All posts tagged GUE/NGL

Please note that since the constitutive session of the European Parliament on 1 July 2014, this page is no longer being updated.
EPP S&D ALDE G/EFA ECR EFDD GUE/NGL NI
221 191 67 50 70 48 52 52
27 countries 28 countries 21 countries 17 countries 15 countries 7 countries 14 countries 10 countries
The 2014 European elections brought 34 new parties or independent candidates to the European Parliament.

Now, many of those new MEPs are seeking to join political groups to strengthen their voice in the Parliament, while a battle goes on between the groups to attract new members that help ensure their survival and maximise their influence, speaking time and funding.

One new group – the European Alliance for Freedom – has also been mooted as a way to bring together anti-EU parties on the radical right. To form this and other groups, a minimum of 25 MEPs are needed, representing at least seven member states.

At the same time, other parties are considering changing groups or allying themselves to a group for the first time.

Take a look at our table listing the parties up for grabs, based on the vast array of information from intelligence we have gathered and media reports – and contribute via the button below or the comments box at the bottom of the page.

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Read more in Europe Decides Weekly, 23 May 2014

Top stories: 17-23 May 2014

  • Polls open in European election: The polls have opened in the European Parliament elections, with voting taking place until Sunday. In the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, voting took place on Thursday, with the progressive liberal D66 party winning the election in the Netherlands according to an exit poll by Ipsos for the Dutch public broadcaster, NOS. The same exit poll suggested that the far-right Party for Freedom (PVV) would lose a seat. In the UK, the UK Independence Party (Ukip) performed well according to the early results from local elections. The results of the European elections will be announced on Sunday, after voting has taken place in the rest of Europe. EUObserver; Europolitics; BBC News
  • EPP to remain largest party, says PollWatch: The final PollWatch 2014 prediction suggests that the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP) will be the biggest party in the next European Parliament, with a 16-seat advantage over the Socialists and Democrats (S&D). The Liberal Group would be third, on 59 seats, and the radical left fourth, on 53 seats. If these latest predictions are confirmed by the actual results, Ukip and France’s National Front would become the fourth- and fifth-largest single parties in the Parliament respectively. Early analysis of the results suggests a grand coalition is on the cards, with neither a centre-left or centre-right coalition gathering sufficient support. Europe Decides; PollWatch 2014; EUObserver
  • Greece faces double election showdown: Candidates from Greece’s radical left party, Syriza, have performed well in the first round of local elections in Greece, reaching the second round of voting in Athens and in the Attica region, the country’s two most populous constituencies. New Democracy, the centre-right ruling party performed better in the rest of the country, while the far-right Golden Dawn party scored higher than 16% in Athens. The Syriza leader, Alexis Tsipras, said that the European poll will be a referendum on the Greek bail-out programme. EurActiv; EUObserver; European Voice; European Left; New Europe; Financial Times; Novinite; Reuters; Sofia Globe; Jewish Telegraph Agency

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For detailed results per country and methodology, go to pollwatch2014.eu

The Group of the European People’s Party will be the largest formation in the new European Parliament according to the final PollWatch 2014 prediction.

With voting due to begin in less than 48 hours, PollWatch 2014, a project developed by VoteWatch Europe in partnership with Burson-Marsteller and Europe Decides, puts the centre-right group on 217 seats, taking just under 29 per cent of the seats in the new European Parliament.

The centre-left Socialists & Democrats Group, which led in our initial predictions in February and last week narrowed the gap to just three seats, is set to be 16 seats short of the EPP number. With 201 seats, the Socialists are set to gain only a handful of seats in comparison to their current numbers. This is the lowest PollWatch 2014 score for the S&D.

Many EPP member parties have consolidated their positions during the election campaign, especially in Poland, Hungary and Germany, while a number of socialist, social democratic and Labour parties have lost ground in the past few months, notably in France, Hungary, Poland and the UK.

It should be noted that while the gap between the EPP and S&D appears wide, there is still a 15% chance that the Socialists will be larger than the EPP, taking into account margins of error. Read more

