RealClearPolitics - 2008 RCP Averages & State Results

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2008 RCP Averages & State Results

Colorado: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	53.5	45.0	Obama +8.5
RCP Average	10/27 - 11/2	--	--	50.8	45.3	Obama +5.5
FOX News/Rasmussen	11/02 - 11/02	1000 LV	3.0	51	47	Obama +4
Denver Post/Mason-Dixon	10/28 - 10/29	625 LV	4.0	49	44	Obama +5
ARG	10/28 - 10/30	600 LV	4.0	52	45	Obama +7
Marist	10/27 - 10/28	682 LV	4.0	51	45	Obama +6

Florida: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	50.9	48.4	Obama +2.5
RCP Average	10/27 - 11/3	--	--	49.0	47.2	Obama +1.8
FOX News/Rasmussen	11/02 - 11/02	1000 LV	3.0	49	50	McCain +1
SurveyUSA	10/31 - 11/03	691 LV	3.8	50	47	Obama +3
Reuters/Zogby	10/31 - 11/03	678 LV	4.1	49	48	Obama +1
Quinnipiac	10/27 - 11/02	1773 LV	2.3	47	45	Obama +2
ARG	10/29 - 10/31	600 LV	4.0	50	46	Obama +4
Mason-Dixon	10/29 - 10/30	625 LV	4.0	49	47	Obama +2

Georgia: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	52.2	47.0	McCain +5.2
RCP Average	10/28 - 11/2	--	--	49.8	45.8	McCain +4.0
InAdv/PollPosition	11/02 - 11/02	512 LV	4.0	48	47	McCain +1
SurveyUSA	10/30 - 11/02	683 LV	3.8	52	45	McCain +7
Rasmussen	10/30 - 10/30	500 LV	4.5	52	47	McCain +5
Research 2000	10/28 - 10/30	600 LV	4.0	47	44	McCain +3

Indiana: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	49.0	49.9	Obama +0.9
RCP Average	10/26 - 11/3	--	--	47.8	46.4	McCain +1.4
Reuters/Zogby	10/31 - 11/03	585 LV	4.1	50	45	McCain +5
ARG	10/28 - 10/31	600 LV	4.0	48	48	Tie
Downs Center/SUSA	10/27 - 10/30	900 LV	3.3	47	47	Tie
Rasmussen	10/28 - 10/29	500 LV	4.5	49	46	McCain +3
Indy Star/Selzer	10/26 - 10/28	606 LV	4.0	45	46	Obama +1

Iowa: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	54.0	44.7	Obama +9.3
RCP Average	10/27 - 10/31	--	--	54.0	38.7	Obama +15.3
Des Moines Register	10/28 - 10/31	814 LV	3.4	54	37	Obama +17
SurveyUSA	10/28 - 10/29	658 LV	3.9	55	40	Obama +15
Research 2000	10/27 - 10/29	600 LV	4.0	53	39	Obama +14

Michigan: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	57.4	40.9	Obama +16.5
RCP Average	10/26 - 11/3	--	--	52.5	39.0	Obama +13.5
Mitchell Research	11/03 - 11/03	400 LV	5.0	54	38	Obama +16
Detroit Free Press	10/28 - 10/31	616 LV	4.0	53	37	Obama +16
Rasmussen	10/28 - 10/28	500 LV	4.5	53	43	Obama +10
Det. News (EPIC/MRA)	10/26 - 10/28	600 LV	4.0	50	38	Obama +12

Minnesota: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	54.2	44.0	Obama +10.2
RCP Average	10/27 - 11/1	--	--	51.6	41.8	Obama +9.8
SurveyUSA	10/30 - 11/01	669 LV	3.9	49	46	Obama +3
Star Tribune	10/29 - 10/31	933 LV	4.1	53	42	Obama +11
Rasmussen	10/28 - 10/28	500 LV	4.5	55	43	Obama +12
Research 2000	10/27 - 10/29	600 LV	4.0	53	38	Obama +15
NBC/Mason-Dixon	10/27 - 10/28	625 LV	4.0	48	40	Obama +8

