Florida (FL) Poll * January 26, 2012 * Romney Stronger Against Obama - Quinnipiac University

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January 26, 2012 - Romney Stronger Against Obama Than Gingrich, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; President Closes Gap In Florida

Word format Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney runs even with President Barack Obama 45 - 45 percent in Florida, while the president holds a strong 50 - 39 percent lead over former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Today's results compare to a 46 - 43 percent Romney lead over Obama January 11 and a 47 - 40 percent Romney lead September 22.
The big difference between Romney and Gingrich in the November matchup is among independent voters, who support Romney against President Obama more than they back Gingrich against Obama, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.
Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum trails Obama 49 - 40 percent while Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul trails the president 47 - 39 percent.
Romney also scores substantially better when non-Republicans are asked whether they see a candidate favorably or not.
"At least in Florida and at least at this point in the campaign, the data indicates that Gov. Mitt Romney is clearly the stronger Republican candidate against President Barack Obama," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "As our mothers told us growing up, 'You never get a second chance to make a first impression,' and Speaker Newt Gingrich's initial impression on the overall Florida electorate is not a positive one. It is certainly possible that Gingrich can change the overall unfavorable view that Florida voters have of him, but for him to carry Florida in November he would have to prove mother wrong.
"But Romney has his own problems against Obama as Florida voters say both men are equally competent, but 54 - 39 percent that the president is more inspiring, 50 - 43 percent that Obama would a better job in a crisis and 48 - 42 percent that Obama cares more about them."
Florida voters, however, say 50 - 41 percent that Romney would do a better job on the critical issue of the economy. Voters split 47 - 45 percent on Obama and Gingrich on the economy. Obama and Romney split 46 - 45 percent on who would best handle foreign policy. Obama tops Gingrich 49 - 43 percent on foreign policy. Obama and Romney also split 46 - 45 percent on who is a stronger leader. The president tops Gingrich 51 - 41 percent as a stronger leader. Voters say Obama is more trustworthy than Romney, 47 - 42 percent and 57 - 35 percent over Gingrich.
"On a whole host of measures, the overall electorate sees Romney in a more favorable light vis a vis President Obama than Gingrich," said Brown.
In the Romney-Obama dead heat, Romney has 42 percent of independent voters to Obama's 41 percent. The president has a healthy 50 - 33 percent margin over Gingrich among that key group. Against Obama, Romney wins Republicans 88 - 7 percent, while losing Democrats 86 - 6 percent.
Romney carries men 49 - 40 percent against Obama and loses women 50 - 40 percent. Romney wins white voters 56 - 34 percent, while Obama carries blacks 89 - 2 percent and Hispanics 54 - 35 percent.
On favorability, Romney gets a thumbs up 43 - 37 percent among all Florida voters, compared to Gingrich's negative 32 - 50 percent rating. Among independent voters, Romney is 45 - 38 percent favorable and Gingrich is negative 27 - 56 percent.
"The fact that a big majority of Florida independents have an unfavorable view of Gingrich is an indication of the steep hill he must climb to win in November," said Brown.
The president has a split 49 - 48 percent favorability rating among registered voters. He gets a negative 46 - 52 percent job approval, however. Independent voters give him a negative 43 - 53 percent job rating.
Florida voters split 47 - 49 percent on whether Obama deserves a second term in the Oval Office. Independent voters say no 49 - 44 percent.
From January 19 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,518 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.
