Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

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This article provides a collection of state-wide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the United States presidential election, 2008.

Contents

[edit] Opinion polling

For an archive of older polls, please see Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008/Archive.

[edit] Flag of AlabamaAlabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Survey USA October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 61%
25
Capital Survey Research Center October 15-21 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 54%
20
Survey USA October 8-9 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 62%
27
Capital Research Center October 6-7,2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 54.5%
19.5
Rasmussen Reports September 22, 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 60%
21
Survey USA September 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 64%
30
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 58%
22
University of South Alabama/
Press-Register
September 8-15 2008 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 52%
27
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association
September 3-9 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 55%
20
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association
July 29-August 4, 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 47%
13
Rasmussen Reports July 31, 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58%
20

[edit] Flag of AlaskaAlaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Hays Research ** November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58%
19
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 57%
16
Ivan Moore Research October 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53%
11
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
October 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57%
19
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 55%
15
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
18
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
September 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 55%
17
American Research Group September 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55%
16
Rasmussen Reports September 9, 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 64%
31
American Viewpoint ** September 2, 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 57%
24
Ivan Moore Research August 30-
September 2, 2008
Barack Obama 34.9% John McCain 53.5%
18.6
Hays Research Group ** August 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 40%
5
Rasmussen Reports July 30, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 48%
6
Ivan Moore Research July 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
3
Rasmussen Reports July 17, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
5
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
July 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 51%
10

[edit] Flag of ArizonaArizona

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
American Research Group October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50%
4
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
NBC News/Mason Dixon October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 53%
7
Northern Arizona University/
University of Washington
October 18-27 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 49%
8
Rasmussen Reports October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51%
5
Arizona State University/
Cronkite/Eight
October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%
2
Myers Research/Grove Insight/
Project New West
**
October 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 44%
4
Zimmerman & Associates/
Marketing Intelligence
**
October 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 41.5% John McCain 43.5%
2
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 59%
21
Arizona State University/
Cronkite/Eight
September 25-28 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 45%
7
American Research Group September 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 56%
17
Walter Cronkite School/
Channel 8 (KAET)
August 20, 2008 Barack Obama 30% John McCain 40%
10
Mason-Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 47%
6
Public Policy Polling(PPP) July 30-31,2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 52%
12
Rasmussen Reports July 30, 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57%
19

[edit] Flag of ArkansasArkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
American Research Group October 28-31 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 51%
7
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 54%
10
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52%
11
University of Arkansas October 1-21 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 51%
15
Rasmussen Reports September 22, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51%
9
American Research Group September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53%
12
Rasmussen Reports July 17, 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%
13

[edit] Flag of CaliforniaCalifornia

55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Survey USA October 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 36%
24
Field Poll October 18-28 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 33%
22
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2008 Barack Obama 61% John McCain 34%
27
Public Policy Institute of California October 12-19,2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 33%
23
Survey USA October 15-16,2008 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 35%
24
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40%
16
Survey USA October 4-5,2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
16
Survey USA September 23-24,2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
10
Rasmussen Reports September 22, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39%
17
American Research Group September 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
14
Public Policy Institute of California September 9-16 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40%
10
Field Research Corporation September 5-14 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 36%
16
Rasmussen Reports August 21, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41%
13
Public Policy Institute of California August 12-19 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
9
Rasmussen Reports July 24, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Public Policy Institute of California July 8-22 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 35%
15
Field Research Corporation July 8-14 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 30%
24
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 32%
20
Rasmussen Reports June 23, 2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 30%
28

[edit] Flag of ColoradoColorado

9 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Others  %
Rasmussen/Fox News November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
 
American Research Group October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
7
Public Policy Polling October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44%
10
Denver Post/Mason-Dixon October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Marist College October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45%
8
Allstate/National Journal/FD October 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
4
Politico/InsiderAdvantage October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45%
8
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
9
Rocky Mountain News/
CBS4 News/
Public Opinion Strategies
October 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40%
12
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 20, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
5
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 48.2% John McCain 47.9%
0.3
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 19, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
5
Rasmussen Reports October 16, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
7
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Suffolk University October 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
1
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
October 8-12 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
9
Public Policy Polling October 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
Rasmussen Reports
Fox News
October 5, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
Mason Dixon/Denver Post September 29-
October 1, 2008
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44%
0
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
September 28, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
1
American Research Group September 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
Insider Advantage/
Poll Position
September 23, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
9
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
CNN/Time Magazine September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
Ciruli Associates/
Economic Development
Council of Colorado
September 19-23 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
1
Public Policy Polling September 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
September 14-21 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
Insider Advantage/
Poll Position
September 17, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
1
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
2
American Research Group September 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%
2
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 45.5% John McCain 47.5%
2
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
Public Policy Polling September 9, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
1
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 7, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
Tarrance Group ** September 2-3 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
1
Hill Research Consultants ** August 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 40%
3
Suffolk University August 21-24 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 39%
5
Quinnipiac University August 15-21 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
1
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 38% Bob Barr 8%
6
Ralph Nader 2%
Other 8%
Mason Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%
3
 
Rasmussen Reports August 13, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49%
1
Rocky Mtn News/CBS4 August 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 44% Bob Barr 3%
3
Ralph Nader 2%
Other 2%
Public Policy Polling August 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
4
 
FrederickPolls July 16-22 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 41%
4
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
July 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%
2
Other 3%
Rasmussen Reports July 21, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
 
Public Policy Polling July 9-10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 38% Bob Barr 8%
2
Ralph Nader 2%
Other 4%

[edit] Flag of ConnecticutConnecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Hartford Courant/
University of Connecticut
October 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 31%
25
Rasmussen Reports October 14, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39%
17
Survey USA September 24-25 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38%
16
American Research Group September 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
15
Rasmussen Reports September 16, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
12
Rasmussen Reports July 31, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 36%
15
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
June 30-July 2, 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 35%
22
Rasmussen Reports July 1, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 35%
17

