Archive for February, 2014

Read more in Europe Decides Weekly, 28 February 2014

Top stories: 22-28 February 2014

  • Renzi wins final confidence vote, pledging reform: Italy’s youngest-ever Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi, has won a vote of confidence in the Italian Parliament. The vote gives Renzi’s coalition government – made up of his Democratic Party (PD), the New Centre Right party, as well as centrists and other smaller groups – a mandate ‘to slash red tape and revolutionise the economy.’ EurActiv; EurActiv; European Voice; Reuters; European Voice; Europolitics; The Guardian
  • Šefčovič to be Slovakia’s next commissioner: The European Commission Vice-President for Institutional Relations and Administration, Maroš Šefčovič, has been named as both the lead candidate for the Slovakian Social Democrats (Smer-SD) and the Slovakian government’s preferred nominee to the European Commission. Prime Minister Robert Fico presented the former diplomat’s candidacy for the EP as an example of ‘a new political culture’ aimed at increasing the democratic legitimacy of EU officials. EurActiv; Europolitics; European Voice; European Voice; Reuters; EUObserver; The Slovak Spectator
  • Juncker in race to be EPP candidate for Commission presidency: The former prime minister of Luxembourg, Jean-Claude Juncker, formally presented his candidacy for the Commission presidency. He has backing from his own party as well as the German CDU and Greece’s New Democracy. Juncker joins the European People’s Party race with the former Latvian PM Valdis Dombrovskis. The EPP makes its choice on 7 March.EPP news; New Europe; European Voice; Europolitics; Wall Street Journal; Irish Times

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European Commission Vice President Maroš Šefčovič has been named as the lead candidate for the Slovakian Social Democrats (Smer-SD) for the European Parliament elections and the Slovakian government’s proposed nominee to the European Commission.

Šefčovič, a former diplomat who joined the Commission in 2009, is currently responsible for inter-institutional relations and administrative matters. He is one of the first commissioners to get such a strong signal of a likely return to Brussels (Neven Mimica, the Commissioner for Consumer Protection, is highly likely to be re-nominated by the Croatian government).

Meanwhile, the European Greens adopted their election manifesto at a meeting in Brussels attended by candidates from across Europe. The meeting was addressed by the party’s two lead candidates for the European elections, Ska Keller and José Bové.

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Read more in Europe Decides Weekly, 21 February 2014

Top stories: 16-21 February 2014

  • Kallas and Ansip to swap jobs? The Vice-President of the European Commission responsible for Transport, Siim Kallas, has said that he may stand to be Prime Minister of Estonia. With national elections due in March 2015, Kallas could leave as early as Spring 2014, before the end of his mandate. The current PM, Andrus Ansip, is one of the contenders to be Estonia’s next nominee to the Commission. European Voice
  • Renzi close to forming a new government: Italy’s Prime Minister-designate, Matteo Renzi, is expected to form a government and put it to a vote of confidence in the Italian parliament by Monday (24 February). Renzi is set to become the third consecutive ‘ unelected Italian PM, in what is now becoming known as the Italian political relay (‘la staffetta’). European Voice; Reuters; Bloomberg; New York Times; The Guardian
  • Socialists set to be biggest group, says poll: A study launched this week says that the Socialists will form the biggest group in a European Parliament that will be more divided and polarized than ever. The PollWatch study, developed by VoteWatch Europe in partnership with Burson-Marsteller and Europe Decides, forecasts that anti-European parties will win almost a third of the seats in the next Parliament. Further studies will be published by PollWatch in the coming weeks. The Wall Street Journal blog; Europolitics; EurActiv; Reuters; European Voice

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Note: figures updated from original article due to corrections in French calculations

Go to pollwatch2014.eu Download a PDF of data from the study
The centre-left Socialists & Democrats Group is set to be the biggest political formation in the next European Parliament according to the first PollWatch 2014 predictions.

PollWatch 2014 – a project developed by VoteWatch Europe in partnership with Burson-Marsteller and Europe Decides – predicts that the Socialists will win 217 seats in the new parliament, a gain of 23 seats on its present numbers.