Mississippi: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	56.5	42.7	McCain +13.8
RCP Average	10/13 - 10/29	--	--	50.7	39.3	McCain +11.4
Research 2000	10/27 - 10/29	600 LV	4.0	53	40	McCain +13
Rasmussen	10/27 - 10/27	500 LV	4.5	53	45	McCain +8
Press Register	10/13 - 10/23	405 LV	5.0	46	33	McCain +13

Missouri: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	49.4	49.3	McCain +0.1
RCP Average	10/28 - 11/3	--	--	48.5	47.8	McCain +0.7
FOX News/Rasmussen	11/02 - 11/02	1000 LV	3.0	49	49	Tie
Reuters/Zogby	10/31 - 11/03	585 LV	4.1	49	49	Tie
SurveyUSA	10/30 - 11/02	674 LV	3.9	48	48	Tie
Mason-Dixon	10/29 - 10/30	625 LV	4.0	47	46	McCain +1
Politico/InAdv	10/29 - 10/29	814 LV	3.4	50	47	McCain +3
ARG	10/28 - 10/30	600 LV	4.0	48	48	Tie

Montana: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	49.7	47.2	McCain +2.5
RCP Average	10/23 - 10/30	--	48.8	45.0	McCain +3.8
ARG	10/28 - 10/30	600 LV	49	46	McCain +3
Research 2000	10/28 - 10/30	600 LV	48	44	McCain +4
Rasmussen	10/29 - 10/29	500 LV	50	46	McCain +4
NBC/Mason-Dixon	10/23 - 10/25	625 LV	48	44	McCain +4

Nevada: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	55.1	42.7	Obama +12.4
RCP Average	10/25 - 11/3	--	--	50.3	43.8	Obama +6.5
ARG	10/31 - 11/03	600 LV	4.0	52	47	Obama +5
Reuters/Zogby	10/31 - 11/03	586 LV	4.1	53	42	Obama +11
LVRJ/Mason-Dixon	10/28 - 10/29	625 LV	4.0	47	43	Obama +4
Rasmussen	10/27 - 10/27	700 LV	4.0	50	46	Obama +4
Reno Gazette-Journal	10/25 - 10/28	600 LV	4.0	50	45	Obama +5
Suffolk	10/26 - 10/26	450 LV	4.6	50	40	Obama +10

New Hampshire: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	54.3	44.8	Obama +9.5
RCP Average	10/27 - 11/2	--	--	52.8	42.2	Obama +10.6
WMUR/UNH	10/30 - 11/02	830 LV	3.9	53	42	Obama +11
Rasmussen	10/30 - 10/30	700 LV	4.0	51	44	Obama +7
SurveyUSA	10/29 - 10/30	682 LV	3.8	53	42	Obama +11
Concord Monitor	10/28 - 10/30	600 LV	4.0	51	44	Obama +7
ARG	10/28 - 10/30	600 LV	4.0	56	41	Obama +15
Suffolk	10/27 - 10/29	600 LV	4.0	53	40	Obama +13

New Jersey: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	56.8	42.1	Obama +14.7
RCP Average	10/26 - 11/2	--	--	54.5	39.0	Obama +15.5
Rasmussen	11/02 - 11/02	500 LV	4.5	57	42	Obama +15
Monmouth/Gannett	10/29 - 10/31	801 LV	3.5	55	34	Obama +21
SurveyUSA	10/29 - 10/30	632 LV	4.0	52	42	Obama +10
Research 2000	10/26 - 10/28	600 LV	4.0	54	38	Obama +16

New Mexico: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	56.7	42.0	Obama +14.7
RCP Average	9/29 - 10/31	--	--	50.3	43.0	Obama +7.3
SurveyUSA	10/29 - 10/31	664 LV	3.9	52	45	Obama +7
Rasmussen	10/28 - 10/28	500 LV	4.5	54	44	Obama +10
Albuquerque Journal	09/29 - 10/02	659 LV	3.8	45	40	Obama +5