2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Obama 45% 44% 46% 7% 86% 41% 34% 89% 54% Romney 45 44 45 88 6 42 56 2 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 1 5 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 1 5 2 1 6 DK/NA 6 6 5 2 6 7 6 4 4 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 40% 50% 37% 39% 32% 29% 28% 17% 35% Romney 49 40 50 54 56 63 62 73 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 2 1 2 1 3 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 4 3 2 2 2 3 2 DK/NA 5 7 7 3 7 6 4 6 6 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 50% 46% 37% 46% 45% 53% 46% 43% 37% Romney 40 45 53 47 44 36 45 46 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 - 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 DK/NA 4 7 5 3 7 7 4 6 2
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election", * Aug 04, 2011 Pre debt deal)
OBAMA......... High Low Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 22 Aug 04 Sep 22 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011* 2011 Obama 45 43 42 42 40 46 40 Romney 45 46 45 45 47 41 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 3 4 2 4 DK/NA 6 6 6 8 8 9 8
3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Obama 49% 47% 51% 9% 90% 48% 39% 92% 55% Santorum 40 41 40 85 4 34 50 2 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 1 5 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 1 6 3 1 3 DK/NA 5 7 4 2 4 7 5 4 5
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Jan 26 Jan 11 2012 2012 Obama 49 45 Santorum 40 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 5 7
4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Obama 47% 46% 47% 10% 89% 41% 36% 90% 56% Paul 39 38 41 72 5 41 48 5 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 4 - 4 3 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 7 5 9 1 8 7 - 6 DK/NA 6 6 5 4 5 7 6 4 4
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Obama 50% 47% 52% 8% 91% 50% 40% 92% 55% Gingrich 39 40 39 83 3 33 48 1 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 - 5 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 3 2 6 4 1 4 DK/NA 5 7 4 4 4 6 5 4 4
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
Jan 26 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2011 2011 Obama 50 46 45 Gingrich 39 44 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 DK/NA 5 5 8
6. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Favorable 43% 43% 44% 69% 18% 45% 52% 9% 31% Unfavorable 37 39 34 19 53 38 33 49 44 Hvn't hrd enough 17 16 19 9 26 15 12 40 22 REFUSED 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 3
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
FAVORABLE.... High Low Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Dec 05 Jan 11 Feb 07 2012 2012 2011 2011 2007 2012 2007 Favorable 43 47 39 40 29 47 13 Unfavorable 37 29 28 28 27 29 11 Hvn't hrd enough 17 22 30 29 41 22 75 REFUSED 3 3 2 3 3 3 1
7. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Favorable 31% 33% 28% 54% 12% 28% 36% 11% 30% Unfavorable 29 28 30 12 43 33 28 31 29 Hvn't hrd enough 38 37 40 32 43 37 34 54 38 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 4 3
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Jan 26 Jan 11 2012 2012 Favorable 31 31 Unfavorable 29 25 Hvn't hrd enough 38 42 REFUSED 2 1
8. Is your opinion of - Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Favorable 30% 26% 34% 36% 16% 39% 32% 14% 33% Unfavorable 37 40 34 39 41 34 38 37 32 Hvn't hrd enough 30 31 29 23 42 24 27 48 30 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 4
TREND: Is your opinion of Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Jan 26 Jan 11 2012 2012 Favorable 30 26 Unfavorable 37 41 Hvn't hrd enough 30 30 REFUSED 3 2
9. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Favorable 32% 35% 29% 61% 7% 27% 37% 12% 29% Unfavorable 50 48 53 25 71 56 49 57 47 Hvn't hrd enough 16 15 16 11 20 14 12 30 22 REFUSED 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 1 2
TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Feb 07 2012 2012 2011 2011 2007 Favorable 32 31 34 34 26 Unfavorable 50 47 38 39 48 Hvn't hrd enough 16 19 25 25 24 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 1
10. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Favorable 49% 47% 51% 8% 90% 48% 38% 97% 59% Unfavorable 48 49 47 90 8 47 60 3 37 Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 2 REFUSED 2 3 1 1 1 4 2 1 3
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
FAVORABLE.... High Low Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Feb 03 Feb 19 Feb 07 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2007 Favorable 49 45 47 47 49 69 37 Unfavorable 48 50 48 48 47 22 18 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 3 3 2 6 44 REFUSED 2 2 2 3 2 3 1
11. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His More 38% 35% 41% 51% 33% 29% 38% 35% 39% Less 20 21 20 15 22 25 21 12 21 About the same 41 43 39 34 44 45 39 51 39 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 - WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No More 43% 33% 44% 37% 39% 40% 43% 44% 39% Less 17 24 19 21 21 18 21 17 22 About the same 40 42 36 41 39 41 35 39 38 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 More 33% 41% 43% 36% 39% 33% 45% 41% 34% Less 23 19 19 22 20 23 16 19 21 About the same 44 40 37 42 41 44 38 39 45 DK/NA - 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 -
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 22 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 More 38 37 32 35 40 Less 20 21 23 21 22 About the same 41 41 44 43 37 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Approve 36% 35% 38% 67% 14% 28% 42% 19% 26% Disapprove 49 50 48 20 72 55 46 62 49 DK/NA 15 16 14 13 14 17 12 19 26
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 26 Jan 10 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 21 Jan 10 May 25 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 2011 Approve 36 38 33 36 37 38 29 Disapprove 49 50 52 50 50 50 57 DK/NA 15 13 15 14 13 13 14
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Approve 31% 31% 30% 51% 15% 28% 33% 20% 32% Disapprove 49 49 49 28 66 52 47 58 50 DK/NA 20 20 21 21 19 20 20 22 18
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 26 Jan 10 Aug 05 May 25 Apr 06 Sep 23 May 25 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2004 2011 Approve 31 33 32 27 35 51 27 Disapprove 49 49 51 56 47 34 56 DK/NA 20 18 17 17 18 15 17
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Approve 48% 48% 47% 80% 24% 40% 54% 24% 43% Disapprove 33 33 32 9 52 35 29 49 34 DK/NA 20 19 21 10 24 25 16 27 22
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator?
