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Capital Weather Gang Archive: Winter Storms

My perceptions of winter, a review: Part III

This is the third part of my review of winter, covering February. On the heels of our Commutageddon forecasting triumph came the Midwest blizzard that crippled Chicago. That storm did not have much of an impact on our area. We next started looking at a storm that would ultimately give the area a dusting to an inch in a few of the southern suburbs on February 6.

By Wes Junker  | March 4, 2011; 12:50 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (6)
Categories:  Latest, Winter Storms  
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My perceptions of winter, a review: Part II

This is the second part of my review of winter, covering the month of January. In all of meteorological winter - spanning Nomageddon, Commutageddon, and other threats - the most schizophrenic reaction to a blog about snow came in response to a commentary I posted Friday, Jan. 7 about a potential for snowstorm the following Tuesday (Jan.11).

By Wes Junker  | March 3, 2011; 10:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (10)
Categories:  Capital Weather Gang, Latest, Winter Storms  
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My perceptions of winter, a review: Part I

This three-part series is a review of the winter season forecasts, reader comments and my thoughts and perceptions - my first as the Capital Weather Gang's winter weather expert. A meteorologist's view of winter is often driven by how difficult and challenging the forecasts were during the winter. This year they were difficult compared to last year. My perception of a winter is directly related to how well my forecasts verified and by how others viewed the forecasts. The season offered one spectacular success, one abysmal failure and one other forecast that most would consider a bust. Most of the thoughts and ideas about other potential storms worked out reasonably well.

By Wes Junker  | March 2, 2011; 10:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Capital Weather Gang, Latest, Winter Storms  
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Snow totals fall short of forecasts: why?

As a snow enthusiast and someone who strives to make the most accurate forecast possible, this morning's lack of snow in the immediate metro area was a bitter disappointment. So what went wrong?

By Jason Samenow  | February 22, 2011; 10:30 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (68)
Categories:  Latest, Recaps, Weather Checker, Winter Storms  
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Icy/snowy night ahead: Timeline, snow accumulation map, impacts, & FAQs

Cold air is steadily seeping into the region today, setting the stage for ice and snow tonight. A winter weather advisory is in effect for most of the metro region for 2 to 5 inches of snow. The highest snow amounts, 3-6" or so, will occur north and northwest of the beltway. No advisory is in effect in the far southern suburbs where just an inch or so is possible.

Accumulation map, frequent questions & more

By Jason Samenow  | February 21, 2011; 12:10 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (97)
Categories:  Forecasts, Latest, Winter Storms  
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Monday night: Rain, sleet, then some snow

Tomorrow temperatures are expected to rise to the mid-50s to low 60s and by tomorrow night as a cold front presses southward, we should get some rain. The big uncertainties revolve around how much rain will fall and whether the rain will change to snow and if any of the snow will stick. At this point, we generally think an inch or less of snow is most likely primarily on grassy areas from inside the beltway and to the east, south and southeast by Tuesday morning. North, west, and northwest of the beltway, 1-3" of snow is most likely.

By Wes Junker, Jason Samenow and Dan Stillman  | February 20, 2011; 11:05 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (63)
Categories:  Latest, Winter Storms  
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Older Entries in This Category »