North Carolina: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	49.5	49.9	Obama +0.4
RCP Average	10/28 - 11/3	--	--	48.4	48.0	McCain +0.4
FOX News/Rasmussen	11/02 - 11/02	1000 LV	3.0	50	49	McCain +1
Reuters/Zogby	10/31 - 11/03	585 LV	4.1	50	49	McCain +1
ARG	10/31 - 11/03	600 LV	4.0	48	49	Obama +1
SurveyUSA	10/30 - 11/02	682 LV	3.8	49	48	McCain +1
Mason-Dixon	10/29 - 10/30	625 LV	4.0	49	46	McCain +3
Research 2000	10/28 - 10/30	600 LV	4.0	45	47	Obama +2
Politico/InAdv	10/29 - 10/29	641 LV	3.7	48	48	Tie

Ohio: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	51.2	47.2	Obama +4.0
RCP Average	10/27 - 11/3	--	--	48.8	46.3	Obama +2.5
FOX News/Rasmussen	11/02 - 11/02	1000 LV	3.0	49	49	Tie
Reuters/Zogby	10/31 - 11/03	687 LV	4.1	49	47	Obama +2
SurveyUSA	10/30 - 11/02	660 LV	3.9	48	46	Obama +2
Univ of Cinci/Ohio Poll	10/29 - 11/02	1221 LV	2.7	52	46	Obama +6
Quinnipiac	10/27 - 11/02	1574 LV	2.5	50	43	Obama +7
Mason-Dixon	10/29 - 10/30	625 LV	4.0	45	47	McCain +2

Oregon: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	57.1	40.8	Obama +16.3
RCP Average	10/25 - 10/30	--	--	55.3	39.7	Obama +15.6
Rasmussen	10/30 - 10/30	500 LV	4.0	54	42	Obama +12
Research 2000	10/27 - 10/29	500 LV	4.0	55	39	Obama +16
SurveyUSA	10/25 - 10/26	672 LV	3.8	57	38	Obama +19

Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	54.7	44.3	Obama +10.4
RCP Average	10/27 - 11/3	--	--	51.0	43.7	Obama +7.3
SurveyUSA	10/31 - 11/03	657 LV	3.9	52	43	Obama +9
Reuters/Zogby	10/31 - 11/03	682 LV	4.1	51	41	Obama +10
Rasmussen	11/01 - 11/01	700 LV	4.0	52	46	Obama +6
Morning Call	10/29 - 11/02	617 LV	4.0	52	46	Obama +6
ARG	10/29 - 10/31	600 LV	4.0	51	45	Obama +6
Quinnipiac	10/27 - 11/02	1493 LV	2.5	52	42	Obama +10
NBC/Mason-Dixon	10/27 - 10/28	625 LV	4.0	47	43	Obama +4

South Dakota: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	McCain (R)	Obama (D)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	53.2	44.7	McCain +8.5
RCP Average	10/13 - 10/30	--	50.3	42.0	McCain +8.3
Rasmussen	10/30 - 10/30	500 LV	53	44	McCain +9
Research 2000	10/22 - 10/24	600 LV	50	41	McCain +9
Mason-Dixon	10/13 - 10/15	800 LV	48	41	McCain +7

Virginia: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	52.7	46.4	Obama +6.3
RCP Average	10/29 - 11/3	--	--	50.2	45.8	Obama +4.4
FOX News/Rasmussen	11/02 - 11/02	1000 LV	3.0	51	47	Obama +4
Reuters/Zogby	10/31 - 11/03	690 LV	4.1	52	45	Obama +7
ARG	10/31 - 11/03	600 LV	4.0	51	47	Obama +4
SurveyUSA	10/30 - 11/01	672 LV	3.9	50	46	Obama +4
Mason-Dixon	10/29 - 10/30	625 LV	4.0	47	44	Obama +3

Wisconsin: McCain vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Obama (D)	McCain (R)	Spread
Final Results	--	--	--	56.3	42.4	Obama +13.9
RCP Average	10/21 - 10/29	--	--	52.8	41.8	Obama +11.0
SurveyUSA	10/28 - 10/29	667 LV	3.9	55	39	Obama +16
Research 2000	10/27 - 10/28	600 LV	4.0	53	42	Obama +11
U. of WI	10/21 - 10/28	359 LV	5.2	52	42	Obama +10
Rasmussen	10/23 - 10/23	500 LV	4.5	51	44	Obama +7

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