Henry I. Miller

Henry I. Miller, Contributor

I debunk the worst, most damaging, most hypocritical junk science.

8/01/2012 @ 2:45PM |2,211 views

The Nuking Of Japan Was A Tactical And Moral Imperative

MARIANAS ISLAND -- Boeing B-29 Superfortress &...

MARIANAS ISLAND -- Boeing B-29 Superfortress "Enola Gay" landing after the atomic bombing mission on Hiroshima, Japan (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Monday, August 6, will mark one of the United States’ most important but unheralded anniversaries.  It is remarkable not only for what happened on this day in 1945 but for what did not happen subsequently.

What did happen was that the “Enola Gay,” an American B-29 bomber from the obscure 509th Composite Group (a U.S. Army Air Force unit tasked with deploying nuclear weapons), dropped a uranium-based atomic bomb on the Japanese city of Hiroshima.  It hastened the end of World War II, which concluded within a week after the August 9 detonation of a plutonium-based bomb over Nagasaki.  Approximately 66,000 died in Hiroshima from the acute effects of the “Little Boy” bomb and about 35,000 more in Nagasaki from the “Fat Man” device.  (The subsequent, short-term death toll rose significantly due to the effects of radiation and wounds.)

About a year after the war ended, the “was it necessary?” Monday-morning quarterbacks began to question the military necessity and morality of the use of nuclear weapons on Japanese cities.  Since then, there have been periodic eruptions of revisionism, uninformed speculation and political correctness on this subject, perhaps the most offensive of which was the Smithsonian Institution’s plan for an exhibition of the Enola Gay for the 50th anniversary of the bombing of Hiroshima.  In a particularly repugnant exercise of political correctness, the exhibit was to emphasize the “victimization” of the Japanese, mentioning the surprise attack on Pearl Harbor only as the motivation for the “vengeance” sought by the United States.  (The exhibit as originally conceived was eventually canceled.)

The historical context and military realities of 1945 are often lost in judging whether it was “necessary” for the United States to use nuclear weapons.  The Japanese had been the aggressors, launching the war with a sneak attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941 and subsequently systematically and flagrantly violating various international agreements and norms by employing biological and chemical warfare, torturing and murdering prisoners of war, and brutalizing civilians and forcing them to perform slave labor.

What did not happen as a result of the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki was “Operation Downfall,” a massive Allied (largely American) invasion of the Japanese home islands that was being actively planned.  As Allied forces closed in on the home islands, the intentions of Japan’s senior military leaders ranged from “fighting to the last man” to inflicting sufficiently heavy losses on invading American ground forces that the United States would agree to a conditional peace.  As U.S. strategists knew from having broken the Japanese military and diplomatic codes, there was virtually no inclination toward an unconditional surrender.

Finally, because the Allied military planners assumed “that operations in this area will be opposed not only by the available organized military forces of the Empire [of Japan], but also by a fanatically hostile population,” astronomical casualties were thought to be inevitable.  The losses between February and June 1945 just from the Allied invasions of Iwo Jima and Okinawa were staggering: 18,000 dead and 78,000 wounded.

The U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff estimated that an invasion of Japan’s home islands would result in approximately 1.2 million American casualties, with 267,000 deaths.  A study performed by physicist William Shockley for the staff of Secretary of War Henry Stimson estimated that the invasion of Japan would cost 1.7-4 million American casualties, including 400,000-800,000 fatalities, and five to ten million Japanese deaths.  These fatality estimates were of course, in addition to those who had already perished during four long years of war; American deaths were already about 292,000.  In other words, the invasion of Japan could have resulted in the death of twice as many Americans as had already been killed in the European, North African and Pacific theaters!

A critical element of Shockley’s analysis was the assumption of large-scale participation by civilians in repelling invading forces.  This assumption is supported by the research described in, “The Most Controversial Decision,” by the Rev. Wilson Miscamble, professor of history at the University of Notre Dame, who blames “the twisted neo-samurai who led the Japanese military geared up with true banzai spirit to engage the whole population in a kind of kamikaze campaign.”  He added, “Their stupidity and perfidy in perpetuating and prolonging the struggle should not be ignored.”

