Recent Stories
Michael Barone: A vote for Kasich is a vote for Trump
03/23/16 05:51 PM
With the anti-Trump vote split, he could win the lion's share of its delegates.
Will heavily German-American Wisconsin reject Trump?
03/22/16 07:38 PM
Wisconsin is unfavorable territory for Trump, perhaps as unfavorable as the Dutch-American counties in Mich.
Primary turnout does have some significance for November
03/20/16 08:43 PM
Dem turnout is down, while Republican turnout is considerably more robust than it was in either 2008 or 2012.
Ethnic politics: Ted Cruz's Cuban-Dutch alliance
03/20/16 08:15 AM
Cruz has run extremely well in counties with large Dutch-American populations.
Donald Trump has won 37 percent. Hard to get to 270
03/19/16 08:44 PM
Trump's low favorability numbers make it hard to see him winning a majority in the general election.
A very few votes can make a big, big difference
03/17/16 04:51 PM
In this election cycle, we have seen time and again that a small number of votes have made a big difference.
Michael Barone: Only Ted Cruz can stop Donald Trump
03/17/16 07:56 AM
Republicans who want to stop Trump need to hold their noses, if necessary, and vote for Cruz.
Will the politics of nostalgia trump the politics of the future?
03/14/16 04:55 PM
Trump, Clinton and Sanders' proposed reforms show an eye to ideals of the past.
The Democratic race so far, in one simple chart
03/14/16 11:56 AM
Clinton is winning overall, but Sanders is beating her in the North.
World agrees with Trump: Immigrants take jobs, services
03/23/16 07:18 PM
DHS chief sad over deportations: 'Is it pleasant? Absolutely not.'
03/23/16 07:16 PM
Watchdog: DHS paid out millions to workers on paid leave
03/23/16 06:11 PM
We should stop naming people accused of sexual assault
03/24/16 01:00 AM
Feds bust U.S.-Mexico cross-border drug tunnel
03/24/16 12:58 AM
magazine
Presidential race comes to AIPAC at a precarious time for U.S-Israel relations
03/20/16 12:01 AM
The Republican race so far, in one simple chart
03/14/16 08:49 AM
Here's a simple chart to visualize what's been happening in the Republican primaries and caucuses.
Why did Michigan blacks vote differently from Southern blacks?
03/11/16 08:40 AM
Southern blacks tend to be more socially connected, especially through churches, than Northern blacks.
Trump tries being more 'presidential'
03/11/16 12:13 AM
Notably, Cruz, Rubio and Trump did not argue except that Trump is unfit for the presidency.
The dispiriting race for the Democratic nomination
03/10/16 09:52 AM
Hillary Clinton is not carrying non-Southern whites and is showing weakness among blacks.
Democrats dispirited, Republicans rent by excess of spirit
03/09/16 07:40 PM
Bad news for both parties in the primaries and caucuses in the seven days in March following Super Tuesday.
Even now, a Trump delegate majority isn't inevitable
03/09/16 01:42 PM
Trump's genuinely good showing March 8 does not guarantee him the 1,237 delegates needed for the nomination.
This won't be your grandfather's 'brokered convention'
03/07/16 05:13 PM
Don't expect an old-fashioned "brokered convention," with floor fights, demonstrations and shenanigans.
Will a Republican majority rally to defeat Donald Trump?
03/05/16 05:27 PM
A reversal of usual pattern when the front-runner in the first dozen contests attracts widespread support.
Byron & Barone: The Trump take-down
03/04/16 08:34 PM
Is Donald Trump performing triage after the perception of a poor debate performance?
Can Donald Trump be stopped? Maybe
03/02/16 05:51 PM
Trump's wins seems to leave many Republicans not eager to join his campaign but desperate to stop it.
Super Tuesday: It ain't over
03/02/16 03:40 PM
The final returns from most states are not quite in as I write, but here are some initial observations.
No, there's no reason to believe Trump could beat Clinton in New York
03/01/16 02:44 PM
It's theoretically possible, but very unlikely, for enough minds to change to transform the numbers.
