United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2022
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← 2020
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June 7, 2022 |
November 8, 2022 |
2022 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Mexico are scheduled on November 8, 2022. Voters will elect three candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's three U.S. House districts. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. The filing deadline was March 24, 2022.
Partisan breakdown
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New Mexico | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Republican | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Melanie Ann Stansbury (Incumbent) (Democratic Party)
- Michelle Garcia Holmes (Republican Party)
- Victoria Gonzales (Independent)
Did not make the ballot:
- Cameron Chick (Independent)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
Democratic primary candidates
- Melanie Ann Stansbury (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
District 2
General election candidates
- Yvette Herrell (Incumbent) (Republican Party)
- Gabriel Vasquez (Democratic Party)
- Eliseo Luna (Democratic Party) (Write-in)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. Democratic primary candidates
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. Republican primary candidates
- Yvette Herrell (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
District 3
General election candidates
- Teresa Leger Fernandez (Incumbent) (Democratic Party)
- Alexis Martinez Johnson (Republican Party)
Democratic primary candidates
- Teresa Leger Fernandez (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
- New Mexico's 1st Congressional District
- New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District
- New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District
Ballot access
For information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Mexico, click here.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District maps - A map of the state's districts before and after redistricting.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below are the district maps in place for this election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the maps in place before the election.
New Mexico Congressional Districts
before 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
New Mexico Congressional Districts
after 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in New Mexico.
| New Mexico U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2022 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2016 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in New Mexico in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 20, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eight candidates filed to run for New Mexico’s three U.S. House districts, including four Democrats and four Republicans. That’s 2.67 candidates per district, less than the 6.3 candidates per district in 2020 and the five in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. New Mexico was apportioned three districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The eight candidates who filed to run this year were the fewest candidates running for New Mexico's U.S. House seats since 2016, when seven candidates filed.
All three incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open seats. There were two contested primaries this year, the fewest since 2016, when there was one contested primary.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all three districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party. No incumbents faced primary challengers this year. The last year an incumbent was in a contested primary was 2014, when then-incumbent Rep. Ben Ray Lujan (D) and Robert Blanch ran in the 3rd Congressional District.
Presidential elections
As a result of redistricting following the 2020 census, many district boundaries changed. As a result, analysis of the presidential vote in each of these new districts is not yet available. Once that analysis is available, it will be published here.
New Mexico presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 12 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of New Mexico's congressional delegation as of October 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New Mexico, October 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Republican | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in New Mexico's top four state executive offices as of October 2022.
| State executive officials in New Mexico, October 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Michelle Lujan Grisham
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Howie Morales
|
| Secretary of State | Maggie Toulouse Oliver
|
| Attorney General | Hector Balderas
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State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the New Mexico State Legislature as of October 2022.
New Mexico State Senate
| Party | As of October 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 26 | |
| Republican Party | 15 | |
| Independent | 1 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 42 | |
New Mexico House of Representatives
| Party | As of October 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 45 | |
| Republican Party | 24 | |
| Independent | 1 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 70 | |
Trifecta control
As of October 2022, New Mexico was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
New Mexico Party Control: 1992-2022
Fifteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Redistricting following the 2020 census
Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) signed a new state House map into law on December 29, 2021, and a new state Senate map on January 6, 2022. These maps take effect for New Mexico's 2022 legislative elections. The state House approved the House map bill 43-23 on December 10, 2021, and the state Senate approved the bill 24-13 on December 16, 2021.[5] The state Senate approved the Senate map 25-13 on December 16, and the state House approved the map 38-22 on December 17.[6]
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ New Mexico State Legislature, "2021 2nd Special Session - HB 8," accessed January 3, 2022
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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