The centre-right Group of the European People’s Party – currently the biggest in the Parliament with 274 seats – would lose about a quarter of its current representation, dropping to 200 seats.

The prediction of a Socialist win will be music to the ears of Martin Schulz, the Party of European Socialists’ candidate for the presidency of the European Commission. However, the gap is still quite a narrow one. The European Council is obliged to “take into account” the results of the elections when nominating a President, so there is still much to play for. Either of these two main groups could still come out on top.

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carlo nidasio flickrThe Mayor of Florence, Matteo Renzi (pictured right), has been asked by the President of Italy, Giorgio Napolitano, to form a new government.

Renzi, the leader of the centre-left Democratic Party (PD) is set to replace Enrico Letta, who has been PM since April 2013. Letta’s government replaced Mario Monti‘s technocratic administration following elections held last February.

Letta’s left-right grand coalition had become increasingly fragile during his ten months in charge. Frustrated at the pace of economic and political reform, Renzi – who took the PD leadership in December 2013 – called a meeting of the party’s national committee, which backed his call for a change of government.

Splits in the centre-right and criticism from Renzi helped to destabilise Letta’s government. Last week Letta presented a package of reforms called ‘Impegno Italia’ (Italy’s commitment) focused on tax cuts, a review of public spending and increased investment. This package of reforms was criticised by Renzi, not least because it seemed to copy his own ideas, set out in his ‘Jobs Act’ programme.

After days of tension, Letta handed his resignation to the Italian President on Friday 14 February, less than 24 hours after the PD leadership withdrew its backing. After consultations with party leaders, President Napolitano asked Renzi on Monday 17 February to form an administration by the end of this week.

Renzi has accepted (with the usual reservation of a new PM-designate) and will probably appoint ministers by next Monday. Official consultations will start on Tuesday. As for Letta, he is now being tipped as a possible candidate for one of the top jobs in Brussels in 2014.

The political situation is complicated and not all political parties have decided whether to support Renzi. The Five Star Movement (M5S), led by Beppe Grillo, did not even participate in the consultations.

Renzi recently met Silvio Berlusconi, the former prime minister and current leader of the centre-right Forza Italia party, to discuss a new electoral law. Renzi argued last week that new elections would be pointless under the current law, which makes it hard to build strong coalitions; however, opinion polls suggest that most Italians – like several political leaders – did not want this change without a popular vote.

The only thing that is certain is that Renzi – who, at 39 years old, will become Italy’s youngest-ever PM – will have to overcome the economic crisis, which is one of the biggest challenges for Italy. He will also have to create more job opportunities and reform the political system, including a reduction in the size of the Italian Parliament.

The test of his promises will come soon.

Irma Cordella – Burson-Marsteller Italy, Rome

For more information on Burson-Marsteller Italy, go to burson-marsteller.it

 

6503846831_2f511beb1a_oFor some countries, nominees to the European Commission often emerge as a result of national problem-solving exercises – focusing on who needs to be removed from the national political arena without their pride being damaged, who needs to be compensated for poor treatment in the past, or whose departure causes the fewest ripples.

This hardly looks like being the case for Finland and Estonia in 2014. Both countries are set to send top-level politicians to serve in the Commission – and possibly even their prime ministers.

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Germany’s The Left (Linke) party has confirmed Gabriele Zimmer as the leader of its candidates list for the European Parliament election.

Zimmer, who heads the European United Left / Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL) Group in the European Parliament, will hope that her party, which met in Hamburg at the weekend, can fulfil the promise of the opinion polls, which predict that The Left will finish third with ten per cent of the vote.

Thomas Händel MEP displaced ex-MEP Tobias Pflüger from second place, and the party executive’s list was heavily amended in a vote by the party membership, who backed many of The Left’s current MEPs.

Another GUE/NGL Group member, Portugal’s Left Bloc (BE), selected current MEP Marisa Matias as its lead candidate.

Click to see our country-by-country guide to European Parliament election candidates

In Latvia, Valdis Dombrovskis, the country’s former prime minister, was formally nominated by his Unity party as a contender to be the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP) candidate for the presidency of the European Commission.

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