Honey, they're shrinking the Democratic primary (continued)
02/28/16 07:20 PM
The shrinking Democratic primary numbers are not a sign of strength for the Democratic party or Clinton.
Byron & Barone: Trump and Rubio's battle royale
02/27/16 07:35 PM
The fight between Marco Rubio and Donald Trump is escalating rapidly.
Arizona, not Trump, shows Republicans the way on immigration
02/26/16 05:34 PM
Cruz's and Rubio's serious immigration policies could prove more effective than Trump's bombast.
Rubio, Cruz pummel Trump. But will it matter?
02/26/16 08:09 AM
Of all the exchanges, I think the most telling was where Rubio went mano a mano with Trump on healthcare.
Trump's rivals must make the case for themselves
02/25/16 08:25 AM
Each of the three challengers faces real challenges, including a home-state primary in the next three weeks.
Who's expanding the Republican electorate?
02/23/16 02:03 PM
It's increasing, primarily but not entirely by the addition of more evangelicals.
Honey, they're shrinking the Democratic primary
02/22/16 11:41 PM
Many commentators have noted that the Democrat primary and caucus electorate in the three contests held so far is much more liberal than its counterpart when the Democrats last had a contest eight years ago. That's true: The percentage of liberals among Democratic electorates has increased from 54 percent to 68 percent in the Iowa caucuses, from 57 percent to 68 percent in the New Hampshire...
February clarifies both parties' nomination races
02/22/16 08:07 AM
The shape, if not the results, of both parties' nomination races have been vividly clarified.
Turnout: Will the Republican surge and Democratic slump continue?
02/20/16 01:16 PM
In a country roughly evenly divided between two major parties, turnout can make the difference in November.
Byron and Barone: Cracking Trump's high ceiling
02/19/16 10:58 AM
Trump challengers are finding reason to be optimistic about cracking the businessman's high ceiling.
Is Cruz really winning? And is Hillary really sliding?
02/18/16 12:29 PM
Two interesting results stand out among this week's polls.
Who will win the electability vote?
02/17/16 05:31 PM
Increased concern about electability would help Rubio and hurt Trump, and could bolster Clinton.
There's precedent for rejecting Obama Supreme Court nominee
02/15/16 01:31 PM
Hearings are not mandatory and Obama's nominee need not get one.
Republicans launch sharp attacks in South Carolina debate
02/14/16 04:28 PM
Every candidate agreed that the Senate should not confirm an Obama nominee.
Scalia sacrificed a lot to serve his country
02/13/16 08:55 PM
Scalia will go down in history as a great justice, with a profound effect on the law.
Here's how Kasich, Rubio and Jeb are handling South Carolina
02/12/16 10:17 PM
They seem energetic and aggressive — but not inclined to launch a frontal attack on the front-runner.
Dems kowtow to Obama in Thursday night debate
02/12/16 10:52 AM
The exchange needs to be seen in the context of the upcoming South Carolina primary.
Byron & Barone: Starting from scratch in South Carolina
02/12/16 08:16 AM
South Carolina could hold some surprises, with little polling data to gauge the temperament of voters.
Why are N.H. Dems so much more pessimistic about the future?
02/11/16 12:50 PM
The Democratic Party's character as a coalition of the diverse aggrieved overshadows Obama's achievements.
New Hampshire's rebuke
02/11/16 08:10 AM
Each potential GOP challenger faces serious obstacles but has a rationale to keep on fighting.
Who won the Lamar Alexander prize in New Hampshire?
02/10/16 08:59 AM
The Lamar Alexander prize winner is Chris Christie, who ran 3.05 percent and 7,991 votes behind Rubio.
As Lempster and Manchester go, so goes ...
02/09/16 08:58 PM
Some early returns shed light on why Hillary Clinton is losing badly to Bernie Sanders.
Chris Christie unlikely to appear in next Republican debate
02/09/16 06:19 PM
Unless there's a big surprise tonight, we won't see another Christie-Rubio confrontation in the next debate.
Did Clinton actually get more votes than Sanders in Iowa?
02/09/16 06:13 PM
Did more Sanders voters showed up in college-dominated counties than Clinton voters in blue-collar counties.
