The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Freddy (Category 3) lies well to the southwest of Cocos Islands and continues to head to the west across the central Indian Ocean.
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: None.
Cancelled zones: None.
Intensity: category 3, sustained winds near the centre of 140 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 195 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 15.3 degrees South, 91.1 degrees East
, 710 kilometres west southwest of Cocos Island
.
Movement: west at 22 kilometres per hour
.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Freddy is well to the southwest of the Cocos Islands on its westward track across the central Indian Ocean. It is likely to move out of the Australian region (90E) in the next 6 to 12 hours during Tuesday evening.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Freddy poses no threat to any Australian communities.
Details:
Time (AWST) | Intensity Category | Latitude (decimal deg.) |
Longitude (decimal deg.) |
Estimated Position Accuracy (km) |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0hr | 2 pm February 14 | 3 | 15.3S | 91.1E | 30 |
+6hr | 8 pm February 14 | 3 | 15.4S | 90.0E | 60 |
+12hr | 2 am February 15 | 3 | 15.3S | 88.9E | 75 |
+18hr | 8 am February 15 | 3 | 15.2S | 87.6E | 85 |
+24hr | 2 pm February 15 | 3 | 15.0S | 86.4E | 95 |
+36hr | 2 am February 16 | 3 | 14.7S | 84.0E | 110 |
+48hr | 2 pm February 16 | 3 | 14.6S | 81.7E | 125 |
+60hr | 2 am February 17 | 3 | 14.6S | 79.3E | 150 |
+72hr | 2 pm February 17 | 4 | 14.8S | 77.2E | 160 |
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
There will be no further Forecast Track Maps issued by the Bureau of Meteorology for this system. Forecasts will now be issued by RSMC La Reunion.