Much has been made of the moral line that supposedly was crossed by the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombings, but far more significant in that regard were the decisions earlier in the war to adopt widespread bombing of civilians – initially by Hitler in attacking English cities and later by the Allied devastation of, for example, Dresden, Hamburg and Tokyo.

Historian and classicist Victor Davis Hanson has called attention to two factors that for both tactical and ethical reasons argued for the use of America’s nuclear weapons against Japan.  First, “thousands of Asians and allied prisoners were dying daily throughout the still-occupied Japanese Empire, and would do so as long as Japan was able to pursue the war. (Gideon Rose, the editor of the journal Foreign Affairs, has estimated that during every month of 1945 in which the war continued, Japanese forces were causing the deaths of between 100,000 and 250,000 noncombatants.)

Second, according to Hanson, “Major General Curtis LeMay planned to move forces from the Marianas to newly conquered and much closer Okinawa, and the B-29 bombers, likely augmented by European bomber transfers after V-E Day, would have created a gargantuan fire-bombing air force that, with short-distance missions, would have done far more damage than the two nuclear bombs.”

The nighttime fire-bombing of Tokyo on March 9–10, 1945, was, in fact, the most destructive bombing raid of the war.  In a three-hour period, the main bombing force dropped 1,665 tons of incendiary bombs which caused a firestorm that killed some 100,000 civilians, destroyed a quarter of a million buildings and incinerated 16 square miles of the city.

Kori Schake, professor of international security studies at the United States Military Academy, summarized the ethical dilemma succinctly, “It seems to me morally significant that we were already engaged in fire-bombing cities; the use of a more efficient weapon to do so was therefore an even smaller jump.’

During World War I, Europe lost most of a generation of young men.  Combatant fatalities alone were approximately 13 million.  Memories of that era were still fresh three decades later.  In 1945, Allied military planners and political leaders were correct, both tactically and morally, in not wanting to repeat history.  They understood the need to consider the costs and benefits for the American people, present and future.  Had they been less wise or less courageous, the American post-war “baby boomer” generation would have been much smaller.

Henry I. Miller, a physician and molecular biologist, is the Robert Wesson Fellow in Scientific Philosophy and Public Policy at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution.  He was a U.S. government official from 1977 to 1994.




Post Your Comment

Please or sign up to comment.

Forbes writers have the ability to call out member comments they find particularly interesting. Called-out comments are highlighted across the Forbes network. You'll be notified if your comment is called out.

  • Rick Rick 2 days ago

    So Gen. Douglas MacArthur, who oversaw the occupation of Japan immediately after World War II, is a Monday morning quarterback? Referring to the U.S. decision to drop the atomic bombs, MacArthur said, “I was not consulted about the use of the atom bomb. Had I been I would have expressed the view that it was unnecessary — that Japan was already prepared to surrender.”

  • * Brian * Brian 2 days ago

    How brave of our country to murder hundreds of thousands of civilians, in order to potentially save the lives of combat troops.

    This specious argument has been debunked countless times. The Japanese were openly trying to surrender in the summer of 1945, albeit conditionally (the Japanese were asking for a continuation of the Imperial system as their primary condition). The Americans ultimately ALLOWED the Emperor to remain because it was thought necessary to “win the peace” with the Japanese populous. So we wouldn’t accept anything other than unconditional surrender. We then murdered innocent women, children, and elderly to gain that unconditional surrender. We then acquiesced and allowed the formerly-refused condition after we “won.”

    Let’s be frank. The US used the bomb because we spent billions on the Manhattan Project, and the potential political fallout of not using it was too high. Also, the lives of women and children were worth less than the lives of our troops. There is no honor in war. Our decision to drop the bombs is stark evidence of that fact.

  • “In other words, the invasion of Japan could have resulted in the death of twice as many Americans as had already been killed in the European, North African and Pacific theaters!”

    – No need for exclamation points. Let the facts (estimations) speak for themselves.

  • getty getty 2 days ago

    The bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki is the worst terrorist act ever committed in the history of mankind.
    The Americans could have dropped it at military bases or a lone island to show the strength the atomic bomb. But they did not. Instead, they dropped it in a middle of a crowded city in the morning. The act cannot be justified by saying you are saving more lives because the people in the city are not the ones fighting the war. They are innocent human beings.
    How can you kill someone not involved in the war? It’s like killing your enemy’s parents because they are related to your enemy but not involved in your enmity.
    That is not justice.