[edit] Flag of DelawareDelaware

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Survey USA October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 63% John McCain 33%
30
Rasmussen Reports October 10, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 41%
15
West Chester University October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%
17
Survey USA September 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 37%
20
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 36%
20
American Research Group September 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
11
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 43%
12

[edit] Flag of Washington, D.C.District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
American Research Group September 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 82% John McCain 13%
69

[edit] Flag of FloridaFlorida

27 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
SurveyUSA October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
Reuters/Zogby October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 49.25% John McCain 48%
1.2
Datamar Inc. November 1-2 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48.2%
1.2
Rasmussen Reports November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 50%
1
Strategic Vision October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
2
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48%
2
Reuters/Zogby October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 47.5% John McCain 46.2%
1.3
Quinnipiac University October 27-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
American Research Group October 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
Datamar Inc. October 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 46.7% John McCain 46.7%
0
Mason-Dixon October 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Los Angeles Times/
Bloomberg
October 25-27 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
7
Allstate/National Journal/FD October 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
1
Suffolk University October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Datamar Inc. October 25-26 2008 Barack Obama 49.2% John McCain 44.4%
4.8
Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 47.2% John McCain 46.9%
0.3
Quinnipiac University October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43%
2
Politico/
InsiderAdvantage
October 22, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
Strategic Vision October 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
2
St. Petersburg Times/
Bay News 9/
Miami Herald
October 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
7
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
1
Quinnipiac University October 16-21 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 48.8% John McCain 45.2%
3.6
Rasmussen Reports/
October 19, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49%
1
Public Policy Polling October 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
SurveyUSA October 16, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
Research 2000
Times-Union
South Florida Sun Sentinel
October 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
5
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 13, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
4
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
Rasmussen Reports
Fox News
October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
5
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
Strategic Vision October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
8
Research 2000 October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 4-6 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 5, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
7
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Suffolk University/WSVN September 27-30 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%
4
Quinnipiac University September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
Rasmussen Reports/
September 28, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
Public Policy Polling September 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
SurveyUSA September 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
American Research Group September 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
1
Rasmussen Reports September 24, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
Strategic Vision September 20-22, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 21, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51%
5
NBC/Mason Dixon September 16-18, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Florida Times-Union/
South Florida Sun-Sentinel/
Research 2000
September 15-18 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
1
SurveyUSA September 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51%
6
American Research Group September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
0
Miami Herald/
St. Petersberg Times/
Schroth, Eldon & Associates/
The Polling Company
September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 14-16, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 11-15, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44%
0
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
5
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 41.8% John McCain 52.1%
10.3
Insider Advantage/
Poll Position
September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50%
8
Quinnipiac University September 5-9 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
7

[edit] Flag of Georgia (U.S. state)Georgia

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
Strategic Vision October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50%
4
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50%
2
SurveyUSA/
13WAMZ
October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 52%
7
Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 52%
5
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 52%
5
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 27, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 23, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
Mason-Dixon/NBC October 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
6
Rasmussen Reports October 22, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51%
5
Strategic Vision October 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51%
6
Democracy Corps/
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner
**
October 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%
2
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
6
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51%
6
SurveyUSA October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51%
8
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 9, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 54%
9
Strategic Vision October 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
7
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 29-
October 1, 2008
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
7
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
6
SurveyUSA September 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
8
American Research Group September 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 57%
18
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 54%
11
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 17, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51%
8
SurveyUSA September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 57%
16
Public Opinion Strategies September 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 56%
21
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 56%
18
Strategic Vision September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%
13
Rasmussen Reports August 14, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 53%
9
Rasmussen Reports July 17, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53%
11
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position/
Majority Opinion Research
July 2, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%
2

[edit] Flag of HawaiiHawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 Barack Obama 68% John McCain 27%
41
American Research Group September 7-12 2008 Barack Obama 63% John McCain 32%
31
Survey USA February 26-29 2008 Barack Obama 61% John McCain 31%
30

[edit] Flag of IdahoIdaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Harstead Strategic Research October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 55%
23
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 62%
29
American Research Group September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 68%
43
Rasmussen Reports September 9, 2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 68%
39
Greg Smith & Associates August 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 52%
23
Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 53%
16

[edit] Flag of IllinoisIllinois

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2008 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 38%
22
Research 2000 October 20-23 2008 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 35%
24
Big Ten Poll October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 61% John McCain 32%
29
Chicago Tribune October 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 32%
24
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39%
17
St Louis Post-Dispatch/
Research 2000
September 15-18 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 36%
20
Rasmussen Reports September 17, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40%
16
Big Ten Poll September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 37%
16
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
Rasmussen Reports August 12, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
15
Rasmussen Reports July 8, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
11

[edit] Flag of IndianaIndiana

11 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 45.1% John McCain 50.4%
5.3
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
1
Reuters/Zogby October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 43.9% John McCain 49.1%
5.2
American Research Group October 28-31 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
SurveyUSA/
Mike Downs Center
October 27-30 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
0
Rasmussen Reports October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/
Selzer & Co.
October 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 45.9% John McCain 45.3%
0.6
Research 2000/WISH-TV October 24-28 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
0
Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50.2%
6.2
Research 2000/
South Bend Tribune/
WSBT-TV
October 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
Howey/Gauge October 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
2
Survey USA October 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
Big Ten Poll October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 42.3% John McCain 52.8%
10.5
Public Policy Polling October 18-19 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
7
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51%
5
Research 2000/WISH-TV September 29-
October 3, 2008
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
0
Research 2000 September 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
1
Survey USA September 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
Rasmussen Reports September 17-18 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
American Research Group September 14-18 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
3
Big Ten Poll September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
4
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/
Selzer & Co.
September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51%
6
Howey/Gauge August 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 45%
2
Rasmussen Reports August 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
6
Survey USA August 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
6

