MOScout Poll on Issues
MOScout Poll – Issues Facing Missourians
Last week Chilenski Strategies conducted a poll for me which surveyed Missourians about possible 2014 issues. Subscribers can find the full report in the Special Reports.
Four hundred interviews were conducted through Interactive Voice Response telephone interviewing to landlines. One hundred interviews were conducted by trained, professional interviewers to cellular telephones. Interviews were conducted during the evening of January 30. The margin of error of the top-line responses displayed for the 500 respondents in this survey is +/- 4.38%.
Right Track / Wrong Track
Question: “In general, are things in Missouri headed in the right direction, or are things off on the wrong track?”
Right Direction – 45.6%
Wrong Direction – 50.3%
Don’t Know / No Answer – 4.1%
This is a reversal from the last time we asked the question a year ago.
Question: “Which of these four things is the most important problem facing the State of Missouri right now, unemployment and jobs, government spending, education or health care?”
Unemployment and Jobs – 40.3%
Government Spending – 20.6%
Education – 15.9%
Health Care – 22.9%
Don’t Know / No Answer – 0.3%
While still the dominant issue, Unemployment and Jobs receives less attention than in our previous surveys. Interestingly, twenty-three percent now rate Health Care as the most important problem facing Missouri. Perhaps this is a reflection of the focus on the fumbled Obamacare roll-out coupled with the ongoing battle to expand Medicaid in the state.
Right To Farm
Question: “Would you support an amendment to the Missouri Constitution that protects the rights of Missouri citizens to farm or ranch without government interference?”
Support – 59.1%
Oppose – 19.4%
Don’t Know / No Answer – 21.5%
At the end of the 2013 session, the Missouri Legislature voted to put a “Right to Farm” amendment to the state constitution on the ballot. A strong majority of voters (59%) are supporting this amendment.
Question: “Would you support an increase in the state minimum wage to $9.25 an hour?”
Support – 57.2%
Oppose – 37.9%
Don’t Know / No Answer – 4.9%
There are a number of petitions filed with the Secretary of State concerning a statewide initiative for an increase in the minimum wage. For this survey, we picked the highest hourly amount among those petitions.
Campaign Contribution Limits
Question: “Would you support a state law that establishes limits on campaign contributions for candidates for the state legislature?”
Support – 73.9%
Oppose – 17.3%
Don’t Know / No Answer – 8.8%
Currently, officials running for state legislature in Missouri can collect any size of contribution for their election efforts. Support for limits crossed all ideological and demographic boundaries.
Right To Work
Question: “Would you support a right-to-work law that prohibits the payment of union dues as a condition of employment?”
Support – 48.2%
Oppose – 39.1 %
Don’t Know / No Answer – 12.7%
Right-to-Work legislation has been a hot topic this legislative session with the Speaker Tim Jones calling it is a top priority. Although a plurality of voters support the notion, history from other Missouri ballot propositions shows that levels of support expressed at this stage typically is the ceiling for proponents. Unsure or undecided voters normally collapse into the opposition.
Question: “Would you support a law that eliminates the state income tax and replaces it with a sales tax?”
Support – 43.9%
Oppose – 39.1%
Don’t Know / No Answer – 17%
Several petitions explore ways to eliminate the state income tax and replace it with other taxes. Voters support this with a plurality, but as with the right to work question (above), it’s highly unlikely such a proposal would be successful at the ballot.
Question: “Would you support a state law that legalizes the sale and consumption of marijuana for those aged 21 and older?”
Support – 39.6%
Oppose – 55.5%
Don’t Know / No Answer – 4.9%
As you might expect, younger voters favor legalization, but older voters disapprove by a wide margin.
Originally in February 3 MOScout.