Ida strengthens, could be a hurricane for the Yucatan

Quoting kmanhurricaneman:
IDA is gonna stall and the front will push her back, not sure where JMO

Quoting stormy2008:
"THE GFS...ECMWF...AND CANADIAN MODELS
FORECAST A LARGE BAROCLINIC LOW OFF THE U. S. EAST COAST. IT IS
NOT CLEAR WHETHER THIS IS THE REMAINS OF IDA OR A SECOND LOW THAT
ABSORBS IDA. AT THIS TIME...THE FORECAST USES THE SCENARIO THAT
THIS IS A SECOND LOW THAT ABSORBS THE REMAINS OF IDA."

This may be an interesting thing to watch as well.

Quoting portcharlotte:


No Movement?

Quoting portcharlotte:
It might be temporary but I see a slow down with IDA in the last hour.

Quoting TampaSpin:


LOOKS Like twins....the collision of these to lows with the cold front and the pressure gradient created by the high that will be East of this all is in my opinion being completely underplayed.......i hope i'm wrong.

Quoting DestinJeff:
I picked a bad time to get H1N1 ... this sucks. last time we had to evacuate (Dennis), my son had Rotavirus.

Quoting bingcrosby:
I think what will be incredibly interesting will be the pressure gradient from the high to the north and the low to the south. Especially when it starts to go extra-tropical. Don't be surprised to see some very high winds across a good portion of the southeast. Maybe 20-25 mph with gusts over 40mph.

Quoting txag91met:
I am not as convinced of this rapid transition to extratropical. ECMWF suggests a band o higher thickness around Ida extending around the eye through landfall, this system may stay intact longer than anyone thinks regardless of the cooler water temperatures. We will see.

Quoting Weather456:
What some don't understand the hurricane watch may not necessarily mean landfall, hurricane conditions possible and because the nature and set up this system, the effects may occur ahead of the system.

We already forget the pressure gradient and moisture fetch.

Quoting Weather456:
Also Ida may make landfall as a category 1 non-tropical low. It does not really make a difference.

Quoting JamesSA:
Can I ask a slightly dumb question? What is preventing Ida from being drawn more west by the low pressure of the storm in the BOC and Western GOM?

Quoting mossyhead:
Hopefully it will not as bad it could be. But being on the north side of the county like we are, our power should not be off for long. My wife and i sleep with the heat off unless it is freezing or below, but we like to turn the heat on for our showers.

Quoting TampaSpin:


LOOKS Like twins....the collision of these to lows with the cold front and the pressure gradient created by the high that will be East of this all is in my opinion being completely underplayed.......i hope i'm wrong.

Quoting Weather456:


extratropical storm with hurricane force winds.

Quoting charlottefl:
Think the pressure gradient is going to be a big deal for the entire gulf coast. I mean hey I'm in the southern part of SWFL and the wind has been howling all week. That will only increase as that gradient gets tighter.

Quoting IKE:


See post 2848.

Quoting Autistic2:
Exactley what is an EXtra tropical Hurricane? Sounds like catch 22 to me.

Quoting Autistic2:
Exactley what is an EXtra tropical Hurricane? Sounds like catch 22 to me.

Quoting Drakoen:


That is possible as shown by the UKMET model. Every thing comes down to speed. The DLM shows higher pressure to the southeast of Ida with Ida in the northern periphery of the anitcyclone. The flow in the central GOM is northerly with the incoming trough and the flow over Florida is easterly with the trough in the east and the flow around the periphery of the anticyclone. So it is possible that the system could recurve a bit earlier than the NHC is forecasted. The NHC's cone extends all the way down the south Florida reflecting such a possibility.

Quoting portcharlotte:


Glad someone called this out..I agree...As Drak said that trough is already in the west Gulf. IDA could easily slow and turn more eastward.. The Watch was too early ...There will be changes. A watch like this leaves Florida thinking they are in the cleat. Very untrue!

Quoting TampaSpin:
emGotta love the many downcasters that keep saying IDA would get ripped in the GOM by Shear.....guess what that is not going to happen until she reaches the very northern part....click to loop...

Quoting scottsvb:
3 things that will never happen!

1. Hurricane hitting Tampa

2. Hurricane hitting Jacksonville

3. Cleveland sports team winning a Championship!

Quoting icepilot:

Is there a new storm center track farther north? It looked to me to skirt just south of the panhandle although the precip forcasts showed a NE track of heavy rains starting at the Mobile area