[edit] Flag of IowaIowa

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Des Moines Register/
Selzer & Co.
October 28-31 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37%
17
SurveyUSA October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
15
Research 2000/
KCCI-TV
October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
14
Marist College October 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
8
Mason-Dixon/NBC October 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
11
Quad City Times/
Research 2000
October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
15
Big Ten Poll October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39%
13
SurveyUSA October 8-9 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41%
13
Research 2000/
KCCI-TV
September 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
16
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
Marist College September 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10
American Research Group September 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
SurveyUSA September 17-18, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%
11
Quad-City Times/
Lee Enterprises
September 15-17, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
14
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
0
Des Moines Register/
Selzer & Co.
September 8-10, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40%
12
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 31-
September 2, 2008
Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
15
Hawkeye Poll August 13, 2008 Barack Obama 49.5% John McCain 43.1%
6.4
Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Rasmussen Reports July 10, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10

[edit] Flag of KansasKansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
SurveyUSA October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 58%
21
SurveyUSA October 21-22, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53%
12
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 54%
13
SurveyUSA September 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53%
12
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58%
20
American Research Group September 7-10 2008 Barack Obama 31% John McCain 63%
32
SurveyUSA August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 58%
23
Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 55%
14
Rasmussen Reports July 14, 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 58%
23

[edit] Flag of KentuckyKentucky

8 electoral votes
Winner: John McCain
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Survey USA November 1, 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 56%
16
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51%
9
Louisville Courier-Journal/
Mason-Dixon
October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 55%
12
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 56%
17
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
8
Research 2000/
Lexington Herald-Leader/
WKYT-TV
October 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55%
16
Survey USA October 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 54%
13
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 15-16 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 53%
14
Rasmussen Reports September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 52%
10
Louisville Courier-Journal/
Mason-Dixon
September 22-25 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53%
8
Survey USA September 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57%
19
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
18
American Research Group September 8-12 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 57%
20
Survey USA August 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
18
Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 56%
21
Rasmussen Reports July 29, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52%
9

[edit] Flag of LouisianaLouisiana

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Loyola University/
WAFB 9News
October 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 43%
3
SE Louisiana University October 20-23 2008 Barack Obama 38.3% John McCain 50.6%
12.3
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 57%
16
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 55%
15
American Research Group September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
7
Rasmussen Reports August 17, 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 57%
18
Rasmussen Reports July 9, 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 56%
19

[edit] Flag of MaineMaine

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 43%
13
SurveyUSA October 19-20 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
15
Critical Insights October 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 35%
21
Pan Atlantic SMS October 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
12
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%
17
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
5
SurveyUSA September 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Rasmussen Reports September 17, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
American Research Group September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
14
Rasmussen Reports August 12, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
14
Rasmussen Reports July 17, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
8

[edit] Flag of MarylandMaryland

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2008 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 37%
23
American Research Group September 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
15
Gonzales Research &
Marketing Strategies
August 29-
September 5, 2008
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
14
Rasmussen Reports August 18, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
10

[edit] Flag of MassachusettsMassachusetts

12 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Survey USA October 28, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39%
17
Survey USA October 14, 2008 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 35%
24
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2008 Barack Obama 62% John McCain 34%
28
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 38%
20
Survey USA September 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
16
American Research Group September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
16
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38%
16
Suffolk University July 31-August 3, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%
9

[edit] Flag of MichiganMichigan

17 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Others  %
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV October 28-31 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 37%
16
 
Public Policy Polling October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42%
13
Strategic Vision October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41%
13
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
10
Detroit News/
EPIC-MRA
October 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38%
12
Big Ten Poll October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 36%
22
Detroit News/
EPIC-MRA
October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 37%
14
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
October 8-12 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38%
16
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40%
16
Rossman/Denno-Noor/
MIRS
October 1-4 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 39%
5
Other ~4%
Public Policy Polling September 29-
October 1, 2008
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10
 
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/
WDIV
September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
13
Strategic Vision September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
6
NBC/Mason-Dixon September 18-23 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
0
EPIC-MRA/
Detroit News
September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 38%
10
Allstate/National Journal/
FD
September 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
8
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
September 21, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
September 14-21,2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
4
American Research Group September 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
Marketing Resource Group
of Lansing
September 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 46%
3
Marist College September 16-17, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
9
EPIC-MRA/
Detroit News
September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42%
3
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
4
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43.3%
5.7
Rasmussen Reports September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
5
InsiderAdantagev/
Poll Position
September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
1
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Rsearch
September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42%
3
Public Policy Polling September 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
1
Strategic Vision September 5-7,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
1
EPIC-MRA/
Detroit News
August 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41%
2
Selzer/
Detroit Free Press/
WDIV
August 17-20 2008[1] Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%
7
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37% Bob Barr 5%
9
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 12%
Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
 
Public Policy Polling July 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%
3
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
July 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%
4
Detroit News/
EPIC-MRA
July 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41%
2
Rasmussen Reports July 10, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%
8

[edit] Flag of MinnesotaMinnesota

10 electoral votes chart
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
SurveyUSA October 30-November 1, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
Star Tribune/Princeton
Survey Research
Associates International
October 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42%
11
Public Policy Polling October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 41%
16
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
15
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 43%
12
NBC News/Mason Dixon October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40%
8
University of Minnesota/
Minnesota Public Radio News
October 24-28 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 37%
19
Rasmussen Reports October 22, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 41%
15
Big Ten Poll October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38%
19
St. Cloud State University October 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 37%
5
National Journal/FD October 16-20 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40%
10
SurveyUSA October 16-18, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
6
Star Tribune/Princeton
Survey Research
Associates International
October 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
11
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 15-16 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39%
13
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
October 8-12 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
11
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
7
American Research Group October 4-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
1
Minnesota Public Radio
News/Humphrey Institute
October 3-5 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 40%
14
Star Tribune/
Princeton Survey Research
Associates International
September 30-
October 2, 2008
Barack Obama 55% John McCain 37%
18
SurveyUSA September 30-
October 1, 2008
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
1
Minnesota Public Radio
News/Humphrey Institute
September 29-
October 1, 2008
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%
11
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
September 14-21 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
American Research Group September 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
8
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Star Tribune Minnesota/
Princeton Survey Research
Associates International
September 10-12 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
0
Survey USA September 10-11 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 31-
September 2, 2008
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
12
Minnesota Public Radio/
University of Minnesota
August 7-17 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 38%
10
Survey USA August 13-14 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Rasmussen Reports August 13, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
Rasmussen Reports July 22, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39%
13
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
July 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
2
Rasmussen Reports July 10, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37%
17