Snow chance early Tuesday, but big uncertainty, Wes Junker , February 18, 2011
Next Tuesday snow: True or tease?, Jason Samenow , February 17, 2011
Bad pattern for snow through end of February, Wes Junker , February 16, 2011
Wide ranging views on Va. school closings, Jason Samenow , February 11, 2011
Trace to 1" dusts region, some schools close, Jason Samenow , February 10, 2011
Snowstorm burying eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, Jason Samenow , February 9, 2011
The top five U.S. snow storms, Jason Samenow , February 8, 2011
No more than flurries likely Thursday, Wes Junker , February 8, 2011
Thursday snow chance still low, Jason Samenow , February 7, 2011
Meaningful snow chances diminishing, Wes Junker , February 6, 2011
Three possible storms: will any pack a punch?, Jason Samenow , February 4, 2011
Saturday storm: Light ice & rain, ending as snow?, Jason Samenow , February 3, 2011
Saturday storm trending wet not white, Wes Junker , February 2, 2011
Ice threat tonight focused on northern Md. & Pa., Jason Samenow , February 1, 2011
Snow storm to bury Midwest, New England, Jason Samenow , January 31, 2011
Breaking down the double ice threat, Jason Samenow , January 31, 2011
Commutageddon: could we all have done more?, Jason Samenow , January 31, 2011
And the awards for 'Best Snow Comments' go to..., Ann Posegate , January 27, 2011
Recap: Snow, thunder put on a memorable show, Dan Stillman , January 27, 2011
State of the snowstorm: Precip moves in..., Jason Samenow , January 26, 2011
At weather expo, top snow expert shares views, Andrew Freedman , January 25, 2011
Odds increasing for heavy, wet snow late Wed., Wes Junker , January 25, 2011
AM update: Winter Storm Watch for N & W suburbs, Jason Samenow , January 25, 2011
Near rain-snow line for significant Wed. storm, Jason Samenow , January 24, 2011
Tonight's snow to be very light, again, Capital Weather Gang , January 20, 2011
NOAA-NWS begins Winter Weather Experiment, Steve Tracton , January 20, 2011
Snow/mix chance returns Thurs. night & Fri., Jason Samenow , January 18, 2011
Analysis: Light mix of precip Monday night, Jason Samenow , January 16, 2011
Will early Tuesday be wintry or rainy?, Wes Junker , January 14, 2011
Snowstorm blasts New York, buries Boston, Andrew Freedman , January 12, 2011
Why was there ice before snow Tues. night?, Wes Junker , January 12, 2011
Snow totals and your pictures, Jason Samenow , January 12, 2011
The latest on late Tuesday's minor snow event, Dan Stillman , January 10, 2011
Winter Weather Advisory up for D.C. & vicinity, Dan Stillman , January 10, 2011
Snow map, accumulation timeline & FAQs, Jason Samenow , January 10, 2011
Update: Snow chance Tuesday night steady, Jason Samenow , January 10, 2011
About the Winter Storm Watch east of D.C., Jason Samenow , January 10, 2011
Tuesday snow chance looks real but light, Wes Junker , January 9, 2011
Decent chance for at least some snow Tuesday, Dan Stillman and Jason Samenow , January 8, 2011
Snow ends, drops quick half inch or so, Jason Samenow , January 8, 2011
Tuesday snow risk increases, Wes Junker , January 7, 2011
Dusting to 1" possible Saturday morning, Jason Samenow , January 7, 2011
Tuesday snow threat: On the edge again?, Jason Samenow and Dan Stillman , January 6, 2011
Coast to coast: Video of Dec. 26 beach blizzard, Jason Samenow , January 4, 2011
When weather is art: "Man in a Blizzard" video, Jason Samenow , December 30, 2010
Washington's greatest snowstorms, Kevin Ambrose , December 30, 2010
Where did Sunday's forecast go wrong?, Wes Junker , December 29, 2010
The No-mageddon D.C. snow hole from space, Jason Samenow , December 29, 2010
Blizzard blasts coastal cities from Va. to Mass., Andrew Freedman , December 27, 2010
Weather Checker: "False Alarmageddon"?, Jamie Yesnowitz , December 27, 2010
Snow struggling to stretch west of D.C., Jason Samenow , December 26, 2010
Update: Still big range in Sunday snow potential, Jason Samenow , December 25, 2010
Update: Winter storm watches extended west, Jason Samenow , December 25, 2010