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 26 Jan 10 Nov 11 Sep 21 Jan 10 Feb 03 2012 2012 2011 2011 2012 2011 Approve 48 50 49 49 50 42 Disapprove 33 29 29 31 29 20 DK/NA 20 21 22 20 21 37
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Approve 43% 43% 43% 36% 52% 43% 43% 49% 38% Disapprove 30 32 27 41 19 29 33 19 28 DK/NA 27 25 29 22 29 28 24 32 34
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator? (*Low also 42% Aug 2004)
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 26 Jan 10 Nov 11 Sep 22 Feb 06 Aug 04 2012 2012 2011 2011 2007 2011* Approve 43 47 47 45 54 42 Disapprove 30 30 27 32 18 35 DK/NA 27 23 26 23 28 23
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Approve 46% 45% 46% 7% 85% 43% 34% 93% 55% Disapprove 52 53 51 92 13 53 63 5 44 DK/NA 2 2 2 1 2 4 2 2 1 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Approve 41% 50% 39% 38% 32% 29% 28% 18% 35% Disapprove 57 48 59 58 66 70 70 81 62 DK/NA 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Approve 49% 47% 38% 46% 45% 54% 48% 42% 37% Disapprove 50 51 59 51 53 45 51 56 62 DK/NA 1 1 4 3 2 2 1 2 1
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 22 Feb 19 Sep 22 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011 Approve 46 42 41 41 39 64 39 Disapprove 52 54 54 52 57 23 57 DK/NA 2 4 5 7 5 13 5
17. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk His Yes/Deserves 47% 44% 49% 6% 89% 44% 35% 94% 57% No/Does not 49 50 48 92 8 49 61 3 40 DK/NA 4 5 3 2 3 8 4 2 3
TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
DESERVES...... High Low Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 22 May 26 Sep 22 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 47 44 44 43 41 50 41 No/Does not 49 52 51 51 53 44 53 DK/NA 4 4 5 6 6 6 6
30. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 41% 40% 42% 5% 81% 40% Romney 50 51 49 89 13 51 DK/NA 9 9 8 6 6 9 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 36% 46% 35% 34% 32% 26% 24% 16% 30% Romney 56 45 54 59 59 66 68 77 61 DK/NA 8 9 10 7 10 8 8 7 9 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 42% 43% 37% 43% 40% 48% 40% 38% 37% Romney 49 49 54 50 51 46 54 50 61 DK/NA 9 8 9 7 9 6 5 12 3
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2012 2011 2011 Obama 41 39 41 39 Romney 50 52 49 49 DK/NA 9 9 10 12
31. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 47% 45% 50% 5% 89% 52% Gingrich 45 48 41 89 6 39 DK/NA 8 7 8 6 5 9 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 44% 51% 38% 44% 36% 30% 34% 20% 37% Gingrich 52 39 54 47 54 62 54 74 52 DK/NA 4 10 8 9 10 8 12 6 10 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 50% 48% 42% 52% 45% 53% 50% 43% 43% Gingrich 45 43 48 40 48 42 46 48 50 DK/NA 5 8 10 8 7 5 4 8 7
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
Jan 26 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2011 2011 Obama 47 44 44 Gingrich 45 47 45 DK/NA 8 9 11
32. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on foreign policy; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 46% 44% 48% 11% 85% 47% Romney 45 46 43 84 9 40 DK/NA 9 9 9 5 6 13 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 41% 51% 40% 43% 34% 28% 34% 14% 39% Romney 54 37 52 50 54 60 58 73 53 DK/NA 6 12 8 7 12 11 8 12 7 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 52% 46% 40% 51% 44% 50% 48% 46% 43% Romney 41 45 51 41 46 40 47 45 51 DK/NA 7 9 10 8 10 10 5 9 6
33. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on foreign policy; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 49% 44% 56% 12% 88% 51% Gingrich 43 47 38 83 5 38 DK/NA 8 9 6 5 6 10 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 45% 54% 42% 48% 38% 30% 39% 17% 43% Gingrich 50 36 52 47 53 62 52 74 50 DK/NA 5 10 6 5 9 8 9 8 8 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 55% 51% 42% 52% 48% 51% 53% 49% 45% Gingrich 39 42 49 41 44 36 44 46 49 DK/NA 7 8 9 7 8 13 3 5 6
34. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is a stronger leader; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 46% 46% 47% 9% 84% 50% Romney 45 45 45 82 12 41 DK/NA 8 9 8 9 4 9 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 43% 50% 39% 39% 33% 29% 28% 18% 34% Romney 50 40 50 55 57 62 65 73 58 DK/NA 7 10 10 6 9 9 7 9 8 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 50% 48% 40% 48% 45% 53% 44% 44% 41% Romney 40 45 51 44 46 39 52 46 52 DK/NA 10 7 9 7 9 8 4 10 7
35. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is a stronger leader; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 51% 48% 55% 15% 89% 52% Gingrich 41 44 38 79 7 36 DK/NA 7 8 7 6 4 11 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 48% 54% 42% 46% 40% 32% 40% 25% 42% Gingrich 48 36 52 44 52 61 48 69 49 DK/NA 5 10 6 10 8 6 12 7 9 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 55% 51% 46% 53% 50% 59% 45% 50% 48% Gingrich 37 41 48 38 43 34 47 44 45 DK/NA 8 8 6 9 7 7 7 6 7
36. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - cares more about the needs and problems of people like you; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 48% 47% 49% 12% 89% 46% Romney 42 44 41 83 8 38 DK/NA 10 10 9 5 4 16 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 45% 50% 41% 41% 38% 28% 33% 19% 37% Romney 46 39 48 50 52 62 58 69 55 DK/NA 9 10 11 9 10 10 9 12 8 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 55% 48% 39% 48% 48% 54% 45% 49% 39% Romney 37 44 48 41 43 38 46 40 53 DK/NA 8 9 13 11 9 8 8 12 8
37. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - cares more about the needs and problems of people like you; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 51% 47% 56% 14% 92% 51% Gingrich 39 42 36 78 3 34 DK/NA 10 11 8 8 5 15 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 47% 55% 42% 45% 42% 33% 39% 24% 42% Gingrich 45 33 50 44 47 57 49 64 48 DK/NA 8 12 8 10 11 10 12 13 10 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 57% 51% 43% 52% 50% 58% 49% 50% 45% Gingrich 35 38 46 37 40 33 45 39 47 DK/NA 8 11 12 11 10 9 6 11 8
38. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is more trustworthy; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 47% 47% 47% 12% 86% 44% Romney 42 43 42 82 7 41 DK/NA 11 11 11 6 7 15 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 43% 50% 37% 37% 36% 28% 31% 16% 37% Romney 48 37 49 51 53 62 59 73 53 DK/NA 9 13 13 12 11 10 10 11 10 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 52% 48% 38% 46% 47% 51% 48% 47% 39% Romney 36 44 49 42 43 37 48 42 50 DK/NA 12 8 13 12 10 12 5 11 11
39. (Split Sample A) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is more trustworthy; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 57% 54% 61% 21% 93% 59% Gingrich 35 37 33 73 3 30 DK/NA 8 9 6 6 4 11 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 54% 60% 46% 55% 46% 37% 43% 25% 49% Gingrich 41 30 46 36 45 54 44 65 42 DK/NA 5 10 7 9 9 9 13 10 9 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 62% 60% 47% 61% 55% 60% 55% 59% 57% Gingrich 31 34 43 31 37 30 38 37 37 DK/NA 7 6 10 8 8 10 7 4 6
40. (Split Sample B) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling a crisis; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 50% 49% 51% 9% 92% 46% Romney 43 42 43 85 6 39 DK/NA 7 8 6 5 3 15 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 43% 56% 45% 43% 35% 34% 28% 23% 40% Romney 49 38 48 55 54 60 57 72 48 DK/NA 9 6 7 2 11 6 15 5 12 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 53% 51% 42% 50% 50% 62% 51% 48% 37% Romney 39 44 50 48 41 30 43 47 56 DK/NA 8 5 8 3 9 8 6 5 7