[edit] Flag of MississippiMississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53%
13
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 53%
8
Press-Register/
University of South Alabama
October 13-23 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 46%
13
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50%
10
Rasmussen Reports September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
8
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55%
16
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
18
Rasmussen Reports August 21, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 56%
13
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 54%
12
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
July 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51%
9

[edit] Flag of MissouriMissouri

See also: Opinion polling by state for the United States presidential election, 2008 (Missouri) for earlier results

11 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 48.8% John McCain 48.8%
0
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49%
0
Public Policy Polling October 31-November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 49.4% John McCain 48.6%
0.8
Reuters/Zogby October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 47.4% John McCain 45.7%
1.7
Survey USA October 30-November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
American Research Group October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
Politico/
Insider Advantage
October 29, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 50%
3
Mason-Dixon/NBC October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
1
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50%
2
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
Survey USA October 25-26 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 48.2% John McCain 45.7%
2.5
Mason-Dixon/NBC October 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
1
Research 2000/
Post-Dispatch
October 20-23 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48.3%
0.3
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 19, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Suffolk University October 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
1
Rasmussen Reports October 15, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46%
6
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49%
1
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
6
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
Public Policy Polling October 11-12 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
SurveyUSA October 10-12 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
American Research Group October 4-6 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 5, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
1
Survey USA September 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
2
St Louis Post-Dispatch/
Research 2000
September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
St Louis Post-Dispatch/
Research 2000
September 15-18 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
4
American Research Group September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%
5
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 42.4% John McCain 48.5%
6.1
Rasmussen Reports September 11, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51%
5
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
Public Policy Polling August 13-17 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50%
10
Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
6
Survey USA July 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
5
Research 2000/
St. Louis Post Dispatch
July 7-10 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
5
Rasmussen Reports July 7, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47%
5
Public Policy Polling July 2-5 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
3

[edit] Flag of MontanaMontana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Other  %
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
Ron Paul 4%
American Research Group October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
 
Rsearch 2000/Daily Kos October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50%
4
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
Montana State University October 16-20 2008 Barack Obama 44.4% John McCain 40.2%
4.2
Ron Paul 4.2%
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 15-16 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
4
 
American Research Group October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%
5
Rasmussen Reports October 1, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
8
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%
13
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 49%
9
Bob Barr 1%
Ralph Nader 1%
American Research Group September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
 
Rasmussen Reports September 8, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53%
11
Rasmussen Reports July 31, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
0

‡ Ron Paul replaced Chuck Baldwin on the ballot in Montana.

[edit] Flag of NebraskaNebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 56%
19
American Research Group September 12-17 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 60%
26
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 55%
19
Rasmussen Reports June 23, 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 52%
16

[edit] Flag of NevadaNevada

5 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Others  %
Reuters/Zogby October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 53.2% John McCain 42.4%
10.8
 
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Reuters/Zogby October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 50.7% John McCain 42.9%
7.8
Las Vegas Review-Journal/
Mason-Dixon
October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
Reno Gazette-Journal/
Channel 2
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45%
5
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
7
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
Suffolk University October 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40%
10
Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 48.2% John McCain 44%
4.2
Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40%
12
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
5
Politico/
InsiderAdvantage
October 20, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
0
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 51.5%
7.5
Rasmussen Reports October 16, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45%
5
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 13, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 47.5% John McCain 47.1%
0.4
Las Vegas Review-Journal/
Mason-Dixon
October 8-9 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
2
Reno Gazette-Journal/
Channel 2 News/
Research 2000
October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
7
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
1
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
American Research Group September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
Suffolk University September 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
1
Project New West/
Myers Research/
Grove Insight
**
September 14-19 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
American Research Group September 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 42.5% John McCain 50.1%
7.6
Rasmussen Reports September 11, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
1
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Research 2000/
Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN
August 18-20,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
1
Mason-Dixon/
Las Vegas Review Journal
August 13-15,2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 46%
7
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 38% Bob Barr 10%
1
Ralph Nader 3%
Other 10%
Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
 
Rasmussen Reports July 16, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2

[edit] Flag of New HampshireNew Hampshire

4 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Others  %
Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
 
SurveyUSA October 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42%
11
Univ. of New Hampshire/
WMUR
October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
14
American Research Group October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 41%
15
Concord Monitor/
Research 2000
October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Suffolk University October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
Strategic Vision October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
9
Univ. of New Hampshire/
WMUR
October 25-27 2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 33%
25
Univ. of New Hampshire/
WMUR
October 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
16
Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 37%
18
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 39%
11
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
Marist College October 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45%
5
University of New Hampshire/
Boston Globe
October 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
15
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 46.5% John McCain 46.2%
0.3
Concord Mintor/
Research 2000
October 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
7
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
5
American Research Group October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
9
CNN/Time Magazin/
Opinion Research
October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45%
8
Survey USA October 4-5, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
Rasmussen Reports October 1, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
10
St. Anselm/SRBI September 25-30 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 37%
12
Concord Monitor/
Research 2000
September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
4
Strategic Vision September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
1
Suffolk University September 20-24 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
1
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
1
Marist College September 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
University of New Hampshire September 14-21 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
2
American Research Group September 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
Others 1%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 42.8% John McCain 49.1%
6.3
 
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 9, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
5
Rasmussen Reports August 20, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
1
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 42% Bob Barr 11%
4
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 9%
American Research Group August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
1
 
Rasmussen Reports July 23, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
American Research Group July 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
University of New Hampshire July 11-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%
3

