Thos Jefferson                11 - 5

                                  Region = VA    Conc               
 Nickname = Colonials             Coach  = Joe Bissette                       
 


 
 

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)   Top Score     qwf
                                                          250
 404 H Edison VA              VA    Natl    ( 9- 6, 86.6)     12- 2        
 408 A St Albans              DC    IAC     (12- 8, 94.2)  91  3-15        
 412 A Robinson               VA    Patr    (16- 2, 96.0)  51  5-11        
 416 A Herndon                VA    Conc    ( 2-10, 85.8)     14- 3        
 418 H Centreville            VA    Conc    ( 2-10, 85.1)     17- 2        
 426 A Westfield VA           VA    Conc    ( 9- 5, 91.0) 229  8- 7  o 0.09
 430 H Chantilly              VA    Conc    ( 5- 9, 87.0)     16-11        
 506 H Oakton                 VA    Conc    (13- 2, 95.4)  64  5-15        
 507 A St Stephen's/Agnes     DC    IAC     ( 8-11, 92.0) 169 11- 6    0.33
 510 A South Lakes            VA    Conc    ( 4- 8, 82.7)     17- 1        
 514 H South Lakes            VA    Conc    ( 4- 8, 82.7)     18- 0        
 516 H Westfield VA           VA    Conc    ( 9- 5, 91.0) 229  9- 8    0.09
 520 A Oakton                 VA    Conc    (13- 2, 95.4)  64 13-16        
 522 H Langley                VA    Lib     (10- 4, 91.8) 192 12- 7    0.24
 529 H West Springfield       VA    Patr    ( 9- 6, 89.9)     14-10        
 531 N Robinson               VA    Patr    (16- 2, 96.0)  51  7-12        
                                                   -----               ----- 
                                                    90.2               0.74

    


 The Power Rating for computing the Goal Differential for Real vs Predicted 
 and +/- is the "Reg In" value and not the "Norm PR" shown 
 on the Computer Rating page

 Date  Opponent               Score     Goal Diff +/-   Home  Err-L  Err-E
                                        Real Pred       Adv                   
 404 H Edison VA              12- 2      10    12 -    -1.77  -2.16       
 408 A St Albans               3-15     -12    -7       1.32         -5.03
 412 A Robinson                5-11      -6    -5       1.77  -0.95       
 416 A Herndon                14- 3      11     6 ++    1.77   4.66       
 418 H Centreville            17- 2      15    12 +    -1.77   3.36       
 426 A Westfield VA            8- 7  o    1    -1       1.77   1.63       
 430 H Chantilly              16-11       5     8 -    -1.77  -2.83       
 506 H Oakton                  5-15     -10    -3 ---  -1.77  -6.58       
 507 A St Stephen's/Agnes     11- 6       5    -1       1.32          6.35
 510 A South Lakes            17- 1      16    15       1.77   1.03       
 514 H South Lakes            18- 0      18    19      -1.77  -0.52       
 516 H Westfield VA            9- 8       1     3      -1.77  -1.92       
 520 A Oakton                 13-16      -3    -7 +     1.77   3.97       
 522 H Langley                12- 7       5     3 +    -1.77   2.08       
 529 H West Springfield       14-10       4     4      -1.77  -0.07       
 531 N Robinson                7-12      -5    -3       0.00  -1.73       
                                                             ------ ------
                                                               0.00   1.32



      Ten Goal Limit Correction 

 Date  Opponent               Score         Adj 
                                        Real Pred       Adv                   
 404 H Edison VA              12- 2        1.0790
 408 A St Albans               3-15        2.5160
 416 A Herndon                14- 3       -2.3321
 418 H Centreville            17- 2       -1.6813
 506 H Oakton                  5-15        3.2895
 510 A South Lakes            17- 1       -0.5163
 514 H South Lakes            18- 0        0.2585
 
 Ten goal correct =   0.1633313    
 

    

 
 
    
 NATIONAL RATING

 Natl CCR Rating............ -115.   Natl CCR Rank..............   166
 Natl Poll Vote.............   n/a   Natl Poll Rank.............   n/a
 Natl Power Rating.......... 92.03   Natl Power Rank............   166
 Natl SOS Rating............ 77.69   Natl SOS Rank..............   372
 Natl Quality Win Rating....  0.74   Natl Quality Win Rank......   205
 Natl Loss Rating...........  5.00   Natl Loss Rank.............   498
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE

 Wins/Losses(all   )........ 11- 5   Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)........  1- 4   Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)........  4- 4   Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)........  8- 4   Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)........  2- 1   Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3