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BULLETIN
Hurricane Eta Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL292020
400 PM EST Tue Nov 03 2020
 
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE ETA MAKING LANDFALL JUST SOUTH OF
PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, AND FLASH
FLOODING OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 83.5W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Honduras has discontinued the Hurricane and
Tropical Storm Watches that were in effect for that country.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua border to
Sandy Bay Sirpi
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The northeastern coast of Honduras from Punta Patuca to the
Honduras/Nicaragua border
* The coast of Nicaragua from south of Sandy Bay Sirpi to Laguna
de Perlas.
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning.
 
Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Eta was located near 
along the coast of Nicaragua near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 
83.5 West. Eta is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h) A 
faster westward or west-northwestward motion is expected through 
early Thursday.  A turn toward the north, and then north-northeast 
is forecast Thursday night and Friday. On the forecast track, the 
center of Eta is expected to move inland over northern Nicaragua 
through Wednesday morning, and then move across the central portions 
of Honduras through Thursday morning.  The system is forecast to 
emerge over the northwestern Caribbean Sea Thursday night or Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Eta is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Rapid weakening should occur as the center 
moves inland tonight and Wednesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Eta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.
 
WIND:  Catastrophic wind damage is expected where Eta's eyewall
moves onshore within the Hurricane Warning area.  Tropical storm
conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area through
tonight.
 
RAINFALL:  Eta is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts
through Sunday morning:
 
Much of Nicaragua and Honduras: 15 to 25 inches (380 to 635 mm),
isolated amounts of 35 inches (890 mm).
 
Eastern Guatemala and Belize: 10 to 20 inches (255 to 510 mm),
isolated amounts of 25 inches (635 mm).
 
Portions of Panama and Costa Rica: 10 to 15 inches (255 to 380 mm),
isolated amounts of 25 inches (635 mm).
 
El Salvador and southeast Mexico: 5 to 10 inches (125 to 255 mm),
isolated amounts of 15 inches (380 mm)
 
Jamaica, Southern Haiti, the Cayman Islands: An additional 3 to 5
inches (75 to 125 mm), isolated storm totals of 15 inches (380 mm).
 
This rainfall will lead to catastrophic, life-threatening flash
flooding and river flooding, along with landslides in areas of
higher terrain of Central America.  Flash flooding and river
flooding will be possible across Jamaica, southeast Mexico, El
Salvador, southern Haiti, and the Cayman Islands.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 14 to 21 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore
winds along the coast of Nicaragua within the hurricane warning
area, and 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the coast of
Honduras within the tropical storm warning area.  Near the coast,
the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Eta are expected to affect portions of
the coast of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico
during the next few days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM EST.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM EST.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 
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