[edit] Flag of New JerseyNew Jersey

15 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 42%
15
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey
October 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 34%
21
SurveyUSA October 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Fairleigh Dickinson University October 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 35%
18
The Record/Research 2000 October 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38%
16
Strategic Vision October 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
15
Marist College October 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39%
17
Quinnipiac University October 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 36%
23
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey
October 15-18 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%
17
SurveyUSA October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
15
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%
8
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 29-
October 5, 2008
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 37%
13
SurveyUSA September 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Strategic Vision September 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
9
American Research Group September 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42%
9
Rasmussen Reports September 16, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42%
13
Strategic Vision September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey
September 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
8
Quinnipiac University September 10-14 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
The Record/
Research 2000
September 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
9
Marist College September 5-8 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 4-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 41%
6
Quinnipiac University August 4-10 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10
Rasmussen Reports August 4, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey
July 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 36%
14
Strategic Vision July 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%
9
Rasmussen Reports July 7, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%
3

[edit] Flag of New MexicoNew Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Others  %
SurveyUSA October 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
7
 
Albuquerque Journal/
Research & Polling
October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
Public Policy Polling October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 41%
17
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44%
10
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 46.1% John McCain 45.5%
0.6
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42%
13
SurveyUSA October 12-13 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
7
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
Albuquerque Journal/
Research & Polling
September 29-
October 2, 2008
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 40%
5
Ralph Nader 1%
Rasmussen Reports October 1, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
 
SurveyUSA September 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
8
Public Policy Polling September 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42%
11
SurveyUSA September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
8
American Research Group September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Allstate/National Journal/
FD
September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
7
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 45.6% John McCain 44.1%
1.5
Rasmussen Reports September 8, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
Rasmussen Reports August 20, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
4
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37% Bob Barr 5%
9
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 11%
Mason-Dixon August 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%
4
 
Rasmussen Reports July 24, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
6

[edit] Flag of New YorkNew York

31 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Survey USA October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 62% John McCain 33%
29
Marist College October 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 65% John McCain 29%
36
Siena College October 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 62% John McCain 31%
31
Rasmussen Reports October 14, 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 37%
20
Survey USA October 11-12 2008 Barack Obama 64% John McCain 31%
33
Survey USA September 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38%
19
American Research Group September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%
17
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42%
13
Siena College September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%
5
Siena College August 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
8
Rasmussen Reports August 4, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 36%
19
Quinnipiac University July 31-August 4, 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 36%
21
Siena College July 17-29 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 26%
18
Siena College July 7-10 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 37%
13

[edit] Flag of North CarolinaNorth Carolina

15 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
American Research Group October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
1
Reuters/Zogby October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 49.5% John McCain 49.1%
0.4
Rasmussen Reports November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 50%
1
Survey USA October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49%
1
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 49%
1
Reuters/Zogby October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 47.7% John McCain 49.3%
1.6
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48%
2
Politico/
Insider Advantage
October 29, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
Mason-Dixon/NBC October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
Civitas Institute/
TelOpinion
October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
1
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46%
6
Allstate/National Journal/FD October 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49%
1
Public Policy Polling October 25-26 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
1
Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 49.7% John McCain 46.4%
3.3
Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
0
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50%
2
WSOC-TV October 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 48.4% John McCain 46.4%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
InsiderAdvantage/
Politico
October 20, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
1
SurveyUSA/WTVD-TV October 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
0
Civitas Institute/
TelOpinion
October 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 49.6% John McCain 46.5%
3.1
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 19, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 48%
3
Public Policy Polling October 18-19 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Winthrop University/ETV September 28-
October 19, 2008
Barack Obama 44.6% John McCain 44.2%
0.4
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
2
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 13, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
Public Policy Polling October 11-12 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
1
Civitas/TelOpinion October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
5
WSOC-TV October 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47.8%
1.8
SurveyUSA October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49%
0
Public Policy Polling October 4-5, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
6
Rasmussen Reports September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
American Research Group September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
Public Policy Polling September 27-28, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
2
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
September 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
0
Public Policy Polling September 17-19, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
0
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 50%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 14-16, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52%
11
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 48.1% John McCain 46.6%
1.5
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 55%
17
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
September 6-10 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
3
Public Policy Polling September 9, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
SurveyUSA September 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58%
20
Garin Hart Yang September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
Democracy Corps/
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
August 20-26 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
3
Public Policy Polling August 23, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45%
3
InsiderAdvantage August 19, 2008 Barack Obama 42.8% John McCain 44.5%
1.7
Zogby International * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
8
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
August 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 46%
6
Rasmussen Reports August 13, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
6
Survey USA August 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
4
Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
4
Public Policy Polling July 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
3
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
July 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 43%
3
Rasmussen Reports July 15, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
Survey USA July 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%
5

[edit] Flag of North DakotaNorth Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
1
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
0
The Bismarck Tribune October 13-14 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 41%
3
Minnesota State University/
Fargo Forum
October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43%
2
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 16-17,2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53%
13
American Research Group September 15-17,2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52%
9
Rasmussen Reports September 8, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 55%
14
North Dakota United
Transportation Union/
DFM Research
**
August 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 40%
3
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
July 21-July 23, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45%
3
Rasmussen Reports July 8, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
1

[edit] Flag of OhioOhio

20 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Others  %
Reuters/Zogby October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 49.4% John McCain 47.4%
2
 
