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RAND conducts a broad array of national security research for the U.S. Department of Defense and allied ministries of defense. Our federally funded research and development centers (FFRDCs) explore threat assessment, military acquisition, technology, recruitment and personnel management, counterinsurgency, intelligence, and readiness. RAND is a world leader in terrorism research. Studies address such topics as terrorism financing and strategies to undermine violent extremism.

Journal Article

Terrorism Cost the EU €180 Billion Between 2004 and 2016

Jun 6, 2018

Terrorism cost the EU about €180 billion in GDP between 2004 and 2016. Terrorist attacks can produce a range of psychological effects that may lead people and companies to change their economic behaviors. Such changes could be the reason behind the loss in GDP.
Report

The Korean Peninsula: Three Dangerous Scenarios

May 30, 2018

An analysis of three potential security challenges on the Korean Peninsula points to rising threats that will pose significant demands on the U.S. Army. The United States needs to think in new ways about how it should deter North Korea and prepare for a possible conflict on the peninsula.

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Report

F-35 Block Buy: An Assessment of Potential Savings

This report assesses potential cost savings available through use of a three-year block buy contract for procurement of F-35 aircraft during fiscal years 2018-2020 -- approximately $2.1 billion, or 4.9 percent of the cost of annual contracting.

Jul 18, 2018
Commentary

Small States Can Use Naval Mines and Unmanned Vehicles to Deter Maritime Aggression

Small coastal nations face potentially aggressive threats from larger, more powerful adversaries, with coastlines representing vulnerabilities that an adversary may seek to exploit. They can aim to hinder and deter potential aggressors using less-expensive systems like naval mines and unmanned vehicles.

Jul 16, 2018
Commentary

A Look at NATO Funding

European defense spending has been rising since 2014. NATO's two percent of GDP target for defense spending is a goal, not a commitment, and indeed a goal to be reached by 2024, not a standard allies have already failed to meet.

Jul 13, 2018
Commentary

Homeland Security Should Consider Filling Vacancies at the Top Before Tackling Department Reform

Vacancies in key management positions in the Department of Homeland Security will likely present a challenge to the implementation of Trump administration government reform and reorganization proposals. Naming permanent deputies could help the administration carry out its reform plans at DHS.

Jul 13, 2018
Journal Article

Journal Article

Intelligence in a Data-Driven Age

The Intelligence Community is nearing critical decisions on artificial intelligence and machine learning.

Jul 13, 2018
Commentary

Cooperation in the Arctic Likely to Continue—For Now

Risks for serious tensions in the Arctic during the 2020 decade are likely to be overstated. Key players in the Arctic appear likely to continue working together to enhance the economic potential of the region and resolve conflicts before they emerge, as opportunities in the Arctic continue to grow.

Jul 12, 2018
Report

Report

Resources Required to Meet the U.S. Army's Enlisted Recruiting Requirements Under Alternative Recruiting Goals, Conditions, and Eligibility Policies

The project sought to enhance efficient use of Army recruiting resources and policies by optimizing required resource levels and mix to support recruiting under varying recruiting requirements and environments and recruit eligibility policies.

Jul 12, 2018
Commentary

Russia's Wars and Trump

At the July 16 summit in Helsinki, President Trump might stress that the West will persist in imposing costs on Russia for current and any future malign interventions. At the same time, he could offer to work with Putin in the search for peace in Syria and Ukraine if Moscow were to decide to withdraw its forces.

Jul 11, 2018
Report

Report

Evaluating an Operator Physical Fitness Test Prototype for Tactical Air Control Party and Air Liaison Officers: A Preliminary Analysis of Test Implementation

This report provides a preliminary evaluation effort of the implementation of the physical tests and standards being adopted by the U.S. Air Force Tactical Air Control Party and Air Liaison Officer career fields.

Jul 11, 2018
Commentary

Time to Make a Deal on Syria

U.S. leverage is much diminished by the Assad regime's recent gains but there are still opportunities for Washington and Russia to achieve a settlement that preserves some U.S. interests. These include maintaining the gains made against the Islamic State and constraining Iranian influence in Syria.

Jul 10, 2018
Report

Improving U.S. Force Development

The U.S. armed forces are larger than needed to fight a single major war. But at the same time, the military is failing to keep pace with adversaries and is poorly postured to meet key challenges in Europe and East Asia. How can the Department of Defense respond?

Jul 9, 2018
Journal Article

Journal Article

Exploring Europe's Capability Requirements for 2035 and Beyond: Insights from the 2018 Update of the Long-Term Strand of the Capability Development Plan

In this report, RAND Europe describes and analyses the background and importance of the ongoing long-term revision of the Capability Development Plan - a strategic picture of European military capabilities regularly updated by the EDA.

Jul 6, 2018
Report

Report

Using the Person-Event Data Environment for Military Personnel Research in the Department of Defense: An Evaluation of Capability and Potential Uses

Researchers seek to determine whether RAND's federally funded research and development centers can effectively use the Person-Event Data Environment (PDE) to support manpower and personnel research and identify potential improvements to the PDE.

Jul 6, 2018
Report

Report

Prospective Outcome Assessment for Alternative Recruit Selection Policies

To help the Army select recruits more likely to complete their first term and avoid adverse outcomes, this report describes a tool that estimates how changes in a variety of recruit characteristics affect first-term outcomes and costs to the Army.

Jul 6, 2018
Commentary

Trump and Putin Should Start Small at Helsinki Summit

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will hold their first formal summit on July 16. Their agenda will likely include the main sources of strain in relations, but they might find it easier to make concrete progress if they start with lower-profile issues as Mikhail Gorbachev and Ronald Reagan did at their first summit.

Jul 2, 2018
Testimony

Testimony

The Challenges and the Benefits for U.S. National Security of Providing Foreign Assistance to Afghanistan: Addendum: Responses to Post-Hearing Questions for the Record

Document submitted June 28, 2018, as an addendum to testimony before the Senate Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Federal Spending Oversight and Emergency Management, on May 9, 2018.

Jun 29, 2018
Announcement

Announcement

Christine Wormuth Appointed Director of RAND International Security and Defense Policy Center

National security leader Christine Wormuth has been appointed director of the International Security and Defense Policy Center at the nonprofit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation.

Jun 27, 2018
Commentary

Success with North Korea Still Needs Japan

Japan has stakes in the outcome of regional diplomacy involving North Korea. It could play a role far beyond simply writing checks for an agreement, but has not held any bilateral meetings with the other actors. Diplomats hoping to fit their approach to the realities of the geopolitical situation could benefit from Japan's active involvement.

Jun 27, 2018
Report

Israeli-Turkish Ties Face Formidable Challenges

Israel and Turkey have mutual economic interests, such as trade, tourism, and energy. The two countries have usually been able to separate these interests from their political differences, but current relations remain contentious. They differ on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the future of Syria.

Jun 27, 2018
Research Brief

Research Brief

How resilience affects the transition experiences of UK Service leavers

RAND Europe was commissioned by the Forces in Mind Trust to research how resilience can affect transition experiences and outcomes for UK Service leavers.

Jun 27, 2018

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National Security and Terrorism

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