  • Well-written article, and I agree. Someone below made the point that the bomb could have been dropped elsewhere to show its efficacy, to force the Japanese to surrender, and another quotes MacArthur’s view that the Japanese were ready to surrender. I doubt both. You cited the horrendous results of the firebombing of Tokyo itself, yet the Japan did not surrender. It should be noted that even after Hiroshima, Japan did not surrender- not until a Nagasaki was destroyed (really the 3rd city if you count the destruction of Tokyo) did they surrender.

    In this context, that nuking a military outpost would have brought about surrender seems unlikely to me.

  • getty getty 2 days ago

    Is US war tactic to nuke civilians to demoralize enemy military?
    Do you justify murdering civilians to force enemy surrender?

    Then you are justifying 9/11 as well.

  • Hello djvanderhoeven,

    There were not three cities but dozens of cities were fire bombed with tens of thousands of death. Tokyo, Hiroshima, and Nagasaki were just three biggest. In the raid on Toyama, every single building was destroyed save the electric generation plant. After the war, the leadership of the Army were interviewed and they were quite clear it was the intervention of the Red Army that was the decisive element, not the atomic bombs.

  • dallasdunlap dallasdunlap 2 days ago

    I’ll jump into this: Early in the war “Terror bombing” to use the Nazi term, became a legitimate military tactic. The air war featured assaults on targets with hundreds of planes, with losses of planes and personnel sometimes in the 20% range, and often without destroying the military target. The ineffectiveness of precision bombing led to attacks like the incendiary bombing of Hamburg, Dresden, and of course, Tokyo.
    Nor was the other side more restrained. More civilians died in Stalingrad, eg, than in Hiroshima and Nagasaki together.
    Nuclear weapons were seen as a way to conduct terror bombing with less loss of life (on our side.)
    My father was a Marine in the Pacific War. Had the bombs not been dropped, I doubt that I would have ever been born. If you look at the casualties that the US and the Japanese took on Okinawa, or Iwo Jima, or Tarawa or Guadalcanal, you can get some idea of what would have happened in an invasion of Japan.
    One of the commenters asked “Do you justify murdering civilians to force an enemy to surrender?”
    First, our troops were kids who had volunteered or been drafted to go out and defend this country. Their lives were not worth any less than those of the Japanese civilians.
    The real questions are: How many of our people will be killed and maimed if the war is allowed to drag on?
    And, are we willing to kill two hundred thousand Japanese in order to save the lives of maybe two hundred thousand American young men.
    IMO, President Truman made the right choice.

  • getty getty 1 day ago

    If you want to save the lives of two hundred thousand American young men, you can only stop invading Japan.

    Don’t use such a failed logic to justify murdering 300,000 innocent civilians.

  • getty – So, your plan would be to wage war for 3and 1/2 years, fight some of the bloodiets battles the US has ever fought and then, when the enemy is on the ropes, walk away?

  • getty getty 13 hours ago

    How could Japan keep fighting with almost no battleships or airplanes left?
    Japan was on the brink of surrender.

  • Inasmuch as MacArthur was an effective strategic and tactical General, he was also a self-centered ego-maniac who was less than hesitant to use atomic bombs against China during the Korean conflict. His comment, that he was not consulted and Japan was on the verge of surrender, is nothing more than his way expressing his displeasure of not being involved in the decision and reserving his right to criticize the Truman administration’s – Truman whom he disdained – decision to drop the bomb. All things considered, it was the right decision and we are all better off because our leadership considered ending the conflict with the lowest loss of life.

  • Matt R Matt R 1 day ago

    Bang on, Henry. MacArther was upset because it wasn’t his idea, in essence; but one made by someone he didn’t much like (as I understand it, it was mutual; MacArthur was Roosevelt’s boy). And he was wrong about their wishing to surrender: as you pointed out, it took two bombs for them to concede.

    This will be argued for ever because the revisionists of any time who come from increasingly softer stock will never understand the situation for what it was.

    To liken this to an act of terrorism is ignorance in the extreme.