Rasmussen Reports November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49%
0
Strategic Vision October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
2
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48%
2
Reuters/Zogby October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 50.2% John McCain 43.9%
6.3
SurveyUSA October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
University of Cinncinati October 29-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 51.5% John McCain 45.7%
5.8
Quinnipiac University October 27-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
7
Columbus Dispatch October 22-31 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46%
6
Mason-Dixon October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
SurveyUSA October 26-27 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
Los Angeles Times/
Bloomberg
October 25-27 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
9
Allstate/National Journal/
FD
October 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 41%
7
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
Marist College October 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 49.7% John McCain 45.1%
4.6
Quinnipiac University October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42%
9
AP/GfK October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 41%
7
Public Policy Polling October 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Ohio University October 12-23 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 41%
16
Politico/
InsiderAdvantage
October 22, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Strategic Vision October 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
Big Ten Poll October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
12
University of Cincinnati/
Ohio News Organization
October 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
Quinnipiac University October 16-21 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
14
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 46.5% John McCain 49.3%
2.8
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 19, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
Suffolk University October 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42%
9
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
1
Rasmussen Reports October 14, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49%
0
SurveyUSA October 12-13 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45%
5
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
4
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
2
InsiderAdvantage/
PollPosition
October 9, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Strategic Vision October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
Marist College October 5-8 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
University of Cincinnati/
Ohio News Organization
October 4-8 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
2
American Research Group October 4-7 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 5, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
Public Policy Polling October 4-5 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
6
ABC News/
Washington Post
October 3-5 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
Columbus Dispatch September 24-
October 4, 2008
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
7
Democracy Corps/
Greenberg Quinlan
Rosner
**
September 29-/
October 1, 2008
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
6
Insider Advantage/
PollPosition
September 29, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
SurveyUSA September 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49%
1
Quinnipiac University September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%
8
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
September 28, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
1
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 22, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
0
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
September 21, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50%
4
Big Ten Poll September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
1
University of Cincinnati/
Ohio News Organization
September 12-16 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 48%
6
Marist College September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Allstate/National Journal/
FD
September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42%
1
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 13-14 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
2
Public Policy Polling September 13-14 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
SurveyUSA September 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
4
American Research Group September 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
6
Suffolk University September 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 46%
4
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 43.9% John McCain 49.8%
5.9
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
University of Cincinnati September 5-10 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
Other 5%
Strategic Version September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
4
 
Quinnipiac University September 5-9 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 7, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 51%
7
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 31-
September 2, 2008
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Quinnipiac University August 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
1
The Columbus Dispatch August 12-21 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42%
1
Rasmussen Reports August 20, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
5
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 36% Bob Barr 8%
5
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 13%
Public Policy Polling August 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
0
 
Quinnipiac University July 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
2
Rasmussen Reports July 21, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 52%
10
Public Policy Polling July 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40%
8

[edit] Flag of OklahomaOklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
SurveyUSA October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 63%
29
TVPoll.com October 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 34.8% John McCain 61.8%
27
SurveyUSA/KFOR-TV October 18-19 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 59%
24
TVPoll.com October 10-12 2008 Barack Obama 31.9% John McCain 63.0%
31.1
TVPoll.com October 4-5 2008 Barack Obama 29.1% John McCain 65.5%
36.4
SurveyUSA September 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 64%
30
TVPoll.com September 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 26.5% John McCain 67.6%
41.1
TVPoll.com September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 26.2% John McCain 65.8%
39.6
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 16-18,2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 59%
23
American Research Group September 15-18,2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 61%
27
TVPoll.com September 14, 2008 Barack Obama 26.9% John McCain 69.1%
42.2
Rasmussen Reports September 11, 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 63%
31
TVPoll.com September 7, 2008 Barack Obama 27.9% John McCain 65.9%
38
SurveyUSA September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 65%
33
Sooner Poll/
Tulsa World
July 19-23 2008 Barack Obama 24% John McCain 56%
32

[edit] Flag of OregonOregon

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead margin
Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42%
12
SurveyUSA October 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38%
19
Public Policy Polling October 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 42%
15
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
16
SurveyUSA October 25-26 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38%
19
Riley Research October 10-20 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 34%
14
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
15
Rasmussen Reports October 14, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41%
13
SurveyUSA October 11-12 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 40%
17
Grove Insight ** October 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39%
13
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%
11
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
14
Survey USA September 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
11
American Research Group September 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
11
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Portland Tribune/
Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall
September 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40%
10
Hoffman Research Group ** September 8-9 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%
6
Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Survey USA August 2-4 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
Rasmussen Reports July 15, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
9

[edit] Flag of PennsylvaniaPennsylvania

21 electoral votes chart
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Others  %
SurveyUSA October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
9
 
Reuters/Zogby October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 51.2% John McCain 41.4%
9.8
Strategic Vision October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45%
8
Reuters/Zogby October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 53.7% John McCain 40%
13.7
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 29-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46%
6
Quinnipiac University October 27-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46%
6
SurveyUSA October 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
American Research Group October 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 27-31 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
8
Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 26-30 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
10
Mason-Dixon/NBC October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
Strategic Vision October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 25-29 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 43%
12
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 46%
7
Marist College October 26-27 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 41%
14
Politico/
InsiderAdvantage
October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42%
9
Quinnipiac University October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
12
Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40%
12
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
Franklin & Marshall College October 21-26 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
Temple University October 20-26 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
9
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 19-23 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40%
12
Strategic Vision October 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
7
Big Ten Poll October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
11
SurveyUSA October 21, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
12
Quinnipiac University October 16-21 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
National Journal/FD October 16-20 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
12
Susquehanna Polling
and Research/
Pittsburgh Tribune-Review
October 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40%
8
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 37%
16
SurveyUSA October 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
15
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40%
12
Marist College October 5-8 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
12
Strategic Vision October 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 40%
14
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 3-7 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38%
12
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41%
13
SurveyUSA October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
15
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
October 1-5 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 38%
11
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
September 30-
October 3, 2008
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
12
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
September 27-
October 1, 2008
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
9
Quinnipiac University September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
15
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
September 25-29 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
8
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
September 28, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%
8
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
September 24-28 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
7
Franklin & Marshall September 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 38%
7
Rasmussen Reports September 24, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
SurveyUSA September 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
6
Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call
September 21-24 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
4
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
Bob Barr 1%
Ralph Nader 3%
American Research Group September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
 
