Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)   Tp Score      qwf  
                                                          10
 408 A Weston                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 6-10, 68.3)     5- 2     0.150
 410 H Amity Regional         CT 1  SCIAC   ( 9- 8, 86.9)    10- 9     0.325
 417 H Farmington             CT 2  NWCIAC  (11- 9, 80.0)  6 14- 3     0.200
 419 H Pomperaug-Southbury    CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 1-15, 58.7)    12- 0     0.000
 420 A Barlow-Redding         CT 1  SWCIAC  (16- 4, 94.2)     5-12     0.000
 424 A Newtown                CT 1  SWCIAC  ( 9-10, 88.2)     4- 5    -0.075
 429 A Immaculate Danbury     CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 2-11, 63.1)    15- 4     0.000
 504 H Brookfield             CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 8-10, 75.6)    11- 9     0.125
 506 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 78.8)  9 13- 9     0.150
 511 A Bethel                 CT 2  SWCIAC  ( 0-10, 58.4)    10- 2     0.000
 513 H New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 81.2)  4 15-19    -0.250
 514 A Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 7, 78.5) 10  9-10    -0.250
 518 H Housatonic Valley      CT 2  Indep   (11- 3, 80.3)  5  9- 8     0.250
 520 H Avon HS                CT 2  NWCIAC  ( 3-13, 64.5)    13- 1     0.000
 525 A Branford               CT 1  SCIAC   (15- 4, 93.2)     6-16     0.000
 527 A Masuk-Monroe           CT 2  SWCIAC  (13- 7, 78.5) 10 12-10     0.750
 603 N New Milford            CT 2  SWCIAC  (12- 7, 81.2)  4 12-10     0.775
 605 H Woodstock Academy      CT 2  ECIAC   ( 8- 8, 69.9)    12- 0     0.525
 608 A East Lyme              CT 2  ECIAC   (21- 1, 92.0)  1  5-14     0.500
                                                   -----               ----- 
                                                    85.1               3.175

   Pred Goals based on "Reg In" PR for regional & "Norm" Pr for inter-reg. games

   Date  Opponent               Score     Goal Diff +/-   Home  Err-L  Err-E
                                          Real Pred       Adv                   
   408 A Weston                  5- 2       3     4       1.07  -1.47       
   410 H Amity Regional         10- 9       1    -3 ++   -1.18          4.12
   417 H Farmington             14- 3      11     2 +++  -1.07   8.82       
   419 H Pomperaug-Southbury    12- 0      12    14 -    -1.07  -2.41       
   420 A Barlow-Redding          5-12      -7   -13 ++    1.18          5.81
   424 A Newtown                 4- 5      -1    -7 ++    1.18          5.84
   429 A Immaculate Danbury     15- 4      11    10       1.07   0.82       
   504 H Brookfield             11- 9       2     5 -    -1.07  -2.68       
   506 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   13- 9       4     4      -1.07   0.02       
   511 A Bethel                 10- 2       8    13 --    1.07  -4.60       
   513 H New Milford            15-19      -4     0 --   -1.07  -4.21       
   514 A Masuk-Monroe            9-10      -1     0       1.07  -1.04       
   518 H Housatonic Valley       9- 8       1     0      -1.07   1.33       
   520 H Avon HS                13- 1      12    10      -1.07   1.58       
   525 A Branford                6-16     -10   -12       1.18          1.83
   527 A Masuk-Monroe           12-10       2     0       1.07   1.96       
   603 N New Milford            12-10       2    -1 +     0.00   2.86       
   605 H Woodstock Academy      12- 0      12     9 +    -1.07   3.26       
   608 A East Lyme               5-14      -9    -5 --    1.07  -4.23       
                                                               ------ ------
                                                                 0.00  17.60



   Ten Goal Limit Correction 

   Date  Opponent               Score          Adj 
   417 H Farmington             14- 3         -1.00
   419 H Pomperaug-Southbury    12- 0          2.41
   429 A Immaculate Danbury     15- 4          0.00
   520 H Avon HS                13- 1          0.00
   525 A Branford                6-16         -1.83
   605 H Woodstock Academy      12- 0         -2.00
 
   Ten goal correction =  -0.1272105    
 
    
 NATIONAL RATING

 Natl CCR Rating............ -804.   Natl CCR Rank..............   855
 Natl Poll Vote.............   n/a   Natl Poll Rank.............   n/a
 Natl Power Rating.......... 82.56   Natl Power Rank............   855
 Natl SOS Rating............ 75.16   Natl SOS Rank..............   685
 Natl Quality Win Rating....  3.18   Natl Quality Win Rank......    99
 W-L Pct Rating.............  0.68   W-L Pct Rank...............   500
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE

 Wins/Losses(all   )........ 13- 6   Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)........  2- 2   Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)........  5- 3   Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)........  8- 3   Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)........  2- 1   Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
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