Emerson Polls: CT, ME, NH- Two House Races In-Play; Potential Gubernatorial Upset
October 31, 2018
Three new Emerson polls find competitive House races in Maine and New Hampshire and a tight race in Connecticut for Governor. In Maine’s 2nd, Jared Golden (D) 47% is looking to upset incumbent Bruce Poliquin (R-inc) 46%, 4% undecided. If neither candidate reaches 50%, then a rank choice vote will be used to determine the winner. This is the first year Maine is using rank choice voting.
In New Hampshire's 1st district Chris Pappas (D) 48% is trying to hold the seat for the Democrats against Eddie Edwards (R) 46%, 5% undecided.
The unpopularity of CT. Gov. Dannel Malloy maybe hurting the Democratic nominee, Ned Lamont who is at 46% with his Republican opponent Bob Stefanowski at 39%. Malloy has a 21% favorable/ 62% unfavorable; President Trump has a 36% favorable rating in Connecticut.
Results Below
Connecticut US Senate
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=780, +/-3.7%
Chris Murphy (D-inc) 55%, Matthew Corey 35% (R) , 7% undecided
Connecticut Governor
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=780, +/-3.7%
Ned Lamont (D) 46%, Bob Stefanowski (R) 39%, 5% undecided
Name recognition
Lamont 41% favorable/ 39% unfavorable
Stefanowski 40% favorable/ 46% unfavorable
Dan Malloy 21% favorable/ 62% unfavorable
Donald Trump 36% favorable/ 58% unfavorable
53% support legalizing marijuana for recreational use and commercial sale for people 21 and older, with 30% oppose.
Maine US Senate
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=883, +/-3.5%
Angus King (I-inc) 50%, Erik Brakey (R) 37%, Zak Ringelstein 6%, 7% undecided
Maine Governor
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=883, +/-3.5%
Janet Mills (D) 50%, Shawn Moody (R) 42%, 4% undecided
Maine USC District 1
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=442, +/-4.9%
Chellie Pingree (D) 56%, Mark Holbrook (R) 31%, 6% undecid
Maine USC District 2
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=441, +/-4.9%
Jared Golden (D) 47%, Bruce Poliquin (R-inc) 46%, 4% undecided
Name Recognition
Trump 41% favorable/ 55% unfavorable
Mills 48% favorable/ 38% unfavorable
Moody 43% favorable/ 41% unfavorable
Hypothetical Ballot, US Sen. Susan Collins (R-inc) 44%, Susan Rice 20%
New Hampshire Governor
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=1,139, +/-3%
Chris Sununu (R-inc) 51%, Molly Kelly (D) 43%, 5% undecided
New Hampshire USC District 1
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=570, +/-4.3%
Chris Pappas (D) 48%, Eddie Edwards (R) 46%, 5% undecided
New Hampshire USC District 2
MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=569, +/-4.3%
Anne McLane Kuster (D) 52%, Steve Negron 40%, 7% undecided
Name Recognition
Sununu 60% favorable, 27% unfavorable
Kelly 39% favorable, 29% unfavorable
Trump 42% favorable, 51% unfavorable