Winter storm watch Sunday & Sunday night, Jason Samenow , December 25, 2010
Update: Bumping up Sunday snow odds, Jason Samenow , December 24, 2010
Weekend snow threat still slight, Jason Samenow , December 24, 2010
Odds of major storm shrinking. Any snow at all?, Wes Junker , December 23, 2010
Sunday storm could be big hit or big miss, Wes Junker and Jason Samenow , December 22, 2010
Weekend storm: Glancing blow or blizzard?, Jason Samenow , December 21, 2010
Poll: A white Christmas or not?, Jason Samenow , December 21, 2010
White Christmas odds good, not yet great, Jason Samenow , December 21, 2010
White Christmas dream *could* come true, Wes Junker , December 20, 2010
Rare Christmas snow potential emerging, Jason Samenow , December 19, 2010
Next chance of light snow: Tuesday, Dan Stillman , December 18, 2010
On-again, off-again Sunday snow is..., Dan Stillman , December 17, 2010
Sunday snow threat is back, sort of..., Wes Junker , December 16, 2010
D.C. gets first inch; school tomorrow?, Jason Samenow , December 16, 2010
It's snowing & sticking! Up to 2" expected., Capital Weather Gang , December 16, 2010
Update: Snow covering metro region, Jason Samenow , December 16, 2010
Snow update: Timeline, Impacts, and FAQs, Jason Samenow , December 16, 2010
What are your snow predictions?, Jason Samenow , December 15, 2010
Weekend snow threat down, not out, Wes Junker , December 15, 2010
Snow threat up, 1 or 2 inches possible tomorrow, Wes Junker , December 15, 2010
Federal leave for severe weather revamped, Ed O'Keefe , December 15, 2010
Recap: Lake enhanced snow streamers dust D.C., Jason Samenow , December 14, 2010
Analyzing pre-Christmas snow odds, Wes Junker , December 13, 2010
Will Sunday's storm produce any snow?, Wes Junker , December 9, 2010
Snowmageddon - the book!, Capital Weather Gang , December 6, 2010
Any truth to rumors of a Sunday-Monday storm?, Wes Junker , December 6, 2010
December 5 snow threat decreasing, Wes Junker , December 2, 2010
A look into early December: cold likely, Wes Junker , November 29, 2010
Thanksgiving ice coats western Maryland, Jason Samenow , November 26, 2010
A look ahead toward Thanksgiving and beyond, Wes Junker , November 17, 2010
A detailed look at this winter's biggest players, Wes Junker , November 11, 2010
Winter arrives in western Maryland, W. Va., Jason Samenow , November 5, 2010
Winter outlook: What do you think?, Jason Samenow , November 4, 2010
Capital Weather Gang 2010-11 winter outlook, Matt Ross , November 4, 2010
The winter of 2009-2010: Could it have been colder?, Jason Samenow , November 3, 2010
Winter 2009-2010 mid-Atlantic snowfall map, Ian Livingston , November 3, 2010
Why was last year so snowy? Part II, Wes Junker , November 2, 2010
Why was last year so snowy? Part I, Wes Junker , November 1, 2010
Winter outlook aftershock: Bastardi knocks NOAA, Jason Samenow , October 22, 2010
NWS & AccuWeather: Low chance for big snows, Jason Samenow , October 21, 2010
Season's first snowflakes fall in West Virginia, Jason Samenow , October 5, 2010
Rediscovering a classic Washington weather photo, Kevin Ambrose , August 2, 2010
We grade our 2009-2010 Winter Outlook, Matt Ross , May 4, 2010
Unbelievable: Still snow at BWI..., Jason Samenow , May 4, 2010
Is April snow in D.C. becoming more rare?, Ian Livingston , April 12, 2010
The varying predictability of snowstorms, Steve Tracton , March 2, 2010
Photographing D.C. making snow history, Ian Livingston , February 18, 2010
Politician sounds off on D.C. region & snow, Jason Samenow , February 12, 2010
Region reacts to snow: 'Best of' CWG comments, Ann Posegate , February 11, 2010
New storm polls: Tell us how much and name it... , Jason Samenow , February 8, 2010
Not again: Winter Storm Watch for Tues/Wed, Jason Samenow , February 7, 2010
Measuring Snowmaggedon's snow depth, Kevin Ambrose , February 7, 2010
Head of NOAA urges public safety, Jason Samenow , February 5, 2010
Weather Service: All-time snow record in jeopardy, Jason Samenow , February 5, 2010
Eating our way through 'Snowmageddon', Ann Posegate , February 5, 2010
