | D | D | |||
| Indiana | 11 | D | R | R | |||
| Iowa | 6 | 46% | 44% | Tossup | D | R | D |
| Kansas | 6 | R | R | R | |||
| Kentucky | 8 | R | R | R | |||
| Louisiana | 8 | R | R | R | |||
| Maine | 4 | 48% | 34% | Obama +14 | D | D | D |
| Maryland | 10 | D | D | D | |||
| Massachusetts | 11 | 58% | 34% | Obama +24 | D | D | D |
| Michigan | 16 | 47% | 44% | Tossup | D | D | D |
| Minnesota | 10 | 54% | 39% | Obama +15 | D | D | D |
| Mississippi | 6 | R | R | R | |||
| Missouri | 10 | 44% | 48% | Romney +4 | R | R | R |
| Montana | 3 | 42% | 51% | Romney +9 | R | R | R |
| Nebraska | 5 | R* | R | R | |||
| Nevada | 6 | 48% | 43% | Obama +5 | D | R | R |
| New Hampshire | 4 | 49% | 44% | Obama +5 | D | D | R |
| New Jersey | 14 | 52% | 35% | Obama +16 | D | D | D |
| New Mexico | 5 | 48% | 35% | Obama +13 | D | R | D |
| New York | 29 | 57% | 34% | Obama +23 | D | D | D |
| North Carolina | 15 | 46% | 47% | Tossup | D | R | R |
| North Dakota | 3 | 39% | 52% | Romney +13 | R | R | R |
| Ohio | 18 | 45% | 46% | Tossup | D | R | R |
| Oklahoma | 7 | R | R | R | |||
| Oregon | 7 | D | D | D | |||
| Pennsylvania | 20 | 48% | 40% | Obama +8 | D | D | D |
| Rhode Island | 4 | D | D | D | |||
| South Carolina | 9 | R | R | R | |||
| South Dakota | 3 | R | R | R | |||
| Tennessee | 11 | R | R | R | |||
| Texas | 38 | 35% | 55% | Romney +20 | R | R | R |
| Utah | 6 | R | R | R | |||
| Vermont | 3 | D | D | D | |||
| Virginia | 13 | 48% | 45% | Obama +3 | D | R | R |
| Washington | 12 | 51% | 41% | Obama +10 | D | D | D |
| West Virginia | 5 | R | R | R | |||
| Wisconsin | 10 | 47% | 45% | Tossup | D | D | D |
| Wyoming | 3 | R | R | R | |||
*In 2008, Nebraska's electoral votes were split. McCain took four of the state's five electoral votes and Obama took one.
Around the Web:
Presidential Election Map 2012 - The Washington Post
Presidential Race Ratings and Swing States - Election 2012 - NYTimes.com
2012 Election: Electoral Vote Tracker - USATODAY.com
Electoral Map - Election Center 2012 - Elections & Politics from CNN.com
The Road To 270: Predict The 2012 Presidential Race : NPR
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House
Credits: Jay Boice, Aaron Bycoffe and Andrei Scheinkman