Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 458
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and eastern Arkansas
Western and northern Mississippi
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...Brief tornadoes will remain possible within a broader
rainfall region to the east and northeast of tropical cyclone Laura.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
east and west of a line from 150 miles north northwest of Greenville
MS to 20 miles south of Greenwood MS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 454...WW 455...WW
456...WW 457...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean
storm motion vector 16050.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 458 TORNADO AR MS 272050Z - 280200Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
150NNW GLH/GREENVILLE MS/ - 20S GWO/GREENWOOD MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /48N LIT - 18SE SQS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 16050.
LAT...LON 35479111 33218922 33219094 35479289
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 458 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 458
VALID 280155Z - 280240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S GWO TO
15 E GWO TO 20 WNW UOX TO 10 S MEM TO 20 NNW MEM TO 20 SSE JBR TO
25 SSW JBR TO 10 E BVX TO 25 NW BVX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1603
..JEWELL..08/28/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 458
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-055-063-067-093-111-123-280240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS GREENE INDEPENDENCE
JACKSON MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
MSC013-015-033-043-051-071-093-097-107-137-143-161-280240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CARROLL DESOTO
GRENADA HOLMES LAFAYETTE
MARSHALL MONTGOMERY PANOLA
TATE TUNICA YALOBUSHA
$$
MOC069-155-280240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC097-157-167-280240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAUDERDALE SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 458
VALID 280015Z - 280140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW GWO
TO 15 W GWO TO 40 W UOX TO 45 WSW MEM TO 55 SE BVX TO 30 S BVX TO
35 N LIT TO 25 SE RUE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1601
..JEWELL..08/28/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 458
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC023-031-035-037-063-067-077-093-111-123-145-147-280140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEBURNE CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
LEE MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MSC015-033-043-051-083-097-107-119-135-137-143-161-163-280140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL DESOTO GRENADA
HOLMES LEFLORE MONTGOMERY
PANOLA QUITMAN TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TUNICA YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
TNC097-157-167-280140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAUDERDALE SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 458
VALID 272315Z - 280040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE GLH
TO 30 WSW GWO TO 45 NW GWO TO 60 N GLH TO 55 E LIT TO 25 ENE LIT
TO 15 N LIT TO 25 WNW LIT TO 15 N HOT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1601
..JEWELL..08/27/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 458
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC023-037-045-063-067-077-095-107-117-123-145-147-280040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEBURNE CROSS FAULKNER
INDEPENDENCE JACKSON LEE
MONROE PHILLIPS PRAIRIE
ST. FRANCIS WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MSC015-027-043-051-053-083-097-107-119-135-143-161-163-280040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL COAHOMA GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS LEFLORE
MONTGOMERY PANOLA QUITMAN
TALLAHATCHIE TUNICA YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 458
VALID 272130Z - 272240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE LLQ
TO 30 ESE PBF TO 15 NE PBF TO 20 SSE LIT TO 15 S LIT TO 25 SW LIT
TO 15 ESE HOT.
..JEWELL..08/27/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 458
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-023-037-041-045-063-067-069-077-085-095-107-117-119-123-
125-145-147-272240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLEBURNE CROSS
DESHA FAULKNER INDEPENDENCE
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEE
LONOKE MONROE PHILLIPS
PRAIRIE PULASKI ST. FRANCIS
SALINE WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MSC011-015-027-043-051-053-083-097-107-119-125-133-135-143-151-
161-163-272240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR CARROLL COAHOMA
GRENADA HOLMES HUMPHREYS
LEFLORE MONTGOMERY PANOLA
QUITMAN SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TUNICA WASHINGTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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