Vote for storm name, Twitter hashtag & snow total, Andrew Freedman , February 4, 2010
Help CWG name the potential storm, Andrew Freedman , February 3, 2010
Sizeable snowstorm departing D.C. area, Ian Livingston , January 30, 2010
Impressive snow to gradually diminish, Dan Stillman , January 30, 2010
Powdery snow piles up, ends this evening, Dan Stillman , January 30, 2010
El Niño-linked weather arrives with a vengeance, Andrew Freedman , January 26, 2010
What makes a big snowstorm a blizzard?, Don Lipman , January 14, 2010
D.C. sledding gets creative, Ann Posegate , December 23, 2009
The evolution of a monster D.C. area snowstorm, Ian Livingston , December 22, 2009
How did this happen?, Matt Rogers , December 21, 2009
Washingtonians react to storm and storm stats, Jason Samenow , December 20, 2009
When will record-setting snowfall end?, Dan Stillman , December 19, 2009
New December snowfall record for D.C., Jason Samenow , December 19, 2009
The snow is here: Some could see two feet of it!, Dan Stillman , December 18, 2009
Storm may be historic, record-breaking, Jason Samenow , December 18, 2009
Big-time snowstorm takes aim on Washington, Dan Stillman , December 18, 2009
Reading material: Pattern favorable for snow, Jason Samenow , December 17, 2009
AccuWeather hypes weekend snow, why not us?, Jason Samenow , December 15, 2009
The snowy legend of Dec. 5 continues, Andrew Freedman , December 7, 2009
Rain then snow to bring sloppy, slick mess, Jason Samenow , December 5, 2009
Moderate El NiƱos often bring big snows, Jason Samenow , November 27, 2009
The Super-Predictable Superstorm of 1993, Steve Tracton , March 12, 2009
Snowstorm Comments: Best of..., Ann Posegate , March 4, 2009
Snow Picks Back Up, Windy..., Dan Stillman , March 2, 2009
Here Comes the Snow: What You Need to Know, Dan Stillman , March 1, 2009
Models Knew Monster Storm Was No Certainty, Steve Tracton , February 6, 2009
Backlash Hits AccuWeather After Lackluster Storm, Andrew Freedman , February 4, 2009
Deicer Dilemma: How to Choose and How to Use, Ann Posegate , January 28, 2009
Winter Weather Driving Tips, Ann Posegate , January 27, 2009
Forecast: Some Shovelable Snow, Then Ice & Rain, Capital Weather Gang , January 27, 2009
PM Update: Tues-Wed Storm Still on Track, Ian Livingston , January 26, 2009
Winter Storm Watch Issued for Metro Area, Jamie Jones , January 26, 2009
Snow in October?, Steve Tracton , October 10, 2008
Salt Shortage: A Real Reason to Freak Out?, Dan Stillman , September 26, 2008
Avoiding the Hype Trap, Jason Samenow , February 26, 2008
Forecast: A Bit of Snow, Then an Icy Mess, Capital Weather Gang , February 21, 2008
Update: Snow Tonight, Freezing Rain Friday, Camden Walker , February 21, 2008
Lessons Learned: Road Crews Prepped and Ready?, Jamie Jones , February 20, 2008
Update: Light Snowfall Still On Track, Matt Ross , February 20, 2008
Snow Lovers: Double Pleasure or Twice the Pain?, Jason Samenow , February 19, 2008
Recap: A Fair Forecast, With Flaws, Capital Weather Gang , February 15, 2008
Super Soaker: Record Rain Recap, Steve Scolnik , February 4, 2008
Possible Ice, Then Buckets of Rain, Camden Walker , January 31, 2008
International House of Snowflakes, Steve Scolnik , January 30, 2008
Another Slim Snow Chance on Thursday, Jason Samenow , January 23, 2008
Weekend Storm Trending Away, Dan Stillman , January 18, 2008
Photography: Downtown DC in Heavy Snow, Ian Livingston , January 17, 2008
Alert: Here Comes the Snow, Ian Livingston , January 17, 2008
The Return of Snow, Josh Larson , January 17, 2008
Small Storm May Cause Small Problems, Matt Ross , January 16, 2008
A Slight Shot at Snow Late This Week, Josh Larson , January 14, 2008
Alert: Sunday PM Storm Mainly Rain, Jason Samenow , January 12, 2008
Best Snow Chance Since Early December, Jason Samenow , January 12, 2008
Meet a Major Meteorologist, Steve Scolnik , January 9, 2008
Winter Starts Slow, Will it Finish Strong?, Matt Ross , January 9, 2008
Where's All the Snow?, Matt Ross , January 8, 2008
 
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