Strategic Vision September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
1
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41%
2
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 21, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
NBC/Mason-Dixon September 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
2
Big Ten Poll September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
0
Marist College September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
5
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
0
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 44.3% John McCain 49.1%
4.8
Quinnipiac University September 5-9 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 8, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Strategic Vision September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
5
Quinnipiac University August 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
7
Rasmussen Reports August 19, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
3
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37% Bob Barr 5%
9
Ralph Nader 3%
Other 8%
Susquehanna
Polling & Research
August 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%
5
 
Franklin & Marshall College August 4-10 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%
5
Quinnipiac University July 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
7
Strategic Vision July 25-27 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
9
Rasmussen Reports July 23, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6

[edit] Flag of Rhode IslandRhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rhode Island College September 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 34%
13
Brown University September 15-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 34%
13
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 39%
19
American Research Group September 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 33%
26
Brown University August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 30%
20

[edit] Flag of South CarolinaSouth Carolina

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Survey USA October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
8
NBC/Princeton Survey
Research
October 25-28 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53%
11
Rasmussen Reports October 20, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 54%
11
Winthrop University/ETV September 28-
October 19, 2008
Barack Obama 34.9% John McCain 55.1%
20.2
Survey USA October 12-13 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 55%
14
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 54%
15
Survey USA September 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58%
19
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51%
6
American Research Group September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 59%
22
Research 2000/Daily Kos July 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53%
13
Public Policy Polling July 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 45%
6

[edit] Flag of South DakotaSouth Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 53%
9
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%
9
Argus Leader Media/KELO-TV October 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 48%
7
American Research Group September 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55%
16
Rasmussen Reports September 9, 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 54%
17
Rasmussen Reports July 9, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
4

[edit] Flag of TennesseeTennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 54%
16
Rasmussen Reports October 16, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 54%
12
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58%
19
Middle Tennessee State University September 15-27 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 48%
12
Mason-Dixon September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55%
16
American Research Group September 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 59%
23
Rasmussen Reports August 20, 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 60%
25
Ayres, McHenry & Associates ** August 10-12 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 51%
15

[edit] Flag of TexasTexas

34 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
University of Texas October 15-22 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 51%
11
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 54%
10
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 52%
12
American Research Group October 5-8 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57%
19
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52%
9
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 57%
19
Rasmussen Reports August 21, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 54%
10
University of Texas July 18-30,2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 43%
10
Rasmussen Reports July 29, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
8

[edit] Flag of UtahUtah

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Deseret News/KSL-TV
Dan Jones & Associates
October 24 -30 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 57%
25
American Research Group September 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 65%
36
Rasmussen Reports September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 64%
32
Deseret News/
Dan Jones & Associates
September 8 -11 2008 Barack Obama 24% John McCain 62%
38
Mason Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 23% John McCain 62%
39

[edit] Flag of VermontVermont

Winner: Barack Obama
3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 65% John McCain 32%
33
American Research Group September 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 38%
18
Research 2000 September 14, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 36%
19
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2008 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 36%
24

[edit] Flag of VirginiaVirginia

13 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Others  %
American Research Group October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
 
Reuters/Zogby October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 51.7% John McCain 45.3%
6.4
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
November 2, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Public Policy Polling October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46%
6
Reuters/Zogby October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 50.7% John McCain 44.6%
6.1
SurveyUSA October 30-
November 1 2008
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
Mason-Dixon/
Richmond Times-Dispatch
October 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 44%
9
Marist College October 26-27 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
Allstate/National Journal/FD October 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
4
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 26, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
4
SurveyUSA October 25-26 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
9
Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44.8%
7.2
Associated Press/GfK October 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
7
Roanoke College October 19-26 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
9
ABC News/
Washington Post
October 22-25 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
8
Public Policy Polling October 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
Virginia Commonwealth
University
October 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
11
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44%
10
Zogby Interactive * October 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 49.7% John McCain 46.1%
3.6
SurveyUSA October 18-19 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
Winthrop University/ETV September 28-
October 19, 2008
Barack Obama 44.6% John McCain 43.6%
1
Rasmussen Reports October 16, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44%
10
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
10
Christopher Newport
University
October 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 49.2% John McCain 43.2%
6
Zogby Interactive * October 9-13 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
8
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
Public Policy Polling October 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
October 5, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48%
2
SurveyUSA October 4-5 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
10
Suffolk University October 3-5 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
12
Mason-Dixon/
Richmond Times-Dispatch
September 28-
October 1, 2008
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
3
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30,2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 44%
9
Insider Advantage/
Poll Position
September 29, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
American Research Group September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
3
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
September 28, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45%
5
NBC/Mason-Dixon September 17-22 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
3
Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News
September 21, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50%
2
SurveyUSA September 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
6
ABC News/
Washington Post
September 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
3
American Research Group September 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
2
Insider Advantage/
Poll Position
September 17, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
2
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 11-15,2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 48%
7
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
0
Public Policy Polling September 13-14 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
SurveyUSA September 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
4
Christopher Newport
University
September 10-14 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48%
9
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 43.8% John McCain 50.3%
6.5
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 9, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
6
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 7, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
SurveyUSA September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
Public Policy Polling August 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
2
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41% Bob Barr 5%
2
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 10%
InsiderAdvantage/
Majority Opinion Research
August 12, 2008 Barack Obama 42.6% John McCain 43.1%
0.5
 
Rasmussen Reports August 12, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
SurveyUSA August 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1
Public Policy Polling July 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
2
Rasmussen Reports July 16, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
1

[edit] Flag of WashingtonWashington

11 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Strategic Vision October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
15
SurveyUSA October 30-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40%
16
The Washington Poll/
Pacific Market Research
October 27-31 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
12
SurveyUSA October 26-27 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39%
17
Strategic Vision October 25-26 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42%
12
The Washington Poll/
Pacific Market Research
October 18-26 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 34%
21
Rasmussen Reports October 22, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%
11
Elway Poll October 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 36%
19
SurveyUSA October 12-13 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40%
16
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
10
SurveyUSA September 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%
11
American Research Group September 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
14
Strategic Vision September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42%
5
Rasmussen Reports September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
2
Elway Poll September 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37%
9
SurveyUSA September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
4
SurveyUSA August 11-12 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Rasmussen Reports August 6, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42%
12
Elway Poll July 27-31 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 35%
12
Strategic Vision July 25-27 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 37%
11
SurveyUSA July 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
16
Moore Information July 9-10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 37%
10
Rasmussen Reports July 9, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8

