Conversation

Over the next year, will quickly scale up and undertake a number of key initiatives to benefit the forecasting community, institutional decision-makers, and the broader public. Specifically, our plans include:
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⚡️Continuously improving our forecasting workflows to better leverage the talents of the best forecasters ⚡️Adding new modeling capabilities to the platform, enabling novel, policy-relevant tournaments
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⚡️Launching a slate of new forecasting projects in our 4 core focus areas: AI, biosecurity, climate change, and nuclear security ⚡️Strengthening collaborations with researchers and impact-focused organizations by simplifying access to forecasting data, tools, projects, & APIs
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⚡️ Building a world-class team dedicated to forecasting AI timelines and impacts, including hybrid ML engineering and forecasting roles
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To meet these goals, we’ll be hiring across multiple functions, including engineering, research and data science, forecasting programs and operations, community management, administration, and more.
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This funding will allow to scale as an organization as we pursue our mission to build epistemic infrastructure that enables the global community to model, understand, predict, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges.
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We’re grateful for 's recognition of our work under their #Longtermism program, which focuses on work that raises the probability of a very long-lasting, positive future. We truly appreciate their support as we work to make our ambitious vision a reality!
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