Population Estimates: Year One through 2050 A.D.

Ecology Global Network: Population Statistics

Population Estimates: Year One through 2050 A.D.

Population in millions
Year Lower Estimate Upper Estimate
1 AD 170 400
200 AD 190 256
400 AD 190 206
500 AD 190 206
600 AD 200 206
700 AD 207 210
800 AD 220 224
900 AD 226 240
1000 AD 254 345
1100 AD 301 320
1200 AD 360 450
1300 AD 360 432
1400 AD 350 374
1500 AD 425 540
1600 AD 545 579
1700 AD 600 679
1800 AD 813 1,125
1850 AD 1,128 1,402
1900 AD 1,550 1,762
Begin United Nations and U.S. Census Bureau, International Data
1910 AD 1,750
1920 AD 1,860
1930 AD 2,070
1940 AD 2,300
1950 AD 2,557
1960 AD 3,042
1970 AD 3,712
1980 AD 4,453
1990 AD 5,291
2000 AD 6,094
2010 AD 6,868
2020 AD 7,656
2030 AD 8,321
2040 AD 8,874
2050 AD 9,306
* 1910 marks the beginning of more accurate population census counts: United Nations and U.S. Census Bureau, International Data Source from Historical Estimates:
  • Biraben, Jean-Noel, 1980, An Essay Concerning Mankind’s Evolution, Population, Selected Papers, December, table 2.
  • Durand, John D., 1974, “Historical Estimates of World Population: An Evaluation,” University of Pennsylvania, Population Center, Analytical and Technical Reports, Number 10, table 2.
  • Haub, Carl, 1995, “How Many People Have Ever Lived on Earth?”, Population Today, February, p. 5.
  • McEvedy, Colin and Richard Jones, 1978, “Atlas of World Population History,” Facts on File, New York, pp. 342-351.
  • Thomlinson, Ralph, 1975, “Demographic Problems, Controversy Over Population Control,” Second Edition, Table 1.
  • United Nations (UN), 1973, The Determinants and Consequences of Population Trends, Population Studies, No. 50., p.10.
  • United Nations, 1999, The World at Six Billion, Table 1, “World Population From,” Year 0 to Stabilization, p. 5.
  • U.S. Census Bureau (USCB), 2011, Total Midyear Population for the World: 1950-2050.
 
 

9 Responses to Population Estimates: Year One through 2050 A.D.

  1. Hem 92 says:

    I am simply interested to know the population at hte year 1 AD and the basis of this projection. would you please be kind to narrate in simplest term.

  2. jess raa says:

    war time in order to control so many under so few

  3. Steven Earl Salmony says:

    If human population dynamics is essentially common to the population dynamics of other species and, consequently, if food supply is the independent not the dependent variable in the relationship between food and population, then a lot of what has been reported could be distractions that serve to dismiss rather than disclose vital but unwelcome science of what could somehow be real regarding the human population and, more importantly, why our behavior is so utterly destructive of everything we claim to be protecting and preserving. May I make a request? Could we focus now, here, on whether or not human exceptionalism applies to its population dynamics alone or is the dynamics of all species, including human beings, similar? Whatever your response, please make reference to scientific research that supports your point of view.
    It seems to me that if we keep engaging in and hotly pursuing worldwide overproduction, overconsumption and overpopulation activities, distinctly human activities that cannot be sustained much longer on a planet with size, composition and ecology of Earth, then the human species is a clear and present danger on our watch to future human well being, life as we know it, and environmental health. If we can see ourselves to be ‘the problem’, then it is incumbent upon us to bring forward the best available evidence from science, especially when that evidence happens to relate directly to why we are pursuing a soon to become, patently unsustainable (superhigh)way of life. A tip of the hat is due Rachel Carson for making me aware of the superhighway. Should humankind emerge from ‘the bottleneck’ E.O. Wilson imagines for us in the future and somehow escape the precipitation of our near-term extinction, how are those survivors to organize life sustainably and not repeat the mistakes we are making now… and have been making for a long time? Without knowledge of why we are doing what we are doing, every one of us is forever trapped in an eternal recurrence of unsustainable life cycles, I suppose.
    Sincerely yours,
    Steve Salmony
    PS: Rachel Carson’s quote,
    We stand now where two roads diverge. But unlike the roads in Robert Frost’s familiar poem, they are not equally fair. The road we have long been traveling is deceptively easy, a smooth superhighway on which we progress with great speed, but at its end lies disaster. The other fork of the road—the one “less traveled by”—offers our last, our only chance to reach a destination that assures the preservation of the earth.
    Rachel Carson (1907 – 1964)

  4. Anonymous says:

    In response to Dame Jane Goodall…

    Yes, hope is vital. But so is being intellectually honest and morally courageous enough to speak out loudly, clearly and often about what is real, according to the lights and science we possess. We cannot make a difference that makes a difference if we continue not to question the ubiquitously broadcasted delusions by the world leaders of my generation who are leading our youth down a ‘primrose path’ to surely precipitate the utter extirpation of global biodiversity, the irreversible degradation of Earth’s environs, the reckless dissipation of its limited resources and the destruction of life as we know it. The very thing our leaders claim to be protecting and preserving for children everywhere and coming generations.

    “The greatest danger to our planet is that we lose hope – especially if our youth loses hope. Because, if we have no hope, we give up and stop trying to do our bit to make a difference.” – Dr. Jane Goodall

  5. eden mccall says:

    what about the popular of 0 AD?

  6. A T says:

    The population trends are interesting! Especially the population increase in the 20 th century and projections into the 21 st century and 22 nd century! And the haves and have not like the lower, middle and upper classes!
    There has to be more equality on planet Earth! And better treatment of people, animals and plants everywhere too!

  7. Alex Tsukernik says:

    The population trends is a complex issue it is really linked to the food supply, the land issues and the problems linked to consumption, development and limited resources! Human beings must learn to share this planet with God’s creatures and not exploit any of them! The market system of capitalism places profit above people and believes in competition instead of cooperation! This is the wrong approach! Communism is also wrong; I believe that the only way to live in a sane world is through love, peace, justice and sharing and above all try to live in the practices of democratic socialism; in order that the masses of people get what they want; that is have their needs satisfied! The human population can be stabilized to save and be in equilibrium with the environment and the ecology of planet Earth and its precious life forms and ecology whatever it takes for the benefit of all mankind into the future!