41. (Split Sample B) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - handling a crisis; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 54% 52% 57% 14% 93% 55% Gingrich 39 39 39 80 4 35 DK/NA 6 8 4 6 3 10 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 52% 57% 45% 46% 38% 35% 31% 24% 44% Gingrich 43 36 48 50 52 58 57 70 46 DK/NA 5 8 6 4 10 6 12 7 9 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 61% 55% 43% 55% 54% 66% 58% 48% 46% Gingrich 37 37 48 41 38 26 37 49 50 DK/NA 3 8 9 4 7 8 5 4 3
42. (Split Sample B) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - most shares your values; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 48% 46% 51% 7% 92% 45% Romney 43 45 42 87 4 41 DK/NA 8 9 7 6 4 14 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 41% 55% 41% 41% 34% 30% 29% 19% 41% Romney 50 38 51 53 57 60 67 71 52 DK/NA 9 8 8 6 9 10 4 10 7 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 54% 48% 40% 47% 49% 59% 52% 45% 36% Romney 38 47 50 47 42 31 43 47 58 DK/NA 8 5 9 6 9 10 5 8 6
43. (Split Sample B) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - most shares your values; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 52% 49% 56% 11% 93% 54% Gingrich 37 39 35 81 3 30 DK/NA 11 12 9 8 5 17 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 47% 57% 45% 47% 38% 35% 37% 21% 49% Gingrich 43 33 45 48 49 55 49 69 39 DK/NA 11 10 10 5 13 10 15 10 13 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 58% 50% 45% 53% 52% 63% 56% 47% 44% Gingrich 34 38 44 40 36 27 31 45 51 DK/NA 8 12 11 7 12 11 13 8 5
44. (Split Sample B) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is more inspiring; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 54% 54% 55% 15% 93% 53% Romney 39 39 38 79 3 35 DK/NA 7 7 7 6 3 12 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 50% 58% 46% 46% 41% 37% 34% 23% 47% Romney 42 36 47 50 50 55 59 68 44 DK/NA 8 6 7 4 10 8 7 9 9 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 60% 55% 44% 54% 55% 65% 59% 50% 45% Romney 34 38 48 41 38 29 37 44 48 DK/NA 6 6 8 6 7 6 4 5 8
45. (Split Sample B) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is more inspiring; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 57% 54% 60% 18% 93% 58% Gingrich 36 37 33 75 3 30 DK/NA 8 8 7 8 4 12 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 52% 61% 50% 48% 43% 38% 40% 27% 50% Gingrich 42 30 44 47 46 53 48 65 39 DK/NA 6 9 6 5 10 9 12 8 11 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 64% 57% 45% 54% 58% 69% 61% 51% 50% Gingrich 32 34 46 39 34 25 32 43 46 DK/NA 4 10 9 7 8 6 7 7 3
46. (Split Sample B) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is more competent; Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 47% 49% 46% 8% 88% 43% Romney 47 46 48 88 7 48 DK/NA 6 6 6 4 5 8 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 41% 53% 41% 41% 31% 31% 26% 20% 37% Romney 56 39 53 57 62 63 68 74 57 DK/NA 3 8 6 2 8 6 6 6 7 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 50% 47% 40% 46% 48% 60% 48% 45% 32% Romney 45 47 52 50 45 33 47 51 62 DK/NA 5 5 8 4 7 7 5 4 5
47. (Split Sample B) Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think - is more competent; Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?
SC PRIMARY Tot Post Pre Rep Dem Ind Obama 53% 50% 56% 11% 93% 53% Gingrich 40 41 38 82 4 36 DK/NA 7 8 6 7 3 11 WHITE................................. Mltry COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvng Men Wom HsHld Yes No Prot Cath Yes No Obama 48% 57% 43% 44% 38% 34% 30% 23% 43% Gingrich 45 35 50 51 52 58 59 70 47 DK/NA 6 8 7 4 10 8 12 7 11 AGE IN YRS....... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 59% 53% 43% 52% 54% 66% 57% 48% 40% Gingrich 37 38 49 42 39 27 33 48 56 DK/NA 4 9 8 6 7 6 10 4 4
Demographic Summary