Read more in Europe Decides Weekly, 9 May 2014

Top stories: 9-16 May 2014

  • Live TV debate with candidates for next Commission President: A final TV debate with the European parties’ candidates for the presidency of the European Commission took place on 15 May in the European Parliament. The ‘Eurovision Debate’ featured Jean-Claude Juncker (centre-right), Martin Schulz (Socialists), Guy Verhofstadt (Liberals), Ska Keller (Greens) and Alexis Tsipras (radical left). The contenders clashed over a number of topics ranging from the economy, including the impact of austerity measures, to Russia and Ukraine, immigration and religious symbols. The debate was broadcast on 58 national and regional TV channels and web-streamed on 71 websites across EU member states. Europolitics; EurActiv; European Voice; EUobserver; New Europe
  • Latest survey shows gap closing between EPP and Socialists: The latest PollWatch 2014 predictions show that the gap between the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP) and the centre-left Socialists and Democrats Group (S&D) is narrowing. With less than a week to go before the polls open, the EPP is predicted to gain 212 seats, with the S&D close behind on 209. The Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE) remain on 63 seats, while the radical left European United Left/Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL) has improved slightly and would now find itself with 52 seats. The European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) Group lead the rest of the chasing pack, with 43 seats. PollWatch 2014; Europe Decides; Reuters
  • Merkel and Hollande discuss Commission President: The German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, and the French President, François Hollande, met in Germany last weekend to discuss several EU-related issues, including the choice of a new Commission president. Merkel said that it will take several weeks following the European elections to reach a decision, amid talk of her and other EU leaders wanting to consider candidates other than the lead candidates of the pan-European parties. The EPP lead candidate, Jean-Claude Juncker, has said that Merkel gave him a firm signal that he will become the next Commission president if the centre-right wins the election, but the leader of the Socialists and Democrats Group in the European Parliament, Hannes Swoboda, criticised the Chancellor for reportedly trying to prevent the Parliament’s President (and Socialist lead candidate), Martin Schulz, from chairing the assembly’s post-election review meeting. Swoboda said Merkel is only one of the 28 leaders in the European Council and should stop interfering in parliamentary business. EurActiv; Reuters; Chicago Tribune; Europolitics; S&D news; EUObserver

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For detailed results per country and methodology, go to pollwatch2014.eu

In the penultimate PollWatch 2014 predictions, the gap between the centre-right Group of the European People’s Party and the centre-left Socialists & Democrats Group has narrowed to just three seats. 

The EPP is on 212 seats and the Socialists on 209 in this week’s forecast by PollWatch 2014, a project developed by VoteWatch Europe in partnership with Burson-Marsteller and Europe Decides. The narrowing of the difference from eleven seats last week to three this week will reassure the Socialists, who had led in the initial PollWatch predictions in February and March.

The Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE) Group are set to take 63 seats, according to the latest prediction, while the radical left European United Left / Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL) Group would win 52 seats in the next European Parliament.

The three-way battle for fifth place among the current groups continues, with the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) Group taking the edge, with 43 seats. What will also please the ECR Group is that these members are forecast to come from seven member states – the minimum threshold to form a group – and with the possibility of securing new members from the Alternative for Germany (AfD) or Belgium’s New Flemish Alliance (N-VA), the future of the group looks brighter.

Overall prediction – 14 May

Click the slices to see the group names, predicted number of MEPs and share of total representation in the Parliament

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Read more in Europe Decides Weekly, 9 May 2014

Top stories: 1-9 May 2014

  • EPP extends lead as smaller groups scramble for seats: The latest PollWatch 2014 puts the European People’s Party (EPP) in an 11-seat lead over the Socialists and Democrats (S&D). The EPP’s projected haul of 216 seats re-opens the gap with the S&D, who had looked to be narrowing the difference between the two parties in previous forecasts. The Green, Conservative and Eurosceptic groups are in a tight battle for fifth place behind the Liberals (63 seats) and radical left (which fell under the 50-seat mark for the first time in a PollWatch 2014 prediction). PollWatch 2014; Europe Decides
  • Slovenia PM Bratušek formally resigns, urges snap election: Slovenia’s Prime Minister, Alenka Bratušek, handed in her resignation on Monday 5 May and called for an early election to be held in June. She said it would be the best way out of the political crisis, which was triggered by her removal as leader of Positive Slovenia by the party’s founder. Meanwhile, ex-PM and current opposition leader Janez Janša was sentenced to two years in prison for bribery related to a 2006 arms deal. Janša’s conviction, delivered last June, was upheld by an appeal court. New Europe; EUObserver; Bloomberg; Reuters; Daily Journal; Washington Post; EurActiv
  • Oettinger frontrunner as next German Commission nominee: The Energy Commissioner Günther Oettinger, is set to be named as Germany’s nominee to the European Commission for a second time, according to a report in Der Spiegel. Since the German Social Democrats (SPD) are expected to lose support in the European election, it is reported that the Chancellor, Angela Merkel, will send a Christian Democrat to the Commission. Oettinger’s only competitor for the post is reported to be David McAllister, former prime minister of Lower Saxony and lead candidate for Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU). Der Spiegel

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For detailed results per country and methodology, go to pollwatch2014.eu

The centre-right Group of the European People’s Party has restored its double-digit seats lead over the centre-left Socialists & Democrats Group according to the latest PollWatch 2014 predictions.  

The EPP is on 216 seats, 11 seats ahead of the Socialists, in this week’s forecast by PollWatch 2014, a project developed by VoteWatch Europe in partnership with Burson-Marsteller and Europe Decides.

The shift will be a blow for the Socialists, who had begun to narrow a gap with the EPP that first opened up three weeks ago.

The Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE) Group have further consolidated their position as the likely third force in the next European Parliament. The Liberals are set to take 63 seats, according to the latest prediction, while the radical left have fallen under the 50-seat mark for the first time in a PollWatch 2014 prediction. The European United Left / Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL) Group is in fourth place on 49 seats.

Meanwhile, there is a three-way battle for fifth place among the current groups, according to the latest prediction. The Greens / European Free Alliance Group is on 41 seats, with the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) Group on 39 seats and the Europe of Freedom and Democracy (EFD) Group also on 39 seats.

Overall prediction – 7 May

Click the slices to see the group names, predicted number of MEPs and share of total representation in the Parliament

The ECR Group is forecast to win members from only six member states – one below the required threshold – but could well pick up new members from the Alternative for Germany (AfD) or Belgium’s New Flemish Alliance (N-VA). The latter is currently a member of the Greens/EFA Group, so a defection to the ECR could both secure the Conservative group and see it move ahead of the Greens.

As well as the ECR Group and EFD Group, a third group is set to emerge from among the 99 non-attached members, led by Marine Le Pen‘s National Front (France) and Geert WildersParty for Freedom (PVV) and also featuring parties from Austria, Belgium, Italy, Slovakia and Sweden.

Other parties classed as ‘non-attached’ are likely to join other groups in the Parliament – the result on 25 May is likely only to be the start of the story in terms of the Parliament’s composition and the choice of President of the European Commission.

Here’s our overview of the evolution of the PollWatch 2014 forecasts:

David O’Leary

For more information on PollWatch 2014, go to pollwatch2014.eu

For detailed results per country and methodology, go to pollwatch2014.eu

There is little change in the latest PollWatch 2014 predictions with the centre-right Group of the European People’s Party maintaining a narrow – and narrowing – lead over the centre-left Socialists & Democrats Group. 

The EPP is on 213 seats, just five ahead of the Socialists, in the latest forecast by PollWatch 2014, a project developed by VoteWatch Europe in partnership with Burson-Marsteller and Europe Decides.

With less than a month to go to the European Parliament elections, the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE) Group remain in third, the European United Left / Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL) Group in fourth, and the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) Group and the Greens / European Free Alliance Group are tied on 42 seats.

The Europe of Freedom and Democracy (EFD) Group is set to win 36 seats, and the latest forecast suggests that 97 MEPs will come from parties not currently affiliated to a group in the European Parliament.

It remains to be seen what – if any – impact the First European Presidential Debate will have on the scores.

Overall prediction – 30 April

Click the slices to see the group names, predicted number of MEPs and share of total representation in the Parliament

Here’s our overview of the evolution of the PollWatch 2014 forecasts:

David O’Leary

For more information on PollWatch 2014, go to pollwatch2014.eu

Read more in Europe Decides Weekly, 25 April 2014

Top stories: 19-25 April 2014

  • Van Rompuy comments unite Juncker and Schulz in criticism: The lead candidates for the centre-right and centre-left in the European elections, Jean-Claude Juncker (European People’s Party) and Martin Schulz (Party of European Socialists) have criticised the President of the European Council, Herman Van Rompuy, who stated that he was not a supporter of the lead candidates concept and that the member states will eventually choose the next Commission president. Juncker and Schulz stressed that the votes of EU citizens must be taken into account. A spokesperson for the current Commission President, José Manuel Barroso, described Van Rompuy’s remarks, made in an interview at the weekend with German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung, as “premature”. EurActiv; European Voice; Europolitics; New Europe; Süddeutsche Zeitung
  • Election forecast sees EPP stay in first place: The latest round of predictions from PollWatch 2014 on the European Parliament elections sees the centre-right EPP maintain a lead over the Socialists and Democrats. According to the polls, the EPP will win 217 seats, nine ahead of the S&D on 208. The gap between third-place ALDE and the radical left, in fourth place, has grown, while the Greens have picked up support and are now level with the Conservative group on 41 seats. Europe Decides; Pollwatch
  • Nigel Farage launches Ukip campaign amid criticism of ‘racist’ rhetoric: Nigel Farage’s UK Independence Party (Ukip) has launched its campaign with posters alleging that the 26 million unemployed people in the European Union could be seeking jobs in the UK. Critics said the campaign was xenophobic and even racist. Farage said the posters should highlight the fact that an influx of cheap foreign labour had driven down wages and increased youth unemployment. The Guardian; Reuters; New Europe; The Telegraph; The Independent

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For detailed results per country and methodology, go to pollwatch2014.eu

As the countdown to the European Parliament elections enters its final month, the centre-right Group of the European People’s Party maintains its lead over the centre-left Socialists & Democrats Group. 

The EPP is on 217 seats, nine ahead of the Socialists, in the latest forecast by PollWatch 2014, a project developed by VoteWatch Europe in partnership with Burson-Marsteller and Europe Decides.

EPP parties in Finland, France and Poland have seen their support dip a little while support for the centre-left has remained generally stable.

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