[edit] Flag of West VirginiaWest Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin Other  %
American Research
Group
October 31-
November 3, 2008
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53%
11
 
Public Policy Polling October 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 55%
13
Reuters/Zogby October 23-26 2008 Barack Obama 40.4% John McCain 50.3%
9.9
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
October 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
6
Wesleyan College/
The State Journal
October 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 43.5% John McCain 49.2%
5.7
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 53%
9
Rasmussen Reports October 20, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52%
9
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 47%
6
Public Policy Polling October 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50%
8
Rainmaker Media Group October 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42%
1
InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position
October 13, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
2
American Research
Group
October 4-8 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%
8
Rasmussen Reports September 24, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50%
8
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
5
Ralph Nader 5%
Cynthia McKinney 1%
American Research
Group
September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
4
 
Mark Blankenship
Enterprises
September 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 44%
5

[edit] Flag of WisconsinWisconsin

10 electoral votes chart
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Strategic Vision October 31-
November 2, 2008
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
SurveyUSA October 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
16
Research 2000/
WISC-TV
October 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42%
11
UW Badger Poll October 21-28 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
Strategic Vision October 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
9
Rasmussen Reports October 23, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Big Ten Poll October 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
Research 2000/
WISC-TV
October 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
11
National Journal/FD October 16-20 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
13
SurveyUSA October 18-19 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
8
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
12
Wisconsin Public Radio/
St Norbert College
October 9-17 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
13
University of
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
October 8-15 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 36%
15
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
October 8-12 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37%
17
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44%
10
Research 2000 October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
10
SurveyUSA October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
5
Strategic Vision September 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
9
WISC-TV/Research 2000 September 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
6
American Research Group September 18-21, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45%
5
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
September 14-21 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
7
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
1
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 14-16, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
3
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
2
Strategic Vision September 5-7,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%
3
Strategic Vision August 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42%
5
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
7
Wisconsin Policy
Research Institute
August 3-4 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 38%
6
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
July 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 39%
11
Rasmussen Reports July 8, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
10

[edit] Flag of WyomingWyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Poll Source Date administered Democrat  % Republican  % Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 61%
25
SurveyUSA/Roll Call October 18-19 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 58%
21
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 58%
23
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 57%
21
American Research Group September 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 28% John McCain 66%
38
Rasmussen Reports September 10, 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58%
19
Mason Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 62%
37

[edit] Notes

  • * a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).
  • ** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).

[edit] Latest results (using latest polling when available)

This results section uses only the latest polls for each state. It is for indicative purposes only, and is highly susceptible to polling errors. The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe"; margins of 5% to 9.9% are considered "likely" and margins of 0.1% to 4.9% are considered "leaning". Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out. Because the list is revised after newer polls are released, it is highly volatile and should only be taken as examples.

Barack ObamaJoe Biden


John McCainSarah Palin

Tied

  • Total states (1 state − 11 electoral votes)

[edit] Maps of recent polling data

Map and totals updated at 11-3-08 11:10AM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion - click on the image to view its history. The second map is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election, and the House of Representatives votes in the event no one qualifies.

Safe Obama - over 10% (243) Likely Obama - over 5% (291) (48) Leans Obama - over 1% (338) (47) Tossup - within 1% (29) Leans McCain - over 1% (171) (39) Likely McCain - over 5% (132) (14) Safe McCain - over 10% (118)
District of Columbia (3) - 69.0%

Hawaii (4) - 38.3%
New York (31) - 29.0%
Vermont (3) - 27.4%
Delaware (3) - 23.8%
Illinois (21) - 22.8%
California (55) - 22.7%
Massachusetts (12) - 20.3%
Connecticut (7) - 20.1%
Maryland (10) - 18.2%
Rhode Island (4) - 17.0%
New Jersey (15) - 16.5%
Oregon (7) - 15.4%
Washington (11) - 14.6%
Maine (4) - 14.0%
Michigan (17) - 13.8%
Iowa (7) - 13.0%
New Hampshire (4) - 12.9%
Minnesota (10) - 11.9%
Wisconsin (10) - 11.3%
New Mexico (5) - 10.1%

Pennsylvania (21) - 7.4%

Colorado (9) - 7.2%
Nevada (5) - 6.1%
Virginia (13) - 5.6%

Ohio (20) - 4.6%

Florida (27) - 3.1%

North Carolina (15) - 0.9% Obama

Missouri (11) - 0.1% McCain
North Dakota (3) - 0.5% McCain

Arizona (10) - 4.7%

Georgia (15) - 4.1%
Montana (3) - 2.5%
Indiana (11) - 1.3%

Arkansas (6) - 9.7%

South Dakota (3) - 9.0%
West Virginia (5) - 7.9%

Oklahoma (7) - 29.3%

Utah (5) - 26.2%
Idaho (4) - 25.2%
Wyoming (3) - 23.6%
Alabama (9) - 23.4%
Nebraska (5) - 20.7%
Kansas (6) - 16.8%
Alaska (3) - 16.7%
Tennessee (11) - 15.2%
Kentucky (8) - 13.7%
Texas (34) - 11.9%
South Carolina (8) - 11.5%
Mississippi (6) - 11.0%
Louisiana (9)- 10.2%

Totals

  • Obama leads: 338 electoral votes
  • McCain leads: 171 electoral votes


[edit] Election Day projection

FINAL UPDATE: 22:32, 4 November 2008 (UTC)

  • Data derived from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)
  • Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.


[edit] See also

[edit] References

  1. ^ "Poll: Obama Leading McCain In Mich - Politics News Story - WDIV Detroit". Clickondetroit.com. Retrieved on 2008-